- Lead
- 35,564
- Total
- 86,009
- vs nation
- D+42.8
- Turnout
- 48.1%
Norfolk city, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.1% of 178,482 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 40,997
- Total
- 89,881
- vs nation
- D+41.2
- Turnout
- 48.2%
- Lead
- 35,471
- Total
- 83,385
- vs nation
- D+40.4
- Turnout
- 44.3%
- Lead
- 39,540
- Total
- 87,043
- vs nation
- D+41.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 38,005
- Total
- 88,446
- vs nation
- D+35.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 17,117
- Total
- 70,570
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,301
- Total
- 61,946
- vs nation
- D+25.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 18,962
- Total
- 60,124
- vs nation
- D+23.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 233,5962024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,1092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 38.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+19.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampton city, VA · twin score 97.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 48.1%85,910 participants ÷ 178,482 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.8 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.3%–35.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 83,385 | 188,108 | 44.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 68,202 | 188,934 | 36.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 90,825 | 188,597 | 48.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 54,910 | 181,157 | 30.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 85,910 | 178,482 | 48.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
97 precincts · 86,009 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -211-Chrysler Museum211-Chrysler Museum | 2,285 | 781 | 83 | 3,149 | 72.6% | 24.8% | D+47.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -218-Willard218-Willard | 1,951 | 1,029 | 64 | 3,044 | 64.1% | 33.8% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct -309-Norview309-Norview | 2,218 | 697 | 48 | 2,963 | 74.9% | 23.5% | D+51.3 |
| Precinct -503-East Ocean View503-East Ocean View | 1,630 | 1,258 | 62 | 2,950 | 55.3% | 42.6% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -311-Sherwood311-Sherwood | 1,951 | 924 | 48 | 2,923 | 66.7% | 31.6% | D+35.1 |
| Precinct -101-Granby101-Granby | 1,830 | 748 | 76 | 2,654 | 69.0% | 28.2% | D+40.8 |
| Precinct -506-Ocean View Golf Course506-Ocean View Golf Course | 1,591 | 865 | 49 | 2,505 | 63.5% | 34.5% | D+29.0 |
| Precinct -106-Second Presbyterian106-Second Presbyterian | 1,543 | 804 | 58 | 2,405 | 64.2% | 33.4% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -310-Rosemont310-Rosemont | 2,150 | 219 | 31 | 2,400 | 89.6% | 9.1% | D+80.5 |
| Precinct -214-Virginia Zoo214-Virginia Zoo | 1,887 | 460 | 51 | 2,398 | 78.7% | 19.2% | D+59.5 |
| Precinct -413-Poplar Halls413-Poplar Halls | 1,891 | 431 | 45 | 2,367 | 79.9% | 18.2% | D+61.7 |
| Precinct -501-Bayview501-Bayview | 1,248 | 993 | 58 | 2,299 | 54.3% | 43.2% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -510-Third Presbyterian510-Third Presbyterian | 1,058 | 1,118 | 55 | 2,231 | 47.4% | 50.1% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -509-Tarrallton509-Tarrallton | 932 | 1,115 | 35 | 2,082 | 44.8% | 53.6% | R+8.8 |
| Precinct -201-Larchmont School201-Larchmont School | 1,423 | 577 | 80 | 2,080 | 68.4% | 27.7% | D+40.7 |
| Precinct -210-Maury210-Maury | 1,545 | 452 | 45 | 2,042 | 75.7% | 22.1% | D+53.5 |
| Precinct -408-Calvary Revival Church408-Calvary Revival Church | 1,199 | 807 | 36 | 2,042 | 58.7% | 39.5% | D+19.2 |
| Precinct -511-Crossroads511-Crossroads | 1,133 | 881 | 28 | 2,042 | 55.5% | 43.1% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct -303-Broad Creek303-Broad Creek | 1,791 | 168 | 28 | 1,987 | 90.1% | 8.5% | D+81.7 |
| Precinct -507-Pretlow507-Pretlow | 1,142 | 777 | 45 | 1,964 | 58.1% | 39.6% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -207-Lamberts Point207-Lamberts Point | 1,513 | 310 | 39 | 1,862 | 81.3% | 16.6% | D+64.6 |
| Precinct -504-Larrymore504-Larrymore | 1,107 | 648 | 37 | 1,792 | 61.8% | 36.2% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -103-Northside103-Northside | 979 | 746 | 37 | 1,762 | 55.6% | 42.3% | D+13.2 |
| Precinct -301-Ballentine301-Ballentine | 1,421 | 262 | 27 | 1,710 | 83.1% | 15.3% | D+67.8 |
| Precinct -215-Suburban Park215-Suburban Park | 1,069 | 589 | 46 | 1,704 | 62.7% | 34.6% | D+28.2 |
| Precinct -415-Lake Taylor High School415-Lake Taylor High School | 1,055 | 562 | 25 | 1,642 | 64.3% | 34.2% | D+30.0 |
| Precinct -208-Larchmont Library208-Larchmont Library | 1,059 | 520 | 38 | 1,617 | 65.5% | 32.2% | D+33.3 |
| Precinct -107-Wesley107-Wesley | 990 | 570 | 25 | 1,585 | 62.5% | 36.0% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -412-Ingleside412-Ingleside | 1,314 | 240 | 20 | 1,574 | 83.5% | 15.2% | D+68.2 |
| Precinct -409-Fairlawn409-Fairlawn | 923 | 541 | 23 | 1,487 | 62.1% | 36.4% | D+25.7 |
| Precinct -305-Lafayette-Winona305-Lafayette-Winona | 1,148 | 299 | 28 | 1,475 | 77.8% | 20.3% | D+57.6 |
| Precinct -505-Little Creek505-Little Creek | 762 | 678 | 23 | 1,463 | 52.1% | 46.3% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct -404-Campostella404-Campostella | 1,328 | 114 | 14 | 1,456 | 91.2% | 7.8% | D+83.4 |
| Precinct -405-Chesterfield405-Chesterfield | 1,329 | 106 | 21 | 1,456 | 91.3% | 7.3% | D+84.0 |
| Precinct -406-Barron Black406-Barron Black | 818 | 550 | 16 | 1,384 | 59.1% | 39.7% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -414-Young Park414-Young Park | 1,230 | 105 | 17 | 1,352 | 91.0% | 7.8% | D+83.2 |
| Precinct -402-Berkley402-Berkley | 1,212 | 81 | 23 | 1,316 | 92.1% | 6.2% | D+85.9 |
| Precinct -212-Park Place212-Park Place | 1,121 | 150 | 36 | 1,307 | 85.8% | 11.5% | D+74.3 |
| Precinct -512-Azalea Gardens512-Azalea Gardens | 741 | 527 | 19 | 1,287 | 57.6% | 40.9% | D+16.6 |
| Precinct -203-Ghent Square203-Ghent Square | 938 | 265 | 24 | 1,227 | 76.4% | 21.6% | D+54.8 |
| Precinct -102-Ocean View School102-Ocean View School | 626 | 513 | 31 | 1,170 | 53.5% | 43.8% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -306-Lindenwood306-Lindenwood | 997 | 138 | 23 | 1,158 | 86.1% | 11.9% | D+74.2 |
| Precinct -302-Tanners Creek302-Tanners Creek | 876 | 251 | 16 | 1,143 | 76.6% | 22.0% | D+54.7 |
| Precinct -104-Titustown104-Titustown | 780 | 212 | 26 | 1,018 | 76.6% | 20.8% | D+55.8 |
| Precinct -304-Coleman Place School304-Coleman Place School | 799 | 177 | 17 | 993 | 80.5% | 17.8% | D+62.6 |
| Precinct -313-Union Chapel313-Union Chapel | 752 | 64 | 10 | 826 | 91.0% | 7.7% | D+83.3 |
| Precinct -411-Ruffner Academy411-Ruffner Academy | 656 | 55 | 5 | 716 | 91.6% | 7.7% | D+83.9 |
| Azalea Gardens51710000512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ballentine51710000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barron Black51710000406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bayview51710000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Berkley51710000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Broad Creek51710000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Campostella51710000404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chesterfield51710000405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chrysler Museum51710000211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coleman Place School51710000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crossroads51710000511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Ocean View51710000503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Easton51710000408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairlawn51710000409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ghent Square51710000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Granby51710000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ingleside51710000412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lafayette-Winona51710000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Taylor High School51710000415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lambert's Point51710000207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Larchmont Library51710000208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Larchmont School51710000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Larrymore51710000504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lindenwood51710000306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Little Creek51710000505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maury51710000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northside51710000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norview51710000309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean View Center51710000506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean View School51710000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Park Place51710000212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplar Halls51710000413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -213-W.H. Taylor Elementary213-W.H. Taylor Elementary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pretlow51710000507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemont51710000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ruffner Academy51710000411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Second Presbyterian51710000106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherwood51710000311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stuart51710000214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Suburban Park51710000215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tanners Creek51710000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tarrallton51710000509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taylor Elementary51710000213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Third Presbyterian51710000510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Titustown (CD 02)51710000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Titustown (CD 03)2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Chapel51710000313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wesley51710000217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willard51710000218 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Young Park51710000414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +36.0% |
| 1896 | +20.5% |
| 1900 | +25.3% |
| 1904 | +68.3% |
| 1908 | +38.9% |
| 1912 | +79.1% |
| 1916 | +52.9% |
| 1920 | +42.4% |
| 1924 | +33.0% |
| 1928 | −17.1% |
| 1932 | +35.7% |
| 1936 | +57.0% |
| 1940 | +55.8% |
| 1944 | +45.8% |
| 1948 | +18.3% |
| 1952 | −3.0% |
| 1956 | −5.7% |
| 1960 | +12.3% |
| 1964 | +27.1% |
| 1968 | +9.4% |
| 1972 | −19.1% |
| 1976 | +15.9% |
| 1980 | +11.3% |
| 1984 | +3.4% |
| 1988 | +10.5% |
| 1992 | +22.1% |
| 1996 | +31.5% |
| 2000 | +26.3% |
| 2004 | +24.3% |
| 2008 | +43.0% |
| 2012 | +45.4% |
| 2016 | +42.5% |
| 2020 | +45.6% |
| 2024 | +41.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 126,651 |
| 2018 | 130,413 |
| 2020 | 136,642 |
| 2022 | 141,074 |
| 2024 | 144,525 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,814 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −38,750 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,930 in average income, against $72,211 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+13.5 on average — 28 points more Republican-leaning than Norfolk city, VA itself (D+41.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Virginia Beach city, VA2,544D+2.6
- Chesapeake city, VA1,059D+3.8
- Portsmouth city, VA505D+38.5
- Hampton city, VA349D+39.8
- Newport News city, VA280D+28.7
- Suffolk city, VA229D+15.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Virginia Beach city, VA2,578
- Chesapeake city, VA1,234
- Portsmouth city, VA581
- Hampton city, VA395
- Suffolk city, VA321
- Newport News city, VA286
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,706 |
| 2012 | −1,374 |
| 2013 | −3,450 |
| 2014 | −1,829 |
| 2015 | −3,283 |
| 2016 | −3,475 |
| 2017 | −3,201 |
| 2018 | −2,362 |
| 2019 | −2,334 |
| 2021 | −3,779 |
| 2022 | −3,858 |
| 2023 | −1,998 |
| 2024 | −4,287 |
| 2025 | −1,814 |
Home to the largest U.S. naval installation in the world, Norfolk combines a majority-minority population with a heavy military footprint, producing lopsided Democratic margins while remaining one of the state's most economically and demographically complex independent cities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 19.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.3 points.
A population of 233,596, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,109 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampton city and Baltimore city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Norfolk city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51710/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.