Virginia 2nd Congressional District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 873,1852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $91,4522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: LURIA, Elaine (2021–2023), LURIA, Elaine (2019–2021), TAYLOR, Scott William (2017–2019), RIGELL, E. Scott (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 226,839 | 214,963 | 449,015 | ||
| D | 227,926 | 204,793 | 441,633 | ||
| R | 181,410 | 189,601 | 393,811 | ||
| D | 190,670 | 189,533 | 385,590 | ||
| D | 192,319 | 187,943 | 383,867 | ||
| R | 136,656 | 189,020 | 327,849 | ||
| R | 119,302 | 148,581 | 274,199 | ||
| R | 103,725 | 111,769 | 234,614 | ||
| R | 88,545 | 118,091 | 247,394 | ||
| R | 71,287 | 129,976 | 202,832 | ||
| R | 60,995 | 126,386 | 188,497 | ||
| R | 62,526 | 83,776 | 155,988 | ||
| D | 64,101 | 63,015 | 132,649 | ||
| R | 25,741 | 70,820 | 99,011 | ||
| O | 28,557 | 32,494 | 95,527 | ||
| D | 24,296 | 19,790 | 44,138 | ||
| D | 21,839 | 15,033 | 37,084 | ||
| R | 16,110 | 16,589 | 33,914 | ||
| D | 14,524 | 13,601 | 28,232 | ||
| D | 10,181 | 4,967 | 16,920 | ||
| D | 10,140 | 4,085 | 14,244 | ||
| D | 9,162 | 2,622 | 11,804 | ||
| D | 9,696 | 2,251 | 11,974 | ||
| D | 9,466 | 2,355 | 11,924 | ||
| D | 5,966 | 5,865 | 11,832 | ||
| D | 6,977 | 1,534 | 8,780 | ||
| D | 7,874 | 2,317 | 10,295 | ||
| D | 6,630 | 1,481 | 8,192 | ||
| D | 5,973 | 875 | 7,599 | ||
| D | 5,281 | 1,796 | 7,163 | ||
| D | 5,303 | 1,870 | 7,269 | ||
| D | 10,554 | 7,276 | 17,935 | ||
| D | 9,946 | 8,112 | 18,403 | ||
| D | 11,294 | 8,065 | 20,110 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4% | 45.4% | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0% | 43.9% | 4,405,087 |
| 2018 | D | 57.0% | 41.0% | 3,351,373 |
| 2014 | D | 49.1% | 48.3% | 2,184,473 |
| 2012 | D | 52.9% | 47.0% | 3,802,196 |
| 2008 | D | 65.0% | 33.7% | 3,643,294 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6% | 49.2% | 2,370,445 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 82.6% | 1,489,422 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7% | 52.3% | 2,718,301 |
| 1996 | R | 47.4% | 52.5% | 2,354,715 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6% | 42.9% | 2,057,463 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 80.9% | 1,083,690 |
| 1988 | D | 71.2% | 28.7% | 2,068,897 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9% | 70.0% | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8% | 51.2% | 1,415,622 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1,222,256 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1,557,500 |
Demographics
Anchored by Virginia Beach and the Hampton Roads naval corridor, VA-02 blends a large active-duty and veteran population with growing suburban diversity, producing presidential margins that have flipped within single digits across recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $91,452 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 2, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.