- Lead
- 77,326
- Total
- 111,729
- vs nation
- D+70.7
- Turnout
- 56.4%
Clayton County, GA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.4% of 200,569 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 79,663
- Total
- 112,344
- vs nation
- D+66.5
- Turnout
- 59.5%
- Lead
- 65,575
- Total
- 93,580
- vs nation
- D+68.0
- Turnout
- 54.0%
- Lead
- 67,315
- Total
- 96,230
- vs nation
- D+66.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 66,021
- Total
- 99,438
- vs nation
- D+59.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 33,007
- Total
- 79,643
- vs nation
- D+43.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 20,076
- Total
- 61,402
- vs nation
- D+32.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,062
- Total
- 55,242
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+69.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 298,9242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,8062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 68.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Portsmouth city, VA · twin score 98.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.4%113,173 participants ÷ 200,569 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.9%–46.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 93,580 | 173,343 | 54.0% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 92,684 | 182,053 | 50.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 112,769 | 189,559 | 59.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 85,042 | 197,729 | 43.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 113,173 | 200,569 | 56.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
69 precincts · 111,729 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -063JB14 - JONESBORO 14063JB14 - JONESBORO 14 | 2,134 | 721 | 22 | 2,877 | 74.2% | 25.1% | D+49.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -063PH2 - PANHANDLE 2063PH2 - PANHANDLE 2 | 2,259 | 575 | 10 | 2,844 | 79.4% | 20.2% | D+59.2 |
| Precinct -063LJ1 - LOVEJOY 1063LJ1 - LOVEJOY 1 | 2,352 | 424 | 17 | 2,793 | 84.2% | 15.2% | D+69.0 |
| Precinct -063LJ7 - LOVEJOY 7063LJ7 - LOVEJOY 7 | 2,254 | 393 | 19 | 2,666 | 84.5% | 14.7% | D+69.8 |
| Precinct -063LJ6 - LOVEJOY 6063LJ6 - LOVEJOY 6 | 2,291 | 274 | 10 | 2,575 | 89.0% | 10.6% | D+78.3 |
| Precinct -063EW2 - ELLENWOOD 2063EW2 - ELLENWOOD 2 | 2,265 | 224 | 10 | 2,499 | 90.6% | 9.0% | D+81.7 |
| Precinct -063RD04 - RIVERDALE 4063RD04 - RIVERDALE 4 | 1,914 | 296 | 8 | 2,218 | 86.3% | 13.3% | D+72.9 |
| Precinct -063EW1 - ELLENWOOD 1063EW1 - ELLENWOOD 1 | 1,970 | 183 | 11 | 2,164 | 91.0% | 8.5% | D+82.6 |
| Precinct -063LJ2 - LOVEJOY 2063LJ2 - LOVEJOY 2 | 1,770 | 278 | 11 | 2,059 | 86.0% | 13.5% | D+72.5 |
| Precinct -063MO8 - MORROW 8063MO8 - MORROW 8 | 1,815 | 221 | 10 | 2,046 | 88.7% | 10.8% | D+77.9 |
| Precinct -063RD03 - RIVERDALE 3063RD03 - RIVERDALE 3 | 1,838 | 185 | 12 | 2,035 | 90.3% | 9.1% | D+81.2 |
| Precinct -063PH1 - PANHANDLE 1063PH1 - PANHANDLE 1 | 1,795 | 215 | 12 | 2,022 | 88.8% | 10.6% | D+78.1 |
| Precinct -063JB21 - JONESBORO 21063JB21 - JONESBORO 21 | 1,775 | 221 | 13 | 2,009 | 88.4% | 11.0% | D+77.4 |
| Precinct -063JB01 - JONESBORO 1063JB01 - JONESBORO 1 | 1,779 | 214 | 8 | 2,001 | 88.9% | 10.7% | D+78.2 |
| Precinct -063MO5 - MORROW 5063MO5 - MORROW 5 | 1,747 | 237 | 10 | 1,994 | 87.6% | 11.9% | D+75.7 |
| Precinct -063JB18 - JONESBORO 18063JB18 - JONESBORO 18 | 1,671 | 304 | 10 | 1,985 | 84.2% | 15.3% | D+68.9 |
| Precinct -063JB06 - JONESBORO 6063JB06 - JONESBORO 6 | 1,194 | 777 | 7 | 1,978 | 60.4% | 39.3% | D+21.1 |
| Precinct -063LJ5 - LOVEJOY 5063LJ5 - LOVEJOY 5 | 1,704 | 233 | 12 | 1,949 | 87.4% | 12.0% | D+75.5 |
| Precinct -063JB08 - JONESBORO 8063JB08 - JONESBORO 8 | 1,742 | 196 | 8 | 1,946 | 89.5% | 10.1% | D+79.4 |
| Precinct -063JB07 - JONESBORO 7063JB07 - JONESBORO 7 | 1,577 | 327 | 14 | 1,918 | 82.2% | 17.0% | D+65.2 |
| Precinct -063RD08 - RIVERDALE 8063RD08 - RIVERDALE 8 | 1,679 | 214 | 10 | 1,903 | 88.2% | 11.2% | D+77.0 |
| Precinct -063RD02 - RIVERDALE 2063RD02 - RIVERDALE 2 | 1,686 | 170 | 12 | 1,868 | 90.3% | 9.1% | D+81.2 |
| Precinct -063FP5 - FOREST PARK 5063FP5 - FOREST PARK 5 | 1,475 | 373 | 11 | 1,859 | 79.3% | 20.1% | D+59.3 |
| Precinct -063JB19 - JONESBORO 19063JB19 - JONESBORO 19 | 1,663 | 181 | 4 | 1,848 | 90.0% | 9.8% | D+80.2 |
| Precinct -063MO6 - MORROW 6063MO6 - MORROW 6 | 1,505 | 332 | 11 | 1,848 | 81.4% | 18.0% | D+63.5 |
| Precinct -063RD12 - RIVERDALE 12063RD12 - RIVERDALE 12 | 1,618 | 194 | 21 | 1,833 | 88.3% | 10.6% | D+77.7 |
| Precinct -063MO1 - MORROW 1063MO1 - MORROW 1 | 1,575 | 244 | 10 | 1,829 | 86.1% | 13.3% | D+72.8 |
| Precinct -063LC1 - LAKE CITY063LC1 - LAKE CITY | 1,462 | 267 | 13 | 1,742 | 83.9% | 15.3% | D+68.6 |
| Precinct -063LJ4 - LOVEJOY 4063LJ4 - LOVEJOY 4 | 1,497 | 227 | 8 | 1,732 | 86.4% | 13.1% | D+73.3 |
| Precinct -063JB17 - JONESBORO 17063JB17 - JONESBORO 17 | 1,515 | 161 | 7 | 1,683 | 90.0% | 9.6% | D+80.5 |
| Precinct -063JB13 - JONESBORO 13063JB13 - JONESBORO 13 | 1,405 | 245 | 5 | 1,655 | 84.9% | 14.8% | D+70.1 |
| Precinct -063JB11 - JONESBORO 11063JB11 - JONESBORO 11 | 1,287 | 351 | 9 | 1,647 | 78.1% | 21.3% | D+56.8 |
| Precinct -063JB12 - JONESBORO 12063JB12 - JONESBORO 12 | 1,473 | 164 | 5 | 1,642 | 89.7% | 10.0% | D+79.7 |
| Precinct -063JB10 - JONESBORO 10063JB10 - JONESBORO 10 | 1,391 | 221 | 12 | 1,624 | 85.7% | 13.6% | D+72.0 |
| Precinct -063RD06 - RIVERDALE 6063RD06 - RIVERDALE 6 | 1,340 | 251 | 7 | 1,598 | 83.9% | 15.7% | D+68.1 |
| Precinct -063RD01 - RIVERDALE 1063RD01 - RIVERDALE 1 | 1,416 | 161 | 9 | 1,586 | 89.3% | 10.2% | D+79.1 |
| Precinct -063MO3 - MORROW 3063MO3 - MORROW 3 | 1,146 | 425 | 4 | 1,575 | 72.8% | 27.0% | D+45.8 |
| Precinct -063FP1 - FOREST PARK 1063FP1 - FOREST PARK 1 | 1,213 | 325 | 11 | 1,549 | 78.3% | 21.0% | D+57.3 |
| Precinct -063RD05 - RIVERDALE 5063RD05 - RIVERDALE 5 | 1,369 | 169 | 10 | 1,548 | 88.4% | 10.9% | D+77.5 |
| Precinct -063MO10 - MORROW 10063MO10 - MORROW 10 | 1,251 | 265 | 7 | 1,523 | 82.1% | 17.4% | D+64.7 |
| Precinct -063RD09 - RIVERDALE 9063RD09 - RIVERDALE 9 | 1,243 | 243 | 7 | 1,493 | 83.3% | 16.3% | D+67.0 |
| Precinct -063FP2 - FOREST PARK 2063FP2 - FOREST PARK 2 | 1,182 | 285 | 13 | 1,480 | 79.9% | 19.3% | D+60.6 |
| Precinct -063OAK4 - OAK 4063OAK4 - OAK 4 | 1,327 | 120 | 8 | 1,455 | 91.2% | 8.2% | D+83.0 |
| Precinct -063FP3 - FOREST PARK 3063FP3 - FOREST PARK 3 | 1,132 | 275 | 8 | 1,415 | 80.0% | 19.4% | D+60.6 |
| Precinct -063OAK3 - OAK 3063OAK3 - OAK 3 | 1,309 | 95 | 5 | 1,409 | 92.9% | 6.7% | D+86.2 |
| Precinct -063JB20 - JONESBORO 20063JB20 - JONESBORO 20 | 1,249 | 130 | 7 | 1,386 | 90.1% | 9.4% | D+80.7 |
| Precinct -063JB16 - JONESBORO 16063JB16 - JONESBORO 16 | 1,126 | 216 | 22 | 1,364 | 82.6% | 15.8% | D+66.7 |
| Precinct -063OAK1 - OAK 1063OAK1 - OAK 1 | 1,238 | 115 | 9 | 1,362 | 90.9% | 8.4% | D+82.5 |
| Precinct -063RD07 - RIVERDALE 7063RD07 - RIVERDALE 7 | 1,035 | 251 | 9 | 1,295 | 79.9% | 19.4% | D+60.5 |
| Precinct -063JB05 - JONESBORO 5063JB05 - JONESBORO 5 | 986 | 246 | 7 | 1,239 | 79.6% | 19.9% | D+59.7 |
| Precinct -063MO2 - MORROW 2063MO2 - MORROW 2 | 811 | 418 | 8 | 1,237 | 65.6% | 33.8% | D+31.8 |
| Precinct -063JB15 - JONESBORO 15063JB15 - JONESBORO 15 | 1,045 | 177 | 9 | 1,231 | 84.9% | 14.4% | D+70.5 |
| Precinct -063RD10 - RIVERDALE 10063RD10 - RIVERDALE 10 | 1,115 | 97 | 9 | 1,221 | 91.3% | 7.9% | D+83.4 |
| Precinct -063RD11 - RIVERDALE 11063RD11 - RIVERDALE 11 | 1,111 | 91 | 8 | 1,210 | 91.8% | 7.5% | D+84.3 |
| Precinct -063MO11 - MORROW 11063MO11 - MORROW 11 | 982 | 199 | 4 | 1,185 | 82.9% | 16.8% | D+66.1 |
| Precinct -063LJ3 - LOVEJOY 3063LJ3 - LOVEJOY 3 | 989 | 182 | 6 | 1,177 | 84.0% | 15.5% | D+68.6 |
| Precinct -063MO4 - MORROW 4063MO4 - MORROW 4 | 909 | 254 | 13 | 1,176 | 77.3% | 21.6% | D+55.7 |
| Precinct -063JB04 - JONESBORO 4063JB04 - JONESBORO 4 | 951 | 201 | 10 | 1,162 | 81.8% | 17.3% | D+64.5 |
| Precinct -063MO7 - MORROW 7063MO7 - MORROW 7 | 844 | 248 | 8 | 1,100 | 76.7% | 22.5% | D+54.2 |
| Precinct -063JB02 - JONESBORO 2063JB02 - JONESBORO 2 | 1,017 | 77 | 1 | 1,095 | 92.9% | 7.0% | D+85.8 |
| Precinct -063FP4 - FOREST PARK 4063FP4 - FOREST PARK 4 | 635 | 368 | 15 | 1,018 | 62.4% | 36.1% | D+26.2 |
| Precinct -063LJ8 - LOVEJOY 8063LJ8 - LOVEJOY 8 | 898 | 86 | 4 | 988 | 90.9% | 8.7% | D+82.2 |
| Precinct -063FP6 - FOREST PARK 6063FP6 - FOREST PARK 6 | 596 | 283 | 7 | 886 | 67.3% | 31.9% | D+35.3 |
| Precinct -063MO9 - MORROW 9063MO9 - MORROW 9 | 682 | 140 | 5 | 827 | 82.5% | 16.9% | D+65.5 |
| Precinct -063OAK2 - OAK 2063OAK2 - OAK 2 | 716 | 102 | 8 | 826 | 86.7% | 12.3% | D+74.3 |
| Precinct -063JB09 - JONESBORO 9063JB09 - JONESBORO 9 | 584 | 144 | 6 | 734 | 79.6% | 19.6% | D+59.9 |
| Precinct -063JB03 - JONESBORO 3063JB03 - JONESBORO 3 | 482 | 245 | 6 | 733 | 65.8% | 33.4% | D+32.3 |
| Precinct -063OAK5 - OAK 5063OAK5 - OAK 5 | 600 | 78 | 0 | 678 | 88.5% | 11.5% | D+77.0 |
| Precinct -063OAK6 - OAK 6063OAK6 - OAK 6 | 597 | 73 | 7 | 677 | 88.2% | 10.8% | D+77.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.1% |
| 1896 | +4.3% |
| 1900 | +29.9% |
| 1904 | +48.8% |
| 1908 | +4.3% |
| 1912 | +78.6% |
| 1916 | +86.4% |
| 1920 | +86.6% |
| 1924 | +57.6% |
| 1928 | −0.6% |
| 1932 | +94.5% |
| 1936 | +76.9% |
| 1940 | +79.0% |
| 1944 | +76.3% |
| 1948 | +56.2% |
| 1952 | +53.5% |
| 1956 | +55.2% |
| 1960 | +33.2% |
| 1964 | −28.2% |
| 1968 | −20.2% |
| 1972 | −72.7% |
| 1976 | +24.8% |
| 1980 | −4.3% |
| 1984 | −45.7% |
| 1988 | −31.4% |
| 1992 | +3.3% |
| 1996 | +18.2% |
| 2000 | +32.7% |
| 2004 | +41.4% |
| 2008 | +66.4% |
| 2012 | +70.0% |
| 2016 | +70.1% |
| 2020 | +70.9% |
| 2024 | +69.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 85.8%93,792 | 14.2%15,552 | 109,344 |
| 2020 | D | 86.9%95,579 | 13.1%14,429 | 110,008 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 170,933 |
| 2018 | 185,452 |
| 2020 | 202,388 |
| 2022 | 206,302 |
| 2024 | 216,028 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−2,020 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −10,776 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $34,766 in average income, against $43,411 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+34.0 on average — 35 points more Republican-leaning than Clayton County, GA itself (D+69.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fulton County, GA3,241D+44.9
- DeKalb County, GA1,677D+64.8
- Henry County, GA1,554D+29.7
- Cobb County, GA436D+14.9
- Gwinnett County, GA428D+16.5
- Fayette County, GA311R+3.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fulton County, GA3,146
- Henry County, GA2,260
- DeKalb County, GA1,398
- Cobb County, GA454
- Fayette County, GA451
- Gwinnett County, GA428
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,121 |
| 2012 | −57 |
| 2013 | −4,741 |
| 2014 | −486 |
| 2015 | +2,554 |
| 2016 | +2,772 |
| 2017 | +1,803 |
| 2018 | +2,043 |
| 2019 | +408 |
| 2021 | −1,976 |
| 2022 | −2,776 |
| 2023 | −2,410 |
| 2024 | −4,769 |
| 2025 | −2,020 |
Clayton County, anchored by communities south of Atlanta and home to Hartsfield-Jackson's cargo corridor, has shifted steadily left over two decades and now delivers presidential margins exceeding 60 points for Democratic nominees.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.2 points.
A population of 298,924, a 8% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,806 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Portsmouth city and Hampton city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clayton County, Georgia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/13063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.