akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Virginia

Virginia 3rd Congressional District was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Virginia's most Democratic-leaning districts, anchored by Richmond's urban core

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+35
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
687,482
2024 ACS

Virginia 3rd Congressional District, Virginia: Populist district. In 2024, voted D+35%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
687,4822024 5-year
Median household income
$68,4532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.9%2024 5-year
Black
43.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+74 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
SCOTT, Robert C.Congress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1991–1993), BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1989–1991), BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1987–1989), BLILEY, Thomas Jerome, Jr. (1985–1987)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

5 counties · 5 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+34.9%
188,81589,900283,805
D
+38.4%
203,88289,062299,152
D
+33.7%
179,72285,201280,144
D
+37.9%
200,85989,338294,171
D
+35.5%
201,49395,226299,217
D
+14.6%
140,318104,457246,457
D
+16.8%
122,41586,607213,426
D
+21.1%
115,94173,094202,992
D
+11.3%
110,39884,932226,142
R
−3.2%
100,590107,338209,907
R
−6.9%
102,855118,253222,246
D
+8.2%
98,96583,080192,984
D
+14.7%
106,82378,676191,617
R
−24.7%
52,83888,976146,023
D
+7.9%
69,82655,865176,291
D
+25.5%
64,55738,186103,540
D
+7.4%
53,14145,74399,524
R
−7.9%
38,11544,88386,083
D
+2.4%
36,85935,12772,156
D
+24.3%
27,50515,94247,525
D
+49.3%
32,78411,11443,998
D
+60.5%
28,0636,85435,040
D
+61.0%
27,8086,67034,635
D
+33.3%
20,50910,11031,192
R
−17.0%
13,58319,15332,736
D
+36.0%
10,4324,52516,410
D
+37.0%
12,5635,70918,517
D
+49.7%
6,6212,1399,010
D
+74.1%
6,9794908,762
D
+37.3%
5,1082,3077,502
D
+55.9%
5,3481,4566,964
D
+26.6%
9,4085,42614,977
D
+5.6%
6,2295,55612,082
D
+26.7%
8,9395,11214,340
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D54.4%45.4%4,445,535
2020D56.0%43.9%4,405,087
2018D57.0%41.0%3,351,373
2014D49.1%48.3%2,184,473
2012D52.9%47.0%3,802,196
2008D65.0%33.7%3,643,294
2006D49.6%49.2%2,370,445
2002R0.0%82.6%1,489,422
2000R47.7%52.3%2,718,301
1996R47.4%52.5%2,354,715
1994D45.6%42.9%2,057,463
1990R0.0%80.9%1,083,690
1988D71.2%28.7%2,068,897
1984R29.9%70.0%2,007,487
1982R48.8%51.2%1,415,622
1978R49.8%50.2%1,222,256
1976O38.3%0.0%1,557,500

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
8.2%
German
7.2%
Irish
6.5%
American
5.5%
Italian
3.0%
Polish
1.4%
Scottish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.3%
speak English only
Spanish5.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.5%
Baptist
11.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.5%
Methodist
3.9%
Non-Christian
3.6%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Virginia's 3rd stretches from Richmond through parts of the Hampton Roads region, drawing its deep-blue lean from a majority-Black electorate and dense urban precincts that have delivered Democratic presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 3rd Congressional District peaked at seventy-four points in 1912. By 1992 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $68,453 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Virginia voted Democratic by 34.9 points (D+35), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 283,805 votes cast, 188,815 went Democratic and 89,900 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Virginia as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Virginia voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Virginia?
Congressional District 3, Virginia has a population of 687,482 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Virginia is $68,453 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.