Virginia 3rd Congressional District, Virginia: Populist district. In 2024, voted D+35%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 687,4822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,4532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 43.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1991–1993), BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1989–1991), BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1987–1989), BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1985–1987)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 188,815 | 89,900 | 283,805 | ||
| D | 203,882 | 89,062 | 299,152 | ||
| D | 179,722 | 85,201 | 280,144 | ||
| D | 200,859 | 89,338 | 294,171 | ||
| D | 201,493 | 95,226 | 299,217 | ||
| D | 140,318 | 104,457 | 246,457 | ||
| D | 122,415 | 86,607 | 213,426 | ||
| D | 115,941 | 73,094 | 202,992 | ||
| D | 110,398 | 84,932 | 226,142 | ||
| R | 100,590 | 107,338 | 209,907 | ||
| R | 102,855 | 118,253 | 222,246 | ||
| D | 98,965 | 83,080 | 192,984 | ||
| D | 106,823 | 78,676 | 191,617 | ||
| R | 52,838 | 88,976 | 146,023 | ||
| D | 69,826 | 55,865 | 176,291 | ||
| D | 64,557 | 38,186 | 103,540 | ||
| D | 53,141 | 45,743 | 99,524 | ||
| R | 38,115 | 44,883 | 86,083 | ||
| D | 36,859 | 35,127 | 72,156 | ||
| D | 27,505 | 15,942 | 47,525 | ||
| D | 32,784 | 11,114 | 43,998 | ||
| D | 28,063 | 6,854 | 35,040 | ||
| D | 27,808 | 6,670 | 34,635 | ||
| D | 20,509 | 10,110 | 31,192 | ||
| R | 13,583 | 19,153 | 32,736 | ||
| D | 10,432 | 4,525 | 16,410 | ||
| D | 12,563 | 5,709 | 18,517 | ||
| D | 6,621 | 2,139 | 9,010 | ||
| D | 6,979 | 490 | 8,762 | ||
| D | 5,108 | 2,307 | 7,502 | ||
| D | 5,348 | 1,456 | 6,964 | ||
| D | 9,408 | 5,426 | 14,977 | ||
| D | 6,229 | 5,556 | 12,082 | ||
| D | 8,939 | 5,112 | 14,340 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4% | 45.4% | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0% | 43.9% | 4,405,087 |
| 2018 | D | 57.0% | 41.0% | 3,351,373 |
| 2014 | D | 49.1% | 48.3% | 2,184,473 |
| 2012 | D | 52.9% | 47.0% | 3,802,196 |
| 2008 | D | 65.0% | 33.7% | 3,643,294 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6% | 49.2% | 2,370,445 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 82.6% | 1,489,422 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7% | 52.3% | 2,718,301 |
| 1996 | R | 47.4% | 52.5% | 2,354,715 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6% | 42.9% | 2,057,463 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 80.9% | 1,083,690 |
| 1988 | D | 71.2% | 28.7% | 2,068,897 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9% | 70.0% | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8% | 51.2% | 1,415,622 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1,222,256 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1,557,500 |
Demographics
Virginia's 3rd stretches from Richmond through parts of the Hampton Roads region, drawing its deep-blue lean from a majority-Black electorate and dense urban precincts that have delivered Democratic presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 3rd Congressional District peaked at seventy-four points in 1912. By 1992 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $68,453 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 3, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.