Florida 21st State House District, Florida: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+79 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 178,2192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,6012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 21, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 43,991 | 43,951 | 88,986 | ||
| D | 47,592 | 41,142 | 89,771 | ||
| D | 40,022 | 36,213 | 79,356 | ||
| D | 38,411 | 34,538 | 73,954 | ||
| D | 41,377 | 33,862 | 76,062 | ||
| D | 34,006 | 32,188 | 66,797 | ||
| D | 25,986 | 22,517 | 50,690 | ||
| D | 21,891 | 16,784 | 44,161 | ||
| D | 19,971 | 14,815 | 44,363 | ||
| R | 14,960 | 18,698 | 33,974 | ||
| R | 13,119 | 18,268 | 31,411 | ||
| D | 13,086 | 11,700 | 26,875 | ||
| D | 13,756 | 8,775 | 23,068 | ||
| R | 7,662 | 12,072 | 19,773 | ||
| R | 4,908 | 5,031 | 14,940 | ||
| D | 6,800 | 6,176 | 12,976 | ||
| R | 4,834 | 5,118 | 9,953 | ||
| R | 3,715 | 4,168 | 7,884 | ||
| R | 3,319 | 4,324 | 7,644 | ||
| D | 2,239 | 1,246 | 5,346 | ||
| D | 3,185 | 935 | 4,120 | ||
| D | 3,649 | 753 | 4,402 | ||
| D | 2,651 | 475 | 3,126 | ||
| D | 1,907 | 545 | 2,452 | ||
| O | 1,079 | 370 | 2,843 | ||
| D | 1,036 | 267 | 1,441 | ||
| D | 1,702 | 643 | 2,437 | ||
| D | 1,056 | 249 | 1,391 | ||
| D | 705 | 116 | 952 | ||
| D | 710 | 349 | 1,158 | ||
| D | 682 | 251 | 995 | ||
| D | 716 | 175 | 937 | ||
| D | 810 | 333 | 1,191 | ||
| D | 755 | 0 | 952 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 931 | 1,153 | 2,084 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.2%
German
11.4%
Irish
9.9%
Italian
5.1%
American
4.8%
Polish
2.2%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$61,601
State House District 21 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 21$61,601
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.0%
Working age (18–64)19.1%
Seniors (65+)12.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.6%
speak English only
Spanish9.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.6%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+33.1, this district ranks among the most reliably conservative in Florida's lower chamber, suggesting limited electoral competition and a voter base that swings heavily toward Republican candidates at the top of the ticket.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-nine points in 1892; the Republican margin reached twenty-two points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 178,219, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $61,601 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 21, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 21, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 21, Florida voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 88,986 votes cast, 43,991 went Democratic and 43,951 went Republican.
What is State House District 21, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 21, Florida as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 8 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 21, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 21, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in State House District 21, Florida?
State House District 21, Florida has a population of 178,219 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 21, Florida?
Median household income in State House District 21, Florida is $61,601 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State House District 21, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 21, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.