- Lead
- 21,784
- Total
- 75,909
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Turnout
- 56.1%
Newport News city, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.1% of 135,950 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 26,722
- Total
- 81,203
- vs nation
- D+28.5
- Turnout
- 61.8%
- Lead
- 20,150
- Total
- 75,637
- vs nation
- D+24.6
- Turnout
- 57.1%
- Lead
- 23,870
- Total
- 79,444
- vs nation
- D+26.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 23,305
- Total
- 81,295
- vs nation
- D+21.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,111
- Total
- 67,952
- vs nation
- D+7.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,773
- Total
- 57,825
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,606
- Total
- 54,288
- vs nation
- Even
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 184,2162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,6342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 39.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 40.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampton city, VA · twin score 98.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.1%76,200 participants ÷ 135,950 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 31.2%–37.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 76,023 | 133,203 | 57.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 58,775 | 133,029 | 44.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 81,721 | 132,334 | 61.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 50,244 | 136,209 | 36.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 76,200 | 135,950 | 56.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
90 precincts · 75,909 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -218-Kiln Creek218-Kiln Creek | 2,217 | 1,301 | 69 | 3,587 | 61.8% | 36.3% | D+25.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -320-Watkins320-Watkins | 1,769 | 1,607 | 55 | 3,431 | 51.6% | 46.8% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct -107-Richneck107-Richneck | 2,130 | 1,050 | 60 | 3,240 | 65.7% | 32.4% | D+33.3 |
| Precinct -203-Charles203-Charles | 1,617 | 1,546 | 48 | 3,211 | 50.4% | 48.1% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct -112-Knollwood Meadows112-Knollwood Meadows | 1,717 | 1,387 | 54 | 3,158 | 54.4% | 43.9% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -219-Deer Park219-Deer Park | 2,061 | 783 | 37 | 2,881 | 71.5% | 27.2% | D+44.4 |
| Precinct -111-Stoneybrook111-Stoneybrook | 1,809 | 870 | 53 | 2,732 | 66.2% | 31.8% | D+34.4 |
| Precinct -101-Denbigh101-Denbigh | 1,883 | 744 | 49 | 2,676 | 70.4% | 27.8% | D+42.6 |
| Precinct -102-Stoney Run102-Stoney Run | 2,057 | 588 | 30 | 2,675 | 76.9% | 22.0% | D+54.9 |
| Precinct -319-Saunders319-Saunders | 1,530 | 1,076 | 47 | 2,653 | 57.7% | 40.6% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -110-Greenwood110-Greenwood | 1,793 | 732 | 47 | 2,572 | 69.7% | 28.5% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct -205-Deep Creek205-Deep Creek | 1,112 | 1,353 | 39 | 2,504 | 44.4% | 54.0% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -220-Jenkins220-Jenkins | 1,517 | 939 | 39 | 2,495 | 60.8% | 37.6% | D+23.2 |
| Precinct -211-Palmer211-Palmer | 1,543 | 774 | 50 | 2,367 | 65.2% | 32.7% | D+32.5 |
| Precinct -216-Yates216-Yates | 1,308 | 921 | 52 | 2,281 | 57.3% | 40.4% | D+17.0 |
| Precinct -217-Riverview217-Riverview | 1,017 | 1,043 | 45 | 2,105 | 48.3% | 49.5% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -311-Newmarket311-Newmarket | 1,457 | 513 | 31 | 2,001 | 72.8% | 25.6% | D+47.2 |
| Precinct -321-Hilton321-Hilton | 1,125 | 784 | 38 | 1,947 | 57.8% | 40.3% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -202-Boulevard202-Boulevard | 900 | 883 | 26 | 1,809 | 49.8% | 48.8% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -104-McIntosh104-McIntosh | 1,286 | 476 | 29 | 1,791 | 71.8% | 26.6% | D+45.2 |
| Precinct -316-South Morrison316-South Morrison | 1,108 | 622 | 27 | 1,757 | 63.1% | 35.4% | D+27.7 |
| Precinct -106-Reservoir106-Reservoir | 1,269 | 416 | 26 | 1,711 | 74.2% | 24.3% | D+49.9 |
| Precinct -315-Sedgefield315-Sedgefield | 807 | 680 | 37 | 1,524 | 53.0% | 44.6% | D+8.3 |
| Precinct -208-Hidenwood208-Hidenwood | 705 | 778 | 29 | 1,512 | 46.6% | 51.5% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -109-Windsor109-Windsor | 926 | 501 | 34 | 1,461 | 63.4% | 34.3% | D+29.1 |
| Precinct -302-Briarfield302-Briarfield | 1,019 | 339 | 27 | 1,385 | 73.6% | 24.5% | D+49.1 |
| Precinct -204-Mariners' Museum204-Mariners' Museum | 802 | 476 | 31 | 1,309 | 61.3% | 36.4% | D+24.9 |
| Precinct -313-Reed313-Reed | 1,187 | 85 | 21 | 1,293 | 91.8% | 6.6% | D+85.2 |
| Precinct -212-Riverside212-Riverside | 590 | 618 | 29 | 1,237 | 47.7% | 50.0% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -322-Warwick322-Warwick | 725 | 437 | 17 | 1,179 | 61.5% | 37.1% | D+24.4 |
| Precinct -113-Sanford113-Sanford | 508 | 553 | 26 | 1,087 | 46.7% | 50.9% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -314-River314-River | 684 | 314 | 15 | 1,013 | 67.5% | 31.0% | D+36.5 |
| Precinct -303-Carver303-Carver | 700 | 264 | 23 | 987 | 70.9% | 26.7% | D+44.2 |
| Precinct -108-Katherine Johnson108-Katherine Johnson | 565 | 273 | 20 | 858 | 65.9% | 31.8% | D+34.0 |
| Precinct -310-Marshall310-Marshall | 724 | 64 | 13 | 801 | 90.4% | 8.0% | D+82.4 |
| Precinct -318-Wilson318-Wilson | 628 | 86 | 13 | 727 | 86.4% | 11.8% | D+74.6 |
| Precinct -309-Magruder309-Magruder | 594 | 69 | 9 | 672 | 88.4% | 10.3% | D+78.1 |
| Precinct -317-Washington317-Washington | 600 | 45 | 7 | 652 | 92.0% | 6.9% | D+85.1 |
| Precinct -304-Chestnut304-Chestnut | 567 | 64 | 11 | 642 | 88.3% | 10.0% | D+78.3 |
| Precinct -308-Jefferson308-Jefferson | 486 | 45 | 10 | 541 | 89.8% | 8.3% | D+81.5 |
| Precinct -201-Bland201-Bland | 370 | 153 | 15 | 538 | 68.8% | 28.4% | D+40.3 |
| Precinct -305-Downtown305-Downtown | 344 | 106 | 10 | 460 | 74.8% | 23.0% | D+51.7 |
| Precinct -312-Newsome Park312-Newsome Park | 413 | 27 | 7 | 447 | 92.4% | 6.0% | D+86.4 |
| Bland51700000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Boulevard51700000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Briarfield51700000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carver51700000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Charles51700000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chestnut51700000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deep Creek51700000205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deer Park51700000219 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Denbigh51700000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Downtown51700000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dunbar51700000306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Epes51700000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenwood51700000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hidenwood51700000208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hilton51700000209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Huntington51700000307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson51700000308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jenkins51700000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kiln Creek (CD 02)2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kiln Creek (CD 03)51700000218 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lee Hall51700000108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Magruder51700000309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall51700000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McIntosh51700000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nelson51700000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newmarket51700000311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newsome Park51700000312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oyster Point51700000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmer (CD 02)2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmer (CD 03)51700000211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reed51700000313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reservoir51700000106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richneck51700000107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| River51700000314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Riverside51700000212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Riverview51700000217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sanford51700000213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saunders51700000319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sedgefield51700000315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Morrison51700000316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Warwick51700000215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Washington51700000317 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watkins51700000320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellesley51700000204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilson51700000318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Windsor51700000109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yates51700000216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +42.1% |
| 1896 | −20.5% |
| 1900 | +25.0% |
| 1904 | +33.8% |
| 1908 | +22.5% |
| 1912 | +62.9% |
| 1916 | +32.1% |
| 1920 | +8.5% |
| 1924 | +27.3% |
| 1928 | −22.9% |
| 1932 | +30.6% |
| 1936 | +62.5% |
| 1940 | +61.6% |
| 1944 | +48.4% |
| 1948 | +33.0% |
| 1952 | +6.0% |
| 1956 | −13.8% |
| 1960 | −7.5% |
| 1964 | +18.2% |
| 1968 | +1.6% |
| 1972 | −37.1% |
| 1976 | +4.8% |
| 1980 | −0.8% |
| 1984 | −21.1% |
| 1988 | −20.5% |
| 1992 | −1.7% |
| 1996 | +8.5% |
| 2000 | +4.8% |
| 2004 | +4.6% |
| 2008 | +28.7% |
| 2012 | +30.0% |
| 2016 | +26.6% |
| 2020 | +32.9% |
| 2024 | +28.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 122,314 |
| 2018 | 119,524 |
| 2020 | 123,230 |
| 2022 | 124,954 |
| 2024 | 127,042 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,306 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −26,700 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,016 in average income, against $63,744 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+20.6 on average — 8.1 points more Republican-leaning than Newport News city, VA itself (D+28.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hampton city, VA1,807D+39.8
- York County, VA561R+6.1
- Norfolk city, VA286D+41.3
- Virginia Beach city, VA261D+2.6
- James City County, VA227D+6.2
- Chesapeake city, VA167D+3.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hampton city, VA1,796
- York County, VA609
- Virginia Beach city, VA293
- James City County, VA280
- Norfolk city, VA280
- Chesapeake city, VA188
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −2,707 |
| 2012 | −2,524 |
| 2013 | −719 |
| 2014 | −1,612 |
| 2015 | −2,523 |
| 2016 | −2,556 |
| 2017 | −2,367 |
| 2018 | −2,205 |
| 2019 | −575 |
| 2021 | −2,248 |
| 2022 | −1,683 |
| 2023 | −2,104 |
| 2024 | −1,571 |
| 2025 | −1,306 |
Home to one of the world's largest private shipyards, Newport News combines a majority-minority population with a heavy federal-contractor workforce, producing consistent double-digit Democratic margins in every recent presidential cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 37.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.7 points.
A population of 184,216, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,634 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampton city and Norfolk city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Newport News city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.