- Lead
- 1,107
- Total
- 412,464
- vs nation
- D+1.2
Virginia 2nd Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,855
- Total
- 403,900
- vs nation
- R+2.5
- Lead
- 19,876
- Total
- 359,129
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Lead
- 11,407
- Total
- 351,193
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Lead
- 7,913
- Total
- 350,231
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Lead
- 58,100
- Total
- 300,740
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Lead
- 35,446
- Total
- 251,887
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Lead
- 14,072
- Total
- 215,573
- vs nation
- R+15.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 785,4722024 5-year
- Population density
- 365 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,151 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,7572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 10, GA · twin score 78.8
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 2nd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
50.0%
201,790 votes · D+1.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 49.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
59.3%
178,389 votes · R+19.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 50.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
203,149votes
49.3% of the vote · R+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 201,790 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
204,256votes
49.5% of the vote · R+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 193,935 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+1.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −2.5 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+16.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+19.3 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +9.5 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Anchored by Virginia Beach and the Hampton Roads naval corridor, VA-02 blends a large active-duty and veteran population with growing suburban diversity, producing presidential margins that have flipped within single digits across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 49.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 785,472, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,757 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 10 and Congressional District 1.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.