Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupStafford CourthouseVirginiaUnited States
German7.5%10.1%12.5%
English6.6%12.0%9.5%
Irish6.1%9.1%9.4%
American5.6%8.4%5.3%
Italian2.9%3.9%4.8%
Polish1.5%1.6%2.2%
Scottish1.2%1.9%1.3%
French1.0%1.3%1.6%
African American†33.8%15.6%9.9%
African2.4%0.9%0.5%
Ghanaian2.4%0.2%—
Jamaican1.1%0.3%0.4%
Nigerian0.4%0.2%0.2%
Ethiopian0.4%0.5%—
Sierra Leonean0.4%——
Haitian0.4%—0.3%
Mexican3.3%2.4%11.3%
Salvadoran2.9%2.1%0.7%
Puerto Rican1.5%1.4%1.8%
Peruvian0.5%0.5%—
Guatemalan0.4%0.7%0.5%
Honduran0.4%0.7%0.3%
Colombian0.4%0.3%0.4%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Stafford Courthouse
Virginia
United States
Median age
35.4
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
12.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
7.2%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Stafford Courthouse
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$127,849
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
2.8%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.4%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Stafford Courthouse
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.8%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
6.2%
7.9%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
2.0%
0.5%
0.7%
Other languages
4.3%
1.1%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Stafford Courthouse
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Stafford Courthouse, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−18.9%
2008
−0.5%
2012
−2.5%
2016
−3.8%
2020
+12.7%
2024
+15.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
56.6%Harris1,188
41.6%Trump874
1.8%
D+15.0
D+2.2
D+16.4
2,100
D
55.3%Biden1,212
42.6%Trump933
2.1%
D+12.7
D+16.5
D+8.3
2,191
R
45.2%Clinton876
49.0%Trump950
5.9%
R+3.8
R+1.3
R+5.9
1,940
R
48.0%Obama849
50.5%Romney893
1.5%
R+2.5
R+2.0
R+6.3
1,769
R
49.3%Obama786
49.8%McCain794
0.8%
R+0.5
D+18.4
R+7.8
1,593
R
40.1%Kerry526
59.0%Bush774
0.8%
R+18.9
—
R+16.5
1,311
Stafford Courthouse sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.0 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 18.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.0 points.
A population of 5,839, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,849 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Falmouth and White Marsh.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Stafford Courthouse, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Stafford Courthouse, Virginia voted Democratic by 15.0 points (D+15.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,100 votes cast, 1,188 went Democratic and 874 went Republican.
When did Stafford Courthouse, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Stafford Courthouse, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Stafford Courthouse, Virginia?
Stafford Courthouse, Virginia has a population of 5,839 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Stafford Courthouse, Virginia?
Median household income in Stafford Courthouse, Virginia is $127,849 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Stafford Courthouse, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Stafford Courthouse, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
