Akashic

county

Stafford County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German10.7%10.1%12.5%

English9.5%12.0%9.5%

Irish8.8%9.1%9.4%

American8.1%8.4%5.3%

Italian4.2%3.9%4.8%

Polish2.1%1.6%2.2%

Scottish1.7%1.9%1.3%

French1.5%1.3%1.6%

African American†15.4%15.6%9.9%

African1.1%0.9%0.5%

Ghanaian1.1%0.2%—

Jamaican0.5%0.3%0.4%

Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%

Ethiopian0.2%0.5%—

Sierra Leonean0.2%——

Haitian0.2%—0.3%

West Indian0.2%——

Mexican4.6%2.4%11.3%

Salvadoran4.0%2.1%0.7%

Puerto Rican2.1%1.4%1.8%

Peruvian0.7%0.5%—

Guatemalan0.6%0.7%0.5%

Honduran0.6%0.7%0.3%

Colombian0.5%0.3%0.4%

Cuban0.4%—0.7%

Filipino0.8%0.9%0.9%

Korean0.6%0.8%0.4%

Afghan0.6%0.2%—

Pakistani0.5%0.5%—

Chinese0.4%0.8%1.3%

Asian Indian0.2%1.8%1.4%

Vietnamese0.2%0.7%0.6%

Cambodian0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Stafford County	Virginia	United States
Median age	36.3	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	9.2%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	11.4%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Stafford County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$137,807	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	4.7%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	43.8%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Stafford County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	18.9%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	11.2%	7.9%	13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)	1.0%	0.5%	0.7%
Other Indo-European	2.1%	2.6%	2.0%
Other languages	1.6%	1.1%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Stafford County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	3.2%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	17.2%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	69.3%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	6.4%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 74.2% of 112,742 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic49.4%41,252TrumpRepublican48.6%40,590SteinIndependent0.7%570

D+0.8

Lead: 662
Total: 83,539
vs nation: D+2.3
Turnout: 74.2%

BidenDemocratic50.5%40,245TrumpRepublican47.3%37,636JorgensenLibertarian1.7%1,376

D+3.3

Lead: 2,609
Total: 79,625
vs nation: R+1.2
Turnout: 76.4%

ClintonDemocratic42.3%27,908TrumpRepublican51.4%33,868JohnsonLibertarian3.2%2,140

R+9.0

Lead: 5,960
Total: 65,934
vs nation: R+11.1
Turnout: 67.9%

ObamaDemocratic44.9%27,182RomneyRepublican53.6%32,480OtherAll other candidates1.5%921

R+8.7

Lead: 5,298
Total: 60,583
vs nation: R+12.6
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic46.4%25,716McCainRepublican52.7%29,221OtherAll other candidates0.9%518

R+6.3

Lead: 3,505
Total: 55,455
vs nation: R+13.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic37.4%17,208BushRepublican62.0%28,500OtherAll other candidates0.6%278

R+24.6

Lead: 11,292
Total: 45,986
vs nation: R+22.1
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic36.8%12,596BushRepublican60.5%20,731NaderGreen1.9%657

R+23.8

Lead: 8,135
Total: 34,246
vs nation: R+24.3
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic38.0%9,902DoleRepublican54.0%14,098PerotReform7.1%1,856

R+16.1

Lead: 4,196
Total: 26,089
vs nation: R+24.6
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+0.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 163,4662024 5-year
Median household income: $137,8072024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 51.5%2024 5-year
Black: 19.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 16.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+30.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+39.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Spotsylvania County, VA · twin score 95.1

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 74.2%83,691 participants ÷ 112,742 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +23.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 51.0%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	66,326	97,711	67.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	56,448	101,405	55.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	79,735	104,357	76.4%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	58,049	109,117	53.2%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	83,691	112,742	74.2%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

64 precincts · 83,539 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Stafford County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -704 - POOLE704 - POOLE	2,524	1,676	100	4,300	58.7%	39.0%	D+19.7
Precinct -101 - HARTWOOD101 - HARTWOOD	1,318	2,470	61	3,849	34.2%	64.2%	R+29.9
Precinct -501 - GRAFTON501 - GRAFTON	1,702	2,015	71	3,788	44.9%	53.2%	R+8.3
Precinct -605 - MELCHERS605 - MELCHERS	2,040	1,362	61	3,463	58.9%	39.3%	D+19.6
Precinct -201 - ROCK HILL201 - ROCK HILL	1,620	1,636	87	3,343	48.5%	48.9%	R+0.5
Precinct -405 - HOPE405 - HOPE	1,616	1,593	64	3,273	49.4%	48.7%	D+0.7
Precinct -703 - HAMPTON703 - HAMPTON	1,695	1,442	62	3,199	53.0%	45.1%	D+7.9
Precinct -503 - DREW503 - DREW	1,603	1,530	56	3,189	50.3%	48.0%	D+2.3
Precinct -603 - WHITE OAK603 - WHITE OAK	951	1,982	56	2,989	31.8%	66.3%	R+34.5
Precinct -701 - PARK RIDGE701 - PARK RIDGE	1,644	1,269	54	2,967	55.4%	42.8%	D+12.6
Precinct -602 - CHATHAM602 - CHATHAM	1,321	1,447	71	2,839	46.5%	51.0%	R+4.4
Precinct -204 - STEFANIGA204 - STEFANIGA	1,362	1,385	62	2,809	48.5%	49.3%	R+0.8
Precinct -202 - ROSEVILLE202 - ROSEVILLE	1,031	1,666	50	2,747	37.5%	60.6%	R+23.1
Precinct -102 - SIMPSON102 - SIMPSON	1,140	1,519	46	2,705	42.1%	56.2%	R+14.0
Precinct -401 - COURTHOUSE401 - COURTHOUSE	1,691	812	57	2,560	66.1%	31.7%	D+34.3
Precinct -502 - FALMOUTH502 - FALMOUTH	1,311	1,164	55	2,530	51.8%	46.0%	D+5.8
Precinct -601 - FERRY FARM601 - FERRY FARM	985	1,328	62	2,375	41.5%	55.9%	R+14.4
Precinct -504 - GAYLE504 - GAYLE	1,438	874	44	2,356	61.0%	37.1%	D+23.9
Precinct -103 - COLLEGE103 - COLLEGE	1,221	1,038	41	2,300	53.1%	45.1%	D+8.0
Precinct -203 - RUBY203 - RUBY	723	1,490	41	2,254	32.1%	66.1%	R+34.0
Precinct -404 - GOVERNMENT ISLAND404 - GOVERNMENT ISLAND	1,014	1,129	53	2,196	46.2%	51.4%	R+5.2
Precinct -702 - WHITSON702 - WHITSON	1,204	763	51	2,018	59.7%	37.8%	D+21.9
Precinct -302 - WIDEWATER302 - WIDEWATER	834	992	41	1,867	44.7%	53.1%	R+8.5
Precinct -306 - MIDWAY306 - MIDWAY	1,150	628	47	1,825	63.0%	34.4%	D+28.6
Precinct -402 - BROOKE402 - BROOKE	730	1,053	28	1,811	40.3%	58.1%	R+17.8
Precinct -104 - WESTLAKE104 - WESTLAKE	590	1,151	37	1,778	33.2%	64.7%	R+31.6
Precinct -403 - HARBOUR403 - HARBOUR	804	864	39	1,707	47.1%	50.6%	R+3.5
Precinct -105 - ROCKY RUN105 - ROCKY RUN	712	631	39	1,382	51.5%	45.7%	D+5.9
Precinct -301 - STAFFORDBORO301 - STAFFORDBORO	851	495	30	1,376	61.8%	36.0%	D+25.9
Precinct -106 - FORGE106 - FORGE	717	587	33	1,337	53.6%	43.9%	D+9.7
Precinct -303 - BARRETT HEIGHTS303 - BARRETT HEIGHTS	692	590	26	1,308	52.9%	45.1%	D+7.8
Precinct -205 - MOUNT ARARAT205 - MOUNT ARARAT	620	495	20	1,135	54.6%	43.6%	D+11.0
Precinct -604 - ENGLAND RUN604 - ENGLAND RUN	650	410	18	1,078	60.3%	38.0%	D+22.3
Precinct -505 - ESKIMO HILL505 - ESKIMO HILL	416	435	10	861	48.3%	50.5%	R+2.2
Precinct -305 - GRIFFIS305 - GRIFFIS	495	283	9	787	62.9%	36.0%	D+26.9
Precinct -304 - AQUIA EPISCOPAL304 - AQUIA EPISCOPAL	526	241	9	776	67.8%	31.1%	D+36.7
Precinct -406 - AQUIA406 - AQUIA	311	145	6	462	67.3%	31.4%	D+35.9
Aquia51179000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barrett51179000304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brooke51179000403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chatham51179000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
College51179000104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Courthouse51179000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Drew51179000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
England Run51179000604	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Falmouth51179000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ferry Farm51179000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gayle51179000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Government Island51179000404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Grafton51179000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Griffis51179000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hampton51179000703	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Harbour51179000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hartwood51179000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rock Hill51179000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rocky Run51179000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Roseville51179000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ruby51179000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Simpson51179000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Stefaniga51179000204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
White Oak51179000603	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Whitson51179000702	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Widewater51179000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Woodlands51179000701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+14.0%
1896	−26.5%
1900	−14.4%
1904	−12.0%
1908	−7.7%
1912	+30.6%
1916	+2.5%
1920	−13.2%
1924	+1.8%
1928	−28.8%
1932	+23.3%
1936	+4.4%
1940	+26.8%
1944	−1.1%
1948	−1.5%
1952	−13.3%
1956	−22.1%
1960	+1.6%
1964	+25.6%
1968	−13.5%
1972	−35.9%
1976	+4.7%
1980	−24.0%
1984	−39.7%
1988	−38.7%
1992	−19.3%
1996	−16.1%
2000	−23.8%
2004	−24.6%
2008	−6.3%
2012	−8.7%
2016	−9.0%
2020	+3.3%
2024	+0.8%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	49.4%Harris41,252	48.6%Trump40,590	0.7%Stein570 +4	D+0.8	R+2.5	D+2.3	83,539
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic49.4%41,252 Donald J TrumpRepublican48.6%40,590 Jill SteinIndependent0.7%570 OtherAll other candidates0.5%416 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%372 Cornel R WestIndependent0.2%193 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%146
2020	D	50.5%Biden40,245	47.3%Trump37,636	1.7%Jorgensen1,376	D+3.3	D+12.3	R+1.2	79,625
2016	R	42.3%Clinton27,908	51.4%Trump33,868	3.2%Johnson2,140	R+9.0	R+0.3	R+11.1	65,934
2012	R	44.9%Obama27,182	53.6%Romney32,480	1.5%	R+8.7	R+2.4	R+12.6	60,583
2008	R	46.4%Obama25,716	52.7%McCain29,221	0.9%	R+6.3	D+18.2	R+13.6	55,455
2004	R	37.4%Kerry17,208	62.0%Bush28,500	0.6%	R+24.6	R+0.8	R+22.1	45,986
2000	R	36.8%Gore12,596	60.5%Bush20,731	1.9%Nader657	R+23.8	R+7.7	R+24.3	34,246
1996	R	38.0%Clinton9,902	54.0%Dole14,098	7.1%Perot1,856	R+16.1	D+3.3	R+24.6	26,089
1992	R	31.0%Clinton7,718	50.4%Bush12,528	18.0%Perot4,481	R+19.3	D+19.4	R+24.9	24,871
1988	R	30.4%Dukakis5,380	69.1%Bush12,234	0.6%	R+38.7	D+1.0	R+31.0	17,712
1984	R	30.0%Mondale4,429	69.6%Reagan10,293	0.4%	R+39.7	R+15.7	R+21.4	14,782
1980	R	34.9%Carter4,211	58.8%Reagan7,106	6.3%	R+24.0	R+28.7	R+14.2	12,075
1976	D	51.6%Carter4,900	46.8%Ford4,451	1.6%	D+4.7	D+40.7	D+2.7	9,502
1972	R	31.2%McGovern1,498	67.1%Nixon3,225	1.7%	R+35.9	R+22.4	R+12.8	4,807
1968	R	26.2%Humphrey1,698	39.7%Nixon2,572	34.1%	R+13.5	R+39.1	R+12.8	6,482
1964	D	62.7%Johnson2,566	37.2%Goldwater1,520	0.1%	D+25.6	D+24.0	D+3.0	4,090
1960	D	50.4%Kennedy1,494	48.8%Nixon1,447	0.8%	D+1.6	D+23.6	D+1.4	2,965
1956	R	36.9%Stevenson978	58.9%Eisenhower1,563	4.2%	R+22.1	R+8.7	R+6.7	2,652
1952	R	43.0%Stevenson1,077	56.3%Eisenhower1,411	0.6%	R+13.3	R+11.8	R+2.6	2,504
1948	R	44.8%Truman708	46.4%Dewey732	8.8%	R+1.5	R+0.4	R+6.0	1,579
1944	R	49.2%Roosevelt698	50.4%Dewey714	0.4%	R+1.1	R+27.9	R+8.6	1,418
1940	D	63.3%Roosevelt803	36.5%Willkie463	0.2%	D+26.8	D+22.4	D+16.8	1,269
1936	D	52.1%Roosevelt651	47.7%Landon596	0.2%	D+4.4	R+18.9	R+19.9	1,250
1932	D	61.4%Roosevelt731	38.1%Hoover454	0.5%	D+23.3	D+52.0	D+5.5	1,191
1928	R	35.6%Smith441	64.4%Hoover797	0.0%	R+28.8	R+30.6	R+11.3	1,238
1924	D	48.4%Davis450	46.6%Coolidge433	4.6%La Follette43	D+1.8	D+15.0	D+27.0	929
1920	R	43.3%Cox459	56.5%Harding599	0.2%	R+13.2	R+15.7	D+13.0	1,060
1916	D	51.2%Wilson444	48.6%Hughes422	0.2%	D+2.5	R+28.1	R+0.6	868
1912	D	51.6%Wilson347	21.0%Taft141	27.5%	D+30.6	D+38.3	D+11.1	673
1908	R	45.9%Bryan406	53.6%Taft474	0.5%	R+7.7	D+4.3	D+1.9	884
1904	R	43.6%Parker301	55.6%Roosevelt384	0.9%	R+12.0	D+2.4	D+7.7	691
1900	R	42.7%Bryan648	57.2%McKinley867	0.1%	R+14.4	D+12.0	R+6.9	1,516
1896	R	36.6%Bryan629	63.1%McKinley1,084	0.3%	R+26.5	R+40.5	R+20.4	1,719
1892	D	56.4%Cleveland742	42.4%Harrison558	1.2%	D+14.0	—	D+12.3	1,316
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	49.1%42,629	50.9%44,156	86,785
2020	D	54.7%26,621	45.3%22,009	48,630
2018	R	47.8%26,763	52.2%29,214	55,977

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	51.7%42,603	48.3%39,764	82,367
2020Class II	D	52.0%Mark Warner40,566	47.9%Daniel Gade37,389	78,055
2018Class I	D	50.9%Tim Kaine28,536	47.0%Corey Stewart26,368	56,049
2014Class II	R	39.5%Mark Warner13,436	58.2%Ed Gillespie19,790	33,989
2012Class I	R	46.4%Tim Kaine27,820	53.3%George Allen31,997	59,982
2008Class II	D	59.0%Mark Warner32,150	39.8%Jim Gilmore21,695	54,522
2006Class I	R	43.1%Jim Webb13,982	55.1%George Allen17,885	32,448
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	84.3%John Warner13,264	15,732
2000Class I	R	40.8%Chuck Robb13,908	59.1%George Allen20,163	34,117
1996Class II	R	45.5%Mark Warner12,192	54.0%John Warner14,455	26,774
1994Class I	R	34.4%Chuck Robb6,920	49.7%Oliver North9,994	20,119
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	76.2%John Warner8,096	10,630
1988Class I	D	68.6%Chuck Robb11,622	31.4%Maurice A. Dawkins5,312	16,934
1984Class II	R	19.5%Edythe Harrison2,732	80.5%John Warner11,306	14,038
1982Class I	R	46.4%Dick Davis3,921	53.6%Paul S. Trible4,532	8,456
1978Class II	R	49.9%Andrew Miller3,644	50.1%John Warner3,664	7,309
1976Class I	D	33.2%Elmo Zumwalt2,981	0.0%None0	8,985
1972Class II	R	36.6%William B. Spong Jr.2,629	61.3%Bill Scott4,407	7,186
1970Class I	D	38.8%George C. Rawlings Jr.2,091	13.4%Ray Garland724	5,390
1966Class II	D	64.4%William B. Spong Jr.3,004	32.0%James P. Ould Jr.1,496	4,668
1964Class I	D	56.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,303	19.5%Richard A. May803	4,108
1960Class II	D	74.0%A. Willis Robertson1,761	0.0%None0	2,381
1958Class I	D	60.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.724	0.0%None0	1,194
1954Class II	D	65.3%A. Willis Robertson728	0.0%None0	1,115
1952Class I	D	72.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,528	0.0%None0	2,116
1948Class II	D	53.2%A. Willis Robertson747	44.8%Robert H. Woods630	1,405
1946Class I	D	50.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.415	44.4%Lester S. Parsons362	816
1942Class II	D	92.2%Carter Glass200	0.0%None0	217
1940Class I	D	88.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.866	0.0%None0	981
1936Class II	D	86.6%Carter Glass695	8.3%George Rohlson67	803
1934Class I	D	63.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.298	34.7%Lawrence C. Page164	473
1930Class II	D	67.4%Carter Glass370	0.0%None0	549
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson952	0.0%None0	952
1924Class II	D	63.8%Carter Glass531	4.6%William Doak38	832
1922Class I	D	77.7%Claude Swanson453	18.0%J.W. McGavock105	583
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin174	0.0%None0	174
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson618	0.0%None0	618

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	60.1%Harry F. Byrd Jr.2,782	34.0%Lawrence Traylor1,572	4,628
1933Special · Class I	D	59.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.275	38.6%Henry Wise179	464

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	D	55.9%Abigail Spanberger35,327	43.9%Winsome Earle-Sears27,774	63,216
2017	R	46.8%Ralph Northam19,011	52.0%Ed Gillespie21,123	40,644
2013	R	40.0%Terry McAuliffe13,657	54.5%Ken Cuccinelli18,595	34,121
2009	R	32.4%Creigh Deeds9,226	67.4%Bob McDonnell19,164	28,436
2005	R	43.6%Tim Kaine10,924	54.1%Jerry Kilgore13,559	25,075
2001	R	43.2%Mark Warner9,248	56.1%Mark Earley12,019	21,422
1997	R	38.1%Don Beyer7,224	60.2%Jim Gilmore11,416	18,953
1993	R	31.4%Mary Sue Terry5,382	67.9%George Allen11,631	17,141
1989	R	40.3%Douglas Wilder5,775	59.7%Marshall Coleman8,565	14,347
1985	D	50.5%Gerald Baliles5,078	49.5%Wyatt Durrette4,980	10,060
1981	R	47.0%Chuck Robb4,625	53.0%Marshall Coleman5,214	9,839
1977	D	53.8%Henry Howell4,069	45.2%John N. Dalton3,415	7,559

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Stafford County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	90,512
2018	95,708
2020	105,714
2022	110,935
2024	118,433

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+725 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +17,701 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $72,184 in average income, against $106,136 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+19.1 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Stafford County, VA itself (D+0.8).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Prince William County, VA1,370D+17.9
Fairfax County, VA654D+34.7
Spotsylvania County, VA525R+8.5
Fredericksburg city, VA303D+31.5
Alexandria city, VA120D+57.1
San Diego County, CA101D+16.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Spotsylvania County, VA837
Prince William County, VA582
Fredericksburg city, VA384
Fairfax County, VA338
Caroline County, VA159
King George County, VA117

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Stafford County, VA in Stafford County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+1,106
2012	−389
2013	+1,254
2014	+1,445
2015	+570
2016	+1,306
2017	+2,088
2018	+1,995
2019	+2,018
2021	+2,883
2022	+331
2023	+1,026
2024	+1,343
2025	+725

Stafford sits along the I-95 corridor south of Washington, drawing a fast-growing mix of federal workers and military families whose shifting composition has turned a once reliably red county into a genuine toss-up.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 39.7 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.8 points.

A population of 163,466, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $137,807 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Spotsylvania County and Frederick County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Spotsylvania County

Virginia

95.1twin score

12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory≠ median income

Frederick County

Maryland

92.8twin score

12-yr trendmedian incomeelasticity≠ Irish ancestry

Anne Arundel County

Maryland

90.0twin score

median income12-yr trendcollege share≠ Irish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Stafford County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51179/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Stafford County

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Stafford County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Stafford County, Virginia voted Democratic by 0.8 points (D+0.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 83,539 votes cast, 41,252 went Democratic and 40,590 went Republican.

When did Stafford County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Stafford County, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in Stafford County, Virginia?

Stafford County, Virginia has a population of 163,466 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Stafford County, Virginia?

Median household income in Stafford County, Virginia is $137,807 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Stafford County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stafford County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.

Measure

Stafford County

Virginia

United States

Median age

36.3

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

9.2%

Age 65 and older

11.4%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Stafford County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$137,807

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

4.7%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

43.8%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Stafford County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

18.9%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

11.2%

7.9%

13.6%

French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)

1.0%

0.5%

0.7%

Other Indo-European

2.1%

2.6%

2.0%

Other languages

1.6%

1.1%

0.8%

Measure

Stafford County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

3.2%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

17.2%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

69.3%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

6.4%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+0.8MIT Election Lab

Population

163,4662024 5-year

Median household income

$137,8072024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

51.5%2024 5-year

Black

19.5%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

16.6%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+30.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+39.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Spotsylvania County, VA · twin score 95.1

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

66,326

97,711

67.9%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

56,448

101,405

55.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

79,735

104,357

76.4%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

58,049

109,117

53.2%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

83,691

112,742

74.2%

A/A

Stafford County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -704 - POOLE704 - POOLE

2,524

1,676

100

4,300

58.7%

39.0%

D+19.7

Precinct -101 - HARTWOOD101 - HARTWOOD

1,318

2,470

3,849

34.2%

64.2%

R+29.9

Precinct -501 - GRAFTON501 - GRAFTON

1,702

2,015

3,788

44.9%

53.2%

R+8.3

Precinct -605 - MELCHERS605 - MELCHERS

2,040

1,362

3,463

58.9%

39.3%

D+19.6

Precinct -201 - ROCK HILL201 - ROCK HILL

1,620

1,636

3,343

48.5%

48.9%

R+0.5

Precinct -405 - HOPE405 - HOPE

1,616

1,593

3,273

49.4%

48.7%

D+0.7

Precinct -703 - HAMPTON703 - HAMPTON

1,695

1,442

3,199

53.0%

45.1%

D+7.9

Precinct -503 - DREW503 - DREW

1,603

1,530

3,189

50.3%

48.0%

D+2.3

Precinct -603 - WHITE OAK603 - WHITE OAK

951

1,982

2,989

31.8%

66.3%

R+34.5

Precinct -701 - PARK RIDGE701 - PARK RIDGE

1,644

1,269

2,967

55.4%

42.8%

D+12.6

Precinct -602 - CHATHAM602 - CHATHAM

1,321

1,447

2,839

46.5%

51.0%

R+4.4

Precinct -204 - STEFANIGA204 - STEFANIGA

1,362

1,385

2,809

48.5%

49.3%

R+0.8

Precinct -202 - ROSEVILLE202 - ROSEVILLE

1,031

1,666

2,747

37.5%

60.6%

R+23.1

Precinct -102 - SIMPSON102 - SIMPSON

1,140

1,519

2,705

42.1%

56.2%

R+14.0

Precinct -401 - COURTHOUSE401 - COURTHOUSE

1,691

812

2,560

66.1%

31.7%

D+34.3

Precinct -502 - FALMOUTH502 - FALMOUTH

1,311

1,164

2,530

51.8%

46.0%

D+5.8

Precinct -601 - FERRY FARM601 - FERRY FARM

985

1,328

2,375

41.5%

55.9%

R+14.4

Precinct -504 - GAYLE504 - GAYLE

1,438

874

2,356

61.0%

37.1%

D+23.9

Precinct -103 - COLLEGE103 - COLLEGE

1,221

1,038

2,300

53.1%

45.1%

D+8.0

Precinct -203 - RUBY203 - RUBY

723

1,490

2,254

32.1%

66.1%

R+34.0

Precinct -404 - GOVERNMENT ISLAND404 - GOVERNMENT ISLAND

1,014

1,129

2,196

46.2%

51.4%

R+5.2

Precinct -702 - WHITSON702 - WHITSON

1,204

763

2,018

59.7%

37.8%

D+21.9

Precinct -302 - WIDEWATER302 - WIDEWATER

834

992

1,867

44.7%

53.1%

R+8.5

Precinct -306 - MIDWAY306 - MIDWAY

1,150

628

1,825

63.0%

34.4%

D+28.6

Precinct -402 - BROOKE402 - BROOKE

730

1,053

1,811

40.3%

58.1%

R+17.8

Precinct -104 - WESTLAKE104 - WESTLAKE

590

1,151

1,778

33.2%

64.7%

R+31.6

Precinct -403 - HARBOUR403 - HARBOUR

804

864

1,707

47.1%

50.6%

R+3.5

Precinct -105 - ROCKY RUN105 - ROCKY RUN

712

631

1,382

51.5%

45.7%

D+5.9

Precinct -301 - STAFFORDBORO301 - STAFFORDBORO

851

495

1,376

61.8%

36.0%

D+25.9

Precinct -106 - FORGE106 - FORGE

717

587

1,337

53.6%

43.9%

D+9.7

Precinct -303 - BARRETT HEIGHTS303 - BARRETT HEIGHTS

692

590

1,308

52.9%

45.1%

D+7.8

Precinct -205 - MOUNT ARARAT205 - MOUNT ARARAT

620

495

1,135

54.6%

43.6%

D+11.0

Precinct -604 - ENGLAND RUN604 - ENGLAND RUN

650

410

1,078

60.3%

38.0%

D+22.3

Precinct -505 - ESKIMO HILL505 - ESKIMO HILL

416

435

861

48.3%

50.5%

R+2.2

Precinct -305 - GRIFFIS305 - GRIFFIS

495

283

787

62.9%

36.0%

D+26.9

Precinct -304 - AQUIA EPISCOPAL304 - AQUIA EPISCOPAL

526

241

776

67.8%

31.1%

D+36.7

Precinct -406 - AQUIA406 - AQUIA

311

145

462

67.3%

31.4%

D+35.9

Aquia51179000401

—

No votes

Barrett51179000304

—

No votes

Brooke51179000403

—

No votes

Chatham51179000602

—

No votes

College51179000104

—

No votes

Courthouse51179000402

—

No votes

Drew51179000503

—

No votes

England Run51179000604

—

No votes

Falmouth51179000502

—

No votes

Ferry Farm51179000601

—

No votes

Gayle51179000504

—

No votes

Government Island51179000404

—

No votes

Grafton51179000501

—

No votes

Griffis51179000301

—

No votes

Hampton51179000703

—

No votes

Harbour51179000303

—

No votes

Hartwood51179000101

—

No votes

Rock Hill51179000201

—

No votes

Rocky Run51179000102

—

No votes

Roseville51179000202

—

No votes

Ruby51179000203

—

No votes

Simpson51179000103

—

No votes

Stefaniga51179000204

—

No votes

White Oak51179000603

—

No votes

Whitson51179000702

—

No votes

Widewater51179000302

—

No votes

Woodlands51179000701

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+14.0%
1896	−26.5%
1900	−14.4%
1904	−12.0%
1908	−7.7%
1912	+30.6%
1916	+2.5%
1920	−13.2%
1924	+1.8%
1928	−28.8%
1932	+23.3%
1936	+4.4%
1940	+26.8%
1944	−1.1%
1948	−1.5%
1952	−13.3%
1956	−22.1%
1960	+1.6%
1964	+25.6%
1968	−13.5%
1972	−35.9%
1976	+4.7%
1980	−24.0%
1984	−39.7%
1988	−38.7%
1992	−19.3%
1996	−16.1%
2000	−23.8%
2004	−24.6%
2008	−6.3%
2012	−8.7%
2016	−9.0%
2020	+3.3%
2024	+0.8%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

49.4%Harris41,252

48.6%Trump40,590

0.7%Stein570 +4

D+0.8

R+2.5

D+2.3

83,539

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic49.4%41,252
Donald J TrumpRepublican48.6%40,590
Jill SteinIndependent0.7%570
OtherAll other candidates0.5%416
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%372
Cornel R WestIndependent0.2%193
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%146

2020

50.5%Biden40,245

47.3%Trump37,636

1.7%Jorgensen1,376

D+3.3

D+12.3

R+1.2

79,625

2016

42.3%Clinton27,908

51.4%Trump33,868

3.2%Johnson2,140

R+9.0

R+0.3

R+11.1

65,934

2012

44.9%Obama27,182

53.6%Romney32,480

1.5%

R+8.7

R+2.4

R+12.6

60,583

2008

46.4%Obama25,716

52.7%McCain29,221

0.9%

R+6.3

D+18.2

R+13.6

55,455

2004

37.4%Kerry17,208

62.0%Bush28,500

0.6%

R+24.6

R+0.8

R+22.1

45,986

2000

36.8%Gore12,596

60.5%Bush20,731

1.9%Nader657

R+23.8

R+7.7

R+24.3

34,246

1996

38.0%Clinton9,902

54.0%Dole14,098

7.1%Perot1,856

R+16.1

D+3.3

R+24.6

26,089

1992

31.0%Clinton7,718

50.4%Bush12,528

18.0%Perot4,481

R+19.3

D+19.4

R+24.9

24,871

1988

30.4%Dukakis5,380

69.1%Bush12,234

0.6%

R+38.7

D+1.0

R+31.0

17,712

1984

30.0%Mondale4,429

69.6%Reagan10,293

0.4%

R+39.7

R+15.7

R+21.4

14,782

1980

34.9%Carter4,211

58.8%Reagan7,106

6.3%

R+24.0

R+28.7

R+14.2

12,075

1976

51.6%Carter4,900

46.8%Ford4,451

1.6%

D+4.7

D+40.7

D+2.7

9,502

1972

31.2%McGovern1,498

67.1%Nixon3,225

1.7%

R+35.9

R+22.4

R+12.8

4,807

1968

26.2%Humphrey1,698

39.7%Nixon2,572

34.1%

R+13.5

R+39.1

R+12.8

6,482

1964

62.7%Johnson2,566

37.2%Goldwater1,520

0.1%

D+25.6

D+24.0

D+3.0

4,090

1960

50.4%Kennedy1,494

48.8%Nixon1,447

0.8%

D+1.6

D+23.6

D+1.4

2,965

1956

36.9%Stevenson978

58.9%Eisenhower1,563

4.2%

R+22.1

R+8.7

R+6.7

2,652

1952

43.0%Stevenson1,077

56.3%Eisenhower1,411

0.6%

R+13.3

R+11.8

R+2.6

2,504

1948

44.8%Truman708

46.4%Dewey732

8.8%

R+1.5

R+0.4

R+6.0

1,579

1944

49.2%Roosevelt698

50.4%Dewey714

0.4%

R+1.1

R+27.9

R+8.6

1,418

1940

63.3%Roosevelt803

36.5%Willkie463

0.2%

D+26.8

D+22.4

D+16.8

1,269

1936

52.1%Roosevelt651

47.7%Landon596

0.2%

D+4.4

R+18.9

R+19.9

1,250

1932

61.4%Roosevelt731

38.1%Hoover454

0.5%

D+23.3

D+52.0

D+5.5

1,191

1928

35.6%Smith441

64.4%Hoover797

0.0%

R+28.8

R+30.6

R+11.3

1,238

1924

48.4%Davis450

46.6%Coolidge433

4.6%La Follette43

D+1.8

D+15.0

D+27.0

929

1920

43.3%Cox459

56.5%Harding599

0.2%

R+13.2

R+15.7

D+13.0

1,060

1916

51.2%Wilson444

48.6%Hughes422

0.2%

D+2.5

R+28.1

R+0.6

868

1912

51.6%Wilson347

21.0%Taft141

27.5%

D+30.6

D+38.3

D+11.1

673

1908

45.9%Bryan406

53.6%Taft474

0.5%

R+7.7

D+4.3

D+1.9

884

1904

43.6%Parker301

55.6%Roosevelt384

0.9%

R+12.0

D+2.4

D+7.7

691

1900

42.7%Bryan648

57.2%McKinley867

0.1%

R+14.4

D+12.0

R+6.9

1,516

1896

36.6%Bryan629

63.1%McKinley1,084

0.3%

R+26.5

R+40.5

R+20.4

1,719

1892

56.4%Cleveland742

42.4%Harrison558

1.2%

D+14.0

—

D+12.3

1,316

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

49.1%42,629

50.9%44,156

86,785

2020

54.7%26,621

45.3%22,009

48,630

2018

47.8%26,763

52.2%29,214

55,977

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

51.7%42,603

48.3%39,764

82,367

2020Class II

52.0%Mark Warner40,566

47.9%Daniel Gade37,389

78,055

2018Class I

50.9%Tim Kaine28,536

47.0%Corey Stewart26,368

56,049

2014Class II

39.5%Mark Warner13,436

58.2%Ed Gillespie19,790

33,989

2012Class I

46.4%Tim Kaine27,820

53.3%George Allen31,997

59,982

2008Class II

59.0%Mark Warner32,150

39.8%Jim Gilmore21,695

54,522

2006Class I

43.1%Jim Webb13,982

55.1%George Allen17,885

32,448

2002Class II

0.0%None0

84.3%John Warner13,264

15,732

2000Class I

40.8%Chuck Robb13,908

59.1%George Allen20,163

34,117

1996Class II

45.5%Mark Warner12,192

54.0%John Warner14,455

26,774

1994Class I

34.4%Chuck Robb6,920

49.7%Oliver North9,994

20,119

1990Class II

0.0%None0

76.2%John Warner8,096

10,630

1988Class I

68.6%Chuck Robb11,622

31.4%Maurice A. Dawkins5,312

16,934

1984Class II

19.5%Edythe Harrison2,732

80.5%John Warner11,306

14,038

1982Class I

46.4%Dick Davis3,921

53.6%Paul S. Trible4,532

8,456

1978Class II

49.9%Andrew Miller3,644

50.1%John Warner3,664

7,309

1976Class I

33.2%Elmo Zumwalt2,981

0.0%None0

8,985

1972Class II

36.6%William B. Spong Jr.2,629

61.3%Bill Scott4,407

7,186

1970Class I

38.8%George C. Rawlings Jr.2,091

13.4%Ray Garland724

5,390

1966Class II

64.4%William B. Spong Jr.3,004

32.0%James P. Ould Jr.1,496

4,668

1964Class I

56.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,303

19.5%Richard A. May803

4,108

1960Class II

74.0%A. Willis Robertson1,761

0.0%None0

2,381

1958Class I

60.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.724

0.0%None0

1,194

1954Class II

65.3%A. Willis Robertson728

0.0%None0

1,115

1952Class I

72.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,528

0.0%None0

2,116

1948Class II

53.2%A. Willis Robertson747

44.8%Robert H. Woods630

1,405

1946Class I

50.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.415

44.4%Lester S. Parsons362

816

1942Class II

92.2%Carter Glass200

0.0%None0

217

1940Class I

88.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.866

0.0%None0

981

1936Class II

86.6%Carter Glass695

8.3%George Rohlson67

803

1934Class I

63.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.298

34.7%Lawrence C. Page164

473

1930Class II

67.4%Carter Glass370

0.0%None0

549

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson952

0.0%None0

952

1924Class II

63.8%Carter Glass531

4.6%William Doak38

832

1922Class I

77.7%Claude Swanson453

18.0%J.W. McGavock105

583

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin174

0.0%None0

174

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson618

0.0%None0

618

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

60.1%Harry F. Byrd Jr.2,782

34.0%Lawrence Traylor1,572

4,628

1933Special · Class I

59.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.275

38.6%Henry Wise179

464

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

55.9%Abigail Spanberger35,327

43.9%Winsome Earle-Sears27,774

63,216

2017

46.8%Ralph Northam19,011

52.0%Ed Gillespie21,123

40,644

2013

40.0%Terry McAuliffe13,657

54.5%Ken Cuccinelli18,595

34,121

2009

32.4%Creigh Deeds9,226

67.4%Bob McDonnell19,164

28,436

2005

43.6%Tim Kaine10,924

54.1%Jerry Kilgore13,559

25,075

2001

43.2%Mark Warner9,248

56.1%Mark Earley12,019

21,422

1997

38.1%Don Beyer7,224

60.2%Jim Gilmore11,416

18,953

1993

31.4%Mary Sue Terry5,382

67.9%George Allen11,631

17,141

1989

40.3%Douglas Wilder5,775

59.7%Marshall Coleman8,565

14,347

1985

50.5%Gerald Baliles5,078

49.5%Wyatt Durrette4,980

10,060

1981

47.0%Chuck Robb4,625

53.0%Marshall Coleman5,214

9,839

1977

53.8%Henry Howell4,069

45.2%John N. Dalton3,415

7,559

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Stafford County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	90,512
2018	95,708
2020	105,714
2022	110,935
2024	118,433

How did Stafford County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Stafford County, Virginia voted Democratic by 0.8 points (D+0.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 83,539 votes cast, 41,252 went Democratic and 40,590 went Republican.

When did Stafford County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Stafford County, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in Stafford County, Virginia?

Stafford County, Virginia has a population of 163,466 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Stafford County, Virginia?

Median household income in Stafford County, Virginia is $137,807 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Stafford County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stafford County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.