- Lead
- 16,712
- Total
- 31,793
- vs nation
- D+54.0
Virginia 92nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,667
- Total
- 35,469
- vs nation
- D+53.8
- Lead
- 19,010
- Total
- 34,391
- vs nation
- D+53.2
- Lead
- 21,012
- Total
- 35,521
- vs nation
- D+55.3
- Lead
- 20,757
- Total
- 35,532
- vs nation
- D+51.1
- Lead
- 12,099
- Total
- 27,166
- vs nation
- D+47.0
- Lead
- 11,152
- Total
- 23,621
- vs nation
- D+46.7
- Lead
- 11,472
- Total
- 22,577
- vs nation
- D+42.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+52.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,5702024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,124 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 16.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,1362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 34.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 51.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 192, PA · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 92nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
78.9%
28,037 votes · D+59.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 78.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
27.4%
7,431 votes · D+44.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 22.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
28,037votes
78.9% of the vote · D+59.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 27,960 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
7,431votes
27.4% of the vote · D+44.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 7,278 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+55.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +54.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−47.0pts R vs U.S.
Place D+44.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −51.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+52.6, this district ranks among the most heavily Democratic in Virginia, a profile typically associated with dense urban or majority-minority communities where partisan competition is effectively absent.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.6 points.
A population of 85,570, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,136 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 192 and State House District 27.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 92nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51092/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.