Akashic

county

Baldwin County, GA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English9.5%10.3%9.5%

American6.9%7.6%5.3%

Irish6.3%6.9%9.4%

German5.4%6.3%12.5%

Italian1.3%2.2%4.8%

Scottish1.3%1.7%1.3%

Scotch-Irish0.8%——

Welsh0.5%——

African American†39.3%27.4%9.9%

African1.5%0.8%0.5%

Jamaican0.2%0.7%0.4%

Mexican1.1%5.5%11.3%

Guatemalan0.5%0.7%0.5%

Puerto Rican0.2%1.2%1.8%

Dominican0.2%—0.7%

Colombian0.2%0.4%0.4%

Venezuelan0.2%0.3%—

Filipino1.0%0.2%0.9%

Asian Indian0.2%1.6%1.4%

Taiwanese0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Baldwin County	Georgia	United States
Median age	36.5	37.7	39.1
Age 18–24	17.9%	9.5%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.3%	15.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Baldwin County	Georgia	United States
Median household income	$54,403	$77,353	$84,427
Poverty rate	21.7%	13.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	24.4%	34.9%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Baldwin County	Georgia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.6%	15.5%	22.3%
Spanish	2.8%	8.7%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Baldwin County	Georgia	United States
Catholic	3.5%	8.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	23.0%	26.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	65.0%	49.3%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 54.3% of 34,930 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic48.7%9,159TrumpRepublican50.9%9,574OliverLibertarian0.3%59

R+2.2

Lead: 415
Total: 18,825
vs nation: R+0.7
Turnout: 54.3%

BidenDemocratic50.1%9,140TrumpRepublican48.8%8,903JorgensenLibertarian1.1%208

D+1.3

Lead: 237
Total: 18,251
vs nation: R+3.2
Turnout: 50.9%

ClintonDemocratic49.5%7,970TrumpRepublican47.8%7,697JohnsonLibertarian2.6%419

D+1.7

Lead: 273
Total: 16,116
vs nation: R+0.4
Turnout: 44.9%

ObamaDemocratic52.1%8,483RomneyRepublican46.6%7,589OtherAll other candidates1.2%198

D+5.5

Lead: 894
Total: 16,270
vs nation: D+1.6
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic51.9%8,587McCainRepublican47.3%7,823OtherAll other candidates0.8%127

D+4.6

Lead: 764
Total: 16,537
vs nation: R+2.7
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic46.5%6,775BushRepublican52.9%7,709OtherAll other candidates0.6%91

R+6.4

Lead: 934
Total: 14,575
vs nation: R+4.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic48.6%5,893BushRepublican49.8%6,041NaderGreen0.2%22

R+1.2

Lead: 148
Total: 12,126
vs nation: R+1.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic51.2%5,740DoleRepublican40.8%4,570PerotReform7.6%849

D+10.4

Lead: 1,170
Total: 11,205
vs nation: D+1.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+2.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 43,6422024 5-year
Median household income: $54,4032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 51.4%2024 5-year
Black: 41.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+88.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+54.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Sunflower County, MS · twin score 94.7

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 54.3%18,966 participants ÷ 34,930 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +7.6 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
Drop-off versus state: -8.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 46.7%–49.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	16,275	36,223	44.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	15,691	35,843	43.8%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	18,342	36,070	50.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	15,171	35,054	43.3%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	18,966	34,930	54.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

14 precincts · 18,825 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Baldwin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -MONTMONT	1,242	1,672	12	2,926	42.4%	57.1%	R+14.7
Precinct -03180318	862	2,020	15	2,897	29.8%	69.7%	R+40.0
Precinct -MERIMERI	900	1,554	10	2,464	36.5%	63.1%	R+26.5
Precinct -0321W0321W	1,398	450	11	1,859	75.2%	24.2%	D+51.0
Precinct -CTY6CTY6	859	777	8	1,644	52.3%	47.3%	D+5.0
Precinct -03190319	629	813	6	1,448	43.4%	56.1%	R+12.7
Precinct -03220322	318	889	5	1,212	26.2%	73.3%	R+47.1
Precinct -CTY5CTY5	689	219	5	913	75.5%	24.0%	D+51.5
Precinct -17141714	264	453	2	719	36.7%	63.0%	R+26.3
Precinct -CTY1CTY1	534	163	4	701	76.2%	23.3%	D+52.9
Precinct -CTY3CTY3	503	161	1	665	75.6%	24.2%	D+51.4
Precinct -0321E0321E	477	141	4	622	76.7%	22.7%	D+54.0
Precinct -CTY2CTY2	323	144	4	471	68.6%	30.6%	D+38.0
Precinct -CTY4CTY4	161	118	5	284	56.7%	41.5%	D+15.1

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+55.8%
1896	+10.9%
1900	+68.9%
1904	+79.2%
1908	+30.9%
1912	+86.3%
1916	+74.9%
1920	+71.5%
1924	+73.1%
1928	+45.0%
1932	+88.5%
1936	+75.4%
1940	+73.0%
1944	+62.0%
1948	+27.4%
1952	+38.8%
1956	+35.6%
1960	+28.3%
1964	−11.2%
1968	−2.9%
1972	−54.2%
1976	+12.8%
1980	+8.8%
1984	−19.5%
1988	−18.6%
1992	+13.2%
1996	+10.4%
2000	−1.2%
2004	−6.4%
2008	+4.6%
2012	+5.5%
2016	+1.7%
2020	+1.3%
2024	−2.2%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	48.7%Harris9,159	50.9%Trump9,574	0.3%Oliver59	R+2.2	R+3.5	R+0.7	18,825
2020	D	50.1%Biden9,140	48.8%Trump8,903	1.1%Jorgensen208	D+1.3	R+0.4	R+3.2	18,251
2016	D	49.5%Clinton7,970	47.8%Trump7,697	2.6%Johnson419	D+1.7	R+3.8	R+0.4	16,116
2012	D	52.1%Obama8,483	46.6%Romney7,589	1.2%	D+5.5	D+0.9	D+1.6	16,270
2008	D	51.9%Obama8,587	47.3%McCain7,823	0.8%	D+4.6	D+11.0	R+2.7	16,537
2004	R	46.5%Kerry6,775	52.9%Bush7,709	0.6%	R+6.4	R+5.2	R+4.0	14,575
2000	R	48.6%Gore5,893	49.8%Bush6,041	0.2%Nader22	R+1.2	R+11.7	R+1.7	12,126
1996	D	51.2%Clinton5,740	40.8%Dole4,570	7.6%Perot849	D+10.4	R+2.7	D+1.9	11,205
1992	D	49.3%Clinton5,813	36.2%Bush4,262	14.2%Perot1,679	D+13.2	D+31.8	D+7.6	11,788
1988	R	40.4%Dukakis4,008	59.0%Bush5,852	0.5%	R+18.6	D+0.9	R+10.9	9,911
1984	R	40.3%Mondale3,853	59.7%Reagan5,717	0.0%	R+19.5	R+28.2	R+1.3	9,570
1980	D	52.5%Carter4,368	43.7%Reagan3,639	3.8%	D+8.8	R+4.1	D+18.5	8,326
1976	D	56.4%Carter4,674	43.6%Ford3,612	0.0%	D+12.8	D+67.0	D+10.8	8,286
1972	R	22.9%McGovern1,435	77.1%Nixon4,826	0.0%	R+54.2	R+51.2	R+31.0	6,261
1968	O	29.7%Humphrey2,109	32.6%Nixon2,318	37.7%	Wallace +5.1	D+8.2	R+2.2	7,111
1964	R	44.4%Johnson2,740	55.6%Goldwater3,430	0.0%	R+11.2	R+39.5	R+33.8	6,170
1960	D	64.2%Kennedy2,262	35.8%Nixon1,264	0.0%	D+28.3	R+7.3	D+28.1	3,526
1956	D	67.8%Stevenson2,275	32.2%Eisenhower1,080	0.0%	D+35.6	R+3.1	D+51.0	3,355
1952	D	69.4%Stevenson2,318	30.6%Eisenhower1,023	0.0%	D+38.8	D+11.4	D+49.5	3,341
1948	D	54.0%Truman1,132	26.7%Dewey559	19.3%	D+27.4	R+34.6	D+22.9	2,095
1944	D	81.0%Roosevelt1,307	19.0%Dewey307	0.0%	D+62.0	R+11.1	D+54.5	1,614
1940	D	86.4%Roosevelt1,313	13.4%Willkie203	0.3%	D+73.0	R+2.4	D+63.1	1,520
1936	D	87.6%Roosevelt811	12.2%Landon113	0.2%	D+75.4	R+13.1	D+51.1	926
1932	D	93.8%Roosevelt801	5.3%Hoover45	0.9%	D+88.5	D+43.5	D+70.7	854
1928	D	72.5%Smith712	27.5%Hoover270	0.0%	D+45.0	R+28.1	D+62.5	982
1924	D	83.9%Davis826	10.9%Coolidge107	5.2%La Follette51	D+73.1	D+1.6	D+98.2	984
1920	D	85.8%Cox554	14.2%Harding92	0.0%	D+71.5	R+3.4	D+97.7	646
1916	D	84.4%Wilson579	9.5%Hughes65	6.1%	D+74.9	R+11.3	D+71.8	686
1912	D	89.7%Wilson621	3.5%Taft24	6.8%	D+86.3	D+55.4	D+66.7	692
1908	D	59.6%Bryan417	28.7%Taft201	11.7%	D+30.9	R+48.3	D+40.4	700
1904	D	81.7%Parker494	2.5%Roosevelt15	15.9%	D+79.2	D+10.2	D+98.8	605
1900	D	81.3%Bryan500	12.4%McKinley76	6.3%	D+68.9	D+58.1	D+76.5	615
1896	D	53.0%Bryan516	42.1%McKinley410	4.9%	D+10.9	R+44.9	D+17.0	974
1892	D	71.7%Cleveland541	15.9%Harrison120	12.5%	D+55.8	—	D+54.1	755
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 34 Senate · 5 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	45.1%8,062	54.9%9,810	17,872
2020	R	48.7%8,633	51.3%9,101	17,734

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	49.0%7,327	49.6%7,416	14,957
2020Class II	R	48.6%Jon Ossoff8,783	49.1%David Perdue8,873	18,082
2016Class III	R	45.1%Jim Barksdale6,787	51.8%Johnny Isakson7,796	15,048
2014Class II	D	51.3%Michelle Nunn5,453	47.0%David Perdue4,998	10,635
2010Class III	R	46.0%Michael Thurmond5,085	51.5%Johnny Isakson5,689	11,055
2008Class II	D	50.2%Jim Martin4,483	49.8%Saxby ChamblissR4,452	8,935
2004Class III	R	45.6%Denise L. Majette6,468	52.7%Johnny Isakson7,483	14,194
2002Class II	D	51.6%Max Cleland4,958	47.4%Saxby Chambliss4,556	9,605
1998Class III	R	48.6%Michael J. Coles4,199	49.7%Paul Coverdell4,297	8,638
1996Class II	D	58.0%Max Cleland6,096	39.8%Guy Milner4,182	10,502
1992Class III	D	53.9%Wyche Fowler3,492	46.1%Paul Coverdell R2,982	6,474
1990Class II	D	100.0%Sam Nunn5,169	0.0%None0	5,169
1986Class III	R	47.0%Wyche Fowler2,989	53.0%Mack Mattingly3,370	6,359
1984Class II	D	87.7%Sam Nunn7,191	12.3%J. Michael Hicks1,011	8,202
1980Class III	D	51.5%Herman Talmadge4,176	48.5%Mack Mattingly3,926	8,102
1978Class II	D	83.9%Sam Nunn2,525	16.1%John W. Stokes483	3,008
1974Class III	D	71.1%Herman Talmadge3,363	28.9%Jerry Johnson1,365	4,728
1972Class II	D	55.6%Sam Nunn3,596	44.4%Fletcher Thompson2,875	6,471
1968Class III	D	80.5%Herman Talmadge5,314	19.5%E. Earl Patton1,290	6,604
1966Class II	D	100.0%Richard B. Russell3,271	0.0%None0	3,271
1962Class III	D	100.0%Herman Talmadge1,137	0.0%None0	1,137
1960Class II	D	100.0%Richard B. Russell3,271	0.0%None0	3,271
1956Class III	D	100.0%Herman Talmadge3,073	0.0%None0	3,073
1954Class II	D	100.0%Richard B. Russell1,813	0.0%None0	1,813
1950Class III	D	100.0%Walter F. George1,594	0.0%None0	1,594
1948Class II	D	99.9%Richard B. Russell1,877	0.0%None0	1,879
1944Class III	D	100.0%Walter F. George1,307	0.0%None0	1,307
1942Class II	D	98.7%Richard B. Russell310	0.0%None0	314
1938Class III	D	98.0%Walter F. George295	0.0%None0	301
1936Class II	D	100.0%Richard B. Russell847	0.0%None0	847
1932Class III	D	94.5%Walter F. George800	5.5%James W. Arnold47	847
1930Class II	D	100.0%William J. Harris174	0.0%None0	174
1926Class III	D	100.0%Walter F. George1,218	0.0%None0	1,218
1914Class III	D	80.5%Hoke Smith318	0.0%None0	395

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2020Special · Class III	D	52.0%Raphael Warnock8,564	48.0%Kelly Loeffler7,898	16,462
2000Special · Class III	D	53.8%Zell Miller4,969	39.7%Mack Mattingly3,663	9,231
1932Special · Class II	D	100.0%Richard B. Russell802	0.0%None0	802
1922Special · Class III	D	100.0%Walter F. George584	0.0%None0	584
1914Special · Class II	D	80.7%Thomas W. Hardwick322	0.0%None0	399

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	46.1%Stacey Abrams6,913	53.2%Brian Kemp7,987	15,002
2018	D	49.8%Stacey Abrams7,793	49.5%Brian Kemp7,735	15,636
2014	D	50.6%Jason Carter5,318	47.4%Nathan Deal4,975	10,503
2010	D	50.8%Roy Barnes5,689	45.8%Nathan Deal5,133	11,203
2006	D	48.4%Mark Taylor4,857	48.3%Sonny Perdue4,843	10,032
2002	R	47.2%Roy Barnes4,523	51.1%Sonny Perdue4,900	9,584
1998	D	64.5%Roy Barnes6,167	33.1%Guy Millner3,167	9,557
1994	D	51.7%Zell Miller4,313	48.3%Guy Millner4,031	8,346
1990	D	57.0%Zell Miller4,473	41.3%Johnny Isakson3,241	7,844
1986	D	73.0%Joe Frank Harris4,194	27.0%Guy Davis1,549	5,743
1982	D	56.4%Joe Frank Harris3,495	43.6%Robert H. Bell2,704	6,199
1978	D	72.2%George Busbee2,277	27.8%Rodney Mims Cook Sr.876	3,153

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Baldwin County, GA
Year	Total registered
2016	24,962
2018	24,760
2020	27,259
2022	27,556
2024	29,195

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+227 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −688 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $50,232 in average income, against $66,769 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+2.0 on average — 4.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Baldwin County, GA itself (R+2.2).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Putnam County, GA97R+42.2
Bibb County, GA64D+22.4
Jones County, GA61R+38.0
Wilkinson County, GA61R+17.8
Hancock County, GA58D+35.4
Gwinnett County, GA39D+16.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Putnam County, GA91
Bibb County, GA70
Wilkinson County, GA59
Jones County, GA55
Hancock County, GA45
Washington County, GA44

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Baldwin County, GA in Baldwin County, GA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−679
2012	+1,186
2013	−473
2014	−338
2015	−475
2016	−345
2017	−223
2018	−32
2019	+42
2021	+40
2022	+153
2023	−135
2024	+364
2025	+227

Baldwin County, home to Georgia's state prison system and Georgia College & State University, shifted from a double-digit Democratic margin in 2020 to R+2.2 in 2024 — one of the state's more striking realignment stories in a midsize county.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.2 points.

A population of 43,642, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,403 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sunflower County and Dougherty County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Sunflower County

Mississippi

94.7twin score

median age% Catholic% Latino≠ 2012 margin

Dougherty County

Georgia

94.6twin score

median age% Catholicmedian income≠ 2024 margin

Sumter County

Georgia

94.3twin score

% Black2016–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Baldwin County, Georgia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/13009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Baldwin County

Georgia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Baldwin County, Georgia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Baldwin County, Georgia voted Republican by 2.2 points (R+2.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,825 votes cast, 9,159 went Democratic and 9,574 went Republican.

When did Baldwin County, Georgia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Baldwin County, Georgia voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Baldwin County, Georgia?

Baldwin County, Georgia has a population of 43,642 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Baldwin County, Georgia?

Median household income in Baldwin County, Georgia is $54,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Georgia state median is $77,353.

What is the political history of Baldwin County, Georgia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baldwin County, Georgia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.

Measure

Baldwin County

Georgia

United States

Median age

36.5

37.7

39.1

Age 18–24

17.9%

9.5%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.3%

15.0%

17.2%

Measure

Baldwin County

Georgia

United States

Median household income

$54,403

$77,353

$84,427

Poverty rate

21.7%

13.5%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

24.4%

34.9%

35.6%

Measure

Baldwin County

Georgia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.6%

15.5%

22.3%

Spanish

2.8%

8.7%

13.6%

Measure

Baldwin County

Georgia

United States

Catholic

3.5%

8.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

23.0%

26.2%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

65.0%

49.3%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+2.2MIT Election Lab

Population

43,6422024 5-year

Median household income

$54,4032024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

51.4%2024 5-year

Black

41.3%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.9%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+88.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+54.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Sunflower County, MS · twin score 94.7

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

16,275

36,223

44.9%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

15,691

35,843

43.8%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

18,342

36,070

50.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

15,171

35,054

43.3%

C/A

2024 · Presidential

18,966

34,930

54.3%

A/A

Baldwin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -MONTMONT

1,242

1,672

2,926

42.4%

57.1%

R+14.7

Precinct -03180318

862

2,020

2,897

29.8%

69.7%

R+40.0

Precinct -MERIMERI

900

1,554

2,464

36.5%

63.1%

R+26.5

Precinct -0321W0321W

1,398

450

1,859

75.2%

24.2%

D+51.0

Precinct -CTY6CTY6

859

777

1,644

52.3%

47.3%

D+5.0

Precinct -03190319

629

813

1,448

43.4%

56.1%

R+12.7

Precinct -03220322

318

889

1,212

26.2%

73.3%

R+47.1

Precinct -CTY5CTY5

689

219

913

75.5%

24.0%

D+51.5

Precinct -17141714

264

453

719

36.7%

63.0%

R+26.3

Precinct -CTY1CTY1

534

163

701

76.2%

23.3%

D+52.9

Precinct -CTY3CTY3

503

161

665

75.6%

24.2%

D+51.4

Precinct -0321E0321E

477

141

622

76.7%

22.7%

D+54.0

Precinct -CTY2CTY2

323

144

471

68.6%

30.6%

D+38.0

Precinct -CTY4CTY4

161

118

284

56.7%

41.5%

D+15.1

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+55.8%
1896	+10.9%
1900	+68.9%
1904	+79.2%
1908	+30.9%
1912	+86.3%
1916	+74.9%
1920	+71.5%
1924	+73.1%
1928	+45.0%
1932	+88.5%
1936	+75.4%
1940	+73.0%
1944	+62.0%
1948	+27.4%
1952	+38.8%
1956	+35.6%
1960	+28.3%
1964	−11.2%
1968	−2.9%
1972	−54.2%
1976	+12.8%
1980	+8.8%
1984	−19.5%
1988	−18.6%
1992	+13.2%
1996	+10.4%
2000	−1.2%
2004	−6.4%
2008	+4.6%
2012	+5.5%
2016	+1.7%
2020	+1.3%
2024	−2.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

48.7%Harris9,159

50.9%Trump9,574

0.3%Oliver59

R+2.2

R+3.5

R+0.7

18,825

2020

50.1%Biden9,140

48.8%Trump8,903

1.1%Jorgensen208

D+1.3

R+0.4

R+3.2

18,251

2016

49.5%Clinton7,970

47.8%Trump7,697

2.6%Johnson419

D+1.7

R+3.8

R+0.4

16,116

2012

52.1%Obama8,483

46.6%Romney7,589

1.2%

D+5.5

D+0.9

D+1.6

16,270

2008

51.9%Obama8,587

47.3%McCain7,823

0.8%

D+4.6

D+11.0

R+2.7

16,537

2004

46.5%Kerry6,775

52.9%Bush7,709

0.6%

R+6.4

R+5.2

R+4.0

14,575

2000

48.6%Gore5,893

49.8%Bush6,041

0.2%Nader22

R+1.2

R+11.7

R+1.7

12,126

1996

51.2%Clinton5,740

40.8%Dole4,570

7.6%Perot849

D+10.4

R+2.7

D+1.9

11,205

1992

49.3%Clinton5,813

36.2%Bush4,262

14.2%Perot1,679

D+13.2

D+31.8

D+7.6

11,788

1988

40.4%Dukakis4,008

59.0%Bush5,852

0.5%

R+18.6

D+0.9

R+10.9

9,911

1984

40.3%Mondale3,853

59.7%Reagan5,717

0.0%

R+19.5

R+28.2

R+1.3

9,570

1980

52.5%Carter4,368

43.7%Reagan3,639

3.8%

D+8.8

R+4.1

D+18.5

8,326

1976

56.4%Carter4,674

43.6%Ford3,612

0.0%

D+12.8

D+67.0

D+10.8

8,286

1972

22.9%McGovern1,435

77.1%Nixon4,826

0.0%

R+54.2

R+51.2

R+31.0

6,261

1968

29.7%Humphrey2,109

32.6%Nixon2,318

37.7%

Wallace +5.1

D+8.2

R+2.2

7,111

1964

44.4%Johnson2,740

55.6%Goldwater3,430

0.0%

R+11.2

R+39.5

R+33.8

6,170

1960

64.2%Kennedy2,262

35.8%Nixon1,264

0.0%

D+28.3

R+7.3

D+28.1

3,526

1956

67.8%Stevenson2,275

32.2%Eisenhower1,080

0.0%

D+35.6

R+3.1

D+51.0

3,355

1952

69.4%Stevenson2,318

30.6%Eisenhower1,023

0.0%

D+38.8

D+11.4

D+49.5

3,341

1948

54.0%Truman1,132

26.7%Dewey559

19.3%

D+27.4

R+34.6

D+22.9

2,095

1944

81.0%Roosevelt1,307

19.0%Dewey307

0.0%

D+62.0

R+11.1

D+54.5

1,614

1940

86.4%Roosevelt1,313

13.4%Willkie203

0.3%

D+73.0

R+2.4

D+63.1

1,520

1936

87.6%Roosevelt811

12.2%Landon113

0.2%

D+75.4

R+13.1

D+51.1

926

1932

93.8%Roosevelt801

5.3%Hoover45

0.9%

D+88.5

D+43.5

D+70.7

854

1928

72.5%Smith712

27.5%Hoover270

0.0%

D+45.0

R+28.1

D+62.5

982

1924

83.9%Davis826

10.9%Coolidge107

5.2%La Follette51

D+73.1

D+1.6

D+98.2

984

1920

85.8%Cox554

14.2%Harding92

0.0%

D+71.5

R+3.4

D+97.7

646

1916

84.4%Wilson579

9.5%Hughes65

6.1%

D+74.9

R+11.3

D+71.8

686

1912

89.7%Wilson621

3.5%Taft24

6.8%

D+86.3

D+55.4

D+66.7

692

1908

59.6%Bryan417

28.7%Taft201

11.7%

D+30.9

R+48.3

D+40.4

700

1904

81.7%Parker494

2.5%Roosevelt15

15.9%

D+79.2

D+10.2

D+98.8

605

1900

81.3%Bryan500

12.4%McKinley76

6.3%

D+68.9

D+58.1

D+76.5

615

1896

53.0%Bryan516

42.1%McKinley410

4.9%

D+10.9

R+44.9

D+17.0

974

1892

71.7%Cleveland541

15.9%Harrison120

12.5%

D+55.8

—

D+54.1

755

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

45.1%8,062

54.9%9,810

17,872

2020

48.7%8,633

51.3%9,101

17,734

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

49.0%7,327

49.6%7,416

14,957

2020Class II

48.6%Jon Ossoff8,783

49.1%David Perdue8,873

18,082

2016Class III

45.1%Jim Barksdale6,787

51.8%Johnny Isakson7,796

15,048

2014Class II

51.3%Michelle Nunn5,453

47.0%David Perdue4,998

10,635

2010Class III

46.0%Michael Thurmond5,085

51.5%Johnny Isakson5,689

11,055

2008Class II

50.2%Jim Martin4,483

49.8%Saxby ChamblissR4,452

8,935

2004Class III

45.6%Denise L. Majette6,468

52.7%Johnny Isakson7,483

14,194

2002Class II

51.6%Max Cleland4,958

47.4%Saxby Chambliss4,556

9,605

1998Class III

48.6%Michael J. Coles4,199

49.7%Paul Coverdell4,297

8,638

1996Class II

58.0%Max Cleland6,096

39.8%Guy Milner4,182

10,502

1992Class III

53.9%Wyche Fowler3,492

46.1%Paul Coverdell R2,982

6,474

1990Class II

100.0%Sam Nunn5,169

0.0%None0

5,169

1986Class III

47.0%Wyche Fowler2,989

53.0%Mack Mattingly3,370

6,359

1984Class II

87.7%Sam Nunn7,191

12.3%J. Michael Hicks1,011

8,202

1980Class III

51.5%Herman Talmadge4,176

48.5%Mack Mattingly3,926

8,102

1978Class II

83.9%Sam Nunn2,525

16.1%John W. Stokes483

3,008

1974Class III

71.1%Herman Talmadge3,363

28.9%Jerry Johnson1,365

4,728

1972Class II

55.6%Sam Nunn3,596

44.4%Fletcher Thompson2,875

6,471

1968Class III

80.5%Herman Talmadge5,314

19.5%E. Earl Patton1,290

6,604

1966Class II

100.0%Richard B. Russell3,271

0.0%None0

3,271

1962Class III

100.0%Herman Talmadge1,137

0.0%None0

1,137

1960Class II

100.0%Richard B. Russell3,271

0.0%None0

3,271

1956Class III

100.0%Herman Talmadge3,073

0.0%None0

3,073

1954Class II

100.0%Richard B. Russell1,813

0.0%None0

1,813

1950Class III

100.0%Walter F. George1,594

0.0%None0

1,594

1948Class II

99.9%Richard B. Russell1,877

0.0%None0

1,879

1944Class III

100.0%Walter F. George1,307

0.0%None0

1,307

1942Class II

98.7%Richard B. Russell310

0.0%None0

314

1938Class III

98.0%Walter F. George295

0.0%None0

301

1936Class II

100.0%Richard B. Russell847

0.0%None0

847

1932Class III

94.5%Walter F. George800

5.5%James W. Arnold47

847

1930Class II

100.0%William J. Harris174

0.0%None0

174

1926Class III

100.0%Walter F. George1,218

0.0%None0

1,218

1914Class III

80.5%Hoke Smith318

0.0%None0

395

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2020Special · Class III

52.0%Raphael Warnock8,564

48.0%Kelly Loeffler7,898

16,462

2000Special · Class III

53.8%Zell Miller4,969

39.7%Mack Mattingly3,663

9,231

1932Special · Class II

100.0%Richard B. Russell802

0.0%None0

802

1922Special · Class III

100.0%Walter F. George584

0.0%None0

584

1914Special · Class II

80.7%Thomas W. Hardwick322

0.0%None0

399

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

46.1%Stacey Abrams6,913

53.2%Brian Kemp7,987

15,002

2018

49.8%Stacey Abrams7,793

49.5%Brian Kemp7,735

15,636

2014

50.6%Jason Carter5,318

47.4%Nathan Deal4,975

10,503

2010

50.8%Roy Barnes5,689

45.8%Nathan Deal5,133

11,203

2006

48.4%Mark Taylor4,857

48.3%Sonny Perdue4,843

10,032

2002

47.2%Roy Barnes4,523

51.1%Sonny Perdue4,900

9,584

1998

64.5%Roy Barnes6,167

33.1%Guy Millner3,167

9,557

1994

51.7%Zell Miller4,313

48.3%Guy Millner4,031

8,346

1990

57.0%Zell Miller4,473

41.3%Johnny Isakson3,241

7,844

1986

73.0%Joe Frank Harris4,194

27.0%Guy Davis1,549

5,743

1982

56.4%Joe Frank Harris3,495

43.6%Robert H. Bell2,704

6,199

1978

72.2%George Busbee2,277

27.8%Rodney Mims Cook Sr.876

3,153

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Baldwin County, GA
Year	Total registered
2016	24,962
2018	24,760
2020	27,259
2022	27,556
2024	29,195

How did Baldwin County, Georgia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Baldwin County, Georgia voted Republican by 2.2 points (R+2.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,825 votes cast, 9,159 went Democratic and 9,574 went Republican.

When did Baldwin County, Georgia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Baldwin County, Georgia voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Baldwin County, Georgia?

Baldwin County, Georgia has a population of 43,642 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Baldwin County, Georgia?

Median household income in Baldwin County, Georgia is $54,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Georgia state median is $77,353.

What is the political history of Baldwin County, Georgia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baldwin County, Georgia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.