- Lead
- 7,167
- Total
- 35,423
- vs nation
- D+21.7
Virginia 95th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,219
- Total
- 37,088
- vs nation
- D+20.4
- Lead
- 6,060
- Total
- 33,718
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Lead
- 6,657
- Total
- 33,031
- vs nation
- D+16.3
- Lead
- 7,302
- Total
- 33,887
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Lead
- 900
- Total
- 28,398
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Lead
- 1,783
- Total
- 24,487
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 2,396
- Total
- 21,136
- vs nation
- D+2.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,6312024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,478 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 18.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,5632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 85, VA · twin score 94.4
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 95th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
61.3%
22,740 votes · D+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 60.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
48.1%
13,660 votes · D+3.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 39.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
22,740votes
61.3% of the vote · D+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 21,053 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,886votes
39.2% of the vote · D+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 13,660 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+21.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +20.4 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−5.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+3.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −14.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 64.4%15,100 | 35.6%8,336 | 23,436 |
| 2018 | D | 53.5%16,360 | 46.5%14,211 | 30,571 |
Virginia 95th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 45.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.2 points.
A population of 84,631, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,563 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 85 and State House District 92.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 95th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.