akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Virginia

Virginia 2nd Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

A coastal swing district where military households shape every close race

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
873,185
2024 ACS

Virginia 2nd Congressional District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
873,1852024 5-year
Median household income
$91,4522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.8%2024 5-year
Black
25.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+67 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
KIGGANS, JenniferCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: LURIA, Elaine (2021–2023), LURIA, Elaine (2019–2021), TAYLOR, Scott William (2017–2019), RIGELL, E. Scott (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

8 counties · 5 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.6%
226,839214,963449,015
D
+5.2%
227,926204,793441,633
R
−2.1%
181,410189,601393,811
D
+0.3%
190,670189,533385,590
D
+1.1%
192,319187,943383,867
R
−16.0%
136,656189,020327,849
R
−10.7%
119,302148,581274,199
R
−3.4%
103,725111,769234,614
R
−11.9%
88,545118,091247,394
R
−28.9%
71,287129,976202,832
R
−34.7%
60,995126,386188,497
R
−13.6%
62,52683,776155,988
D
+0.8%
64,10163,015132,649
R
−45.5%
25,74170,82099,011
O
−4.1%
28,55732,49495,527
D
+10.2%
24,29619,79044,138
D
+18.4%
21,83915,03337,084
R
−1.4%
16,11016,58933,914
D
+3.3%
14,52413,60128,232
D
+30.8%
10,1814,96716,920
D
+42.5%
10,1404,08514,244
D
+55.4%
9,1622,62211,804
D
+62.2%
9,6962,25111,974
D
+59.6%
9,4662,35511,924
D
+0.9%
5,9665,86511,832
D
+62.0%
6,9771,5348,780
D
+54.0%
7,8742,31710,295
D
+62.9%
6,6301,4818,192
D
+67.1%
5,9738757,599
D
+48.7%
5,2811,7967,163
D
+47.2%
5,3031,8707,269
D
+18.3%
10,5547,27617,935
D
+10.0%
9,9468,11218,403
D
+16.1%
11,2948,06520,110
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D54.4%45.4%4,445,535
2020D56.0%43.9%4,405,087
2018D57.0%41.0%3,351,373
2014D49.1%48.3%2,184,473
2012D52.9%47.0%3,802,196
2008D65.0%33.7%3,643,294
2006D49.6%49.2%2,370,445
2002R0.0%82.6%1,489,422
2000R47.7%52.3%2,718,301
1996R47.4%52.5%2,354,715
1994D45.6%42.9%2,057,463
1990R0.0%80.9%1,083,690
1988D71.2%28.7%2,068,897
1984R29.9%70.0%2,007,487
1982R48.8%51.2%1,415,622
1978R49.8%50.2%1,222,256
1976O38.3%0.0%1,557,500

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.7%
German
9.7%
Irish
9.5%
American
8.6%
Italian
4.5%
Polish
1.9%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.9%
speak English only
Spanish4.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.4%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.2%
Baptist
7.5%
Methodist
5.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Virginia Beach and the Hampton Roads naval corridor, VA-02 blends a large active-duty and veteran population with growing suburban diversity, producing presidential margins that have flipped within single digits across recent cycles.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $91,452 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Virginia voted Democratic by 2.6 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 449,015 votes cast, 226,839 went Democratic and 214,963 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Virginia?
Congressional District 2, Virginia has a population of 873,185 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Virginia is $91,452 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.