HarrisDemocratic59.7%81,578TrumpRepublican38.8%52,939SteinIndependent0.6%887
D+21.0- Lead
- 28,639
- Total
- 136,548
- vs nation
- D+22.4
- Turnout
- 62.5%
Akashiccounty
Alachua County, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.5% of 221,307 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic62.9%89,704TrumpRepublican35.7%50,972JorgensenLibertarian1.0%1,390
D+27.2- Lead
- 38,732
- Total
- 142,604
- vs nation
- D+22.7
- Turnout
- 69.5%
ClintonDemocratic59.0%75,820TrumpRepublican36.4%46,834JohnsonLibertarian3.2%4,059
D+22.5- Lead
- 28,986
- Total
- 128,571
- vs nation
- D+20.5
- Turnout
- 66.6%
ObamaDemocratic57.9%69,699RomneyRepublican40.5%48,797OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,922
D+17.4- Lead
- 20,902
- Total
- 120,418
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.2%75,565McCainRepublican38.6%48,513OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,441
D+21.6- Lead
- 27,052
- Total
- 125,519
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic56.1%62,504BushRepublican42.9%47,762OtherAll other candidates1.0%1,062
D+13.2- Lead
- 14,742
- Total
- 111,328
- vs nation
- D+15.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic55.2%47,380BushRepublican39.8%34,135NaderGreen3.8%3,228
D+15.4- Lead
- 13,245
- Total
- 85,757
- vs nation
- D+14.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.9%40,161DoleRepublican34.0%25,316PerotReform10.8%8,073
D+19.9- Lead
- 14,845
- Total
- 74,516
- vs nation
- D+11.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+21.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 285,4922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,9492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.3 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.9 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clarke County, GA · twin score 97.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.5%138,262 participants ÷ 221,307 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.2%–45.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 131,621 | 197,720 | 66.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 117,105 | 203,110 | 57.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 143,692 | 206,733 | 69.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 96,195 | 217,480 | 44.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 138,262 | 221,307 | 62.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
63 precincts · 137,282 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -4848 | 2,710 | 1,447 | 103 | 4,260 | 63.6% | 34.0% | D+29.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3838 | 2,507 | 1,486 | 77 | 4,070 | 61.6% | 36.5% | D+25.1 |
| Precinct -3737 | 2,488 | 1,310 | 90 | 3,888 | 64.0% | 33.7% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct -4646 | 2,005 | 1,560 | 65 | 3,630 | 55.2% | 43.0% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct -0505 | 2,233 | 1,135 | 93 | 3,461 | 64.5% | 32.8% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct -0303 | 1,440 | 1,905 | 47 | 3,392 | 42.5% | 56.2% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -5858 | 1,905 | 1,370 | 65 | 3,340 | 57.0% | 41.0% | D+16.0 |
| Precinct -5959 | 2,129 | 1,068 | 70 | 3,267 | 65.2% | 32.7% | D+32.5 |
| Precinct -6060 | 1,132 | 2,045 | 43 | 3,220 | 35.2% | 63.5% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -1616 | 1,697 | 1,308 | 75 | 3,080 | 55.1% | 42.5% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -2121 | 1,929 | 1,001 | 63 | 2,993 | 64.5% | 33.4% | D+31.0 |
| Precinct -0404 | 980 | 1,966 | 46 | 2,992 | 32.8% | 65.7% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -0606 | 1,162 | 1,738 | 47 | 2,947 | 39.4% | 59.0% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -4141 | 1,337 | 1,459 | 64 | 2,860 | 46.7% | 51.0% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -4747 | 1,505 | 1,234 | 60 | 2,799 | 53.8% | 44.1% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -5656 | 1,450 | 1,248 | 41 | 2,739 | 52.9% | 45.6% | D+7.4 |
| Precinct -5151 | 1,706 | 927 | 56 | 2,689 | 63.4% | 34.5% | D+29.0 |
| Precinct -2020 | 881 | 1,753 | 33 | 2,667 | 33.0% | 65.7% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -3232 | 1,830 | 726 | 67 | 2,623 | 69.8% | 27.7% | D+42.1 |
| Precinct -3131 | 1,880 | 699 | 42 | 2,621 | 71.7% | 26.7% | D+45.1 |
| Precinct -1111 | 1,254 | 1,305 | 35 | 2,594 | 48.3% | 50.3% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct -2424 | 1,752 | 764 | 47 | 2,563 | 68.4% | 29.8% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -2727 | 2,121 | 337 | 77 | 2,535 | 83.7% | 13.3% | D+70.4 |
| Precinct -6161 | 1,606 | 788 | 46 | 2,440 | 65.8% | 32.3% | D+33.5 |
| Precinct -2222 | 1,489 | 846 | 53 | 2,388 | 62.4% | 35.4% | D+26.9 |
| Precinct -4242 | 1,331 | 1,002 | 30 | 2,363 | 56.3% | 42.4% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct -2929 | 1,371 | 953 | 36 | 2,360 | 58.1% | 40.4% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -1818 | 1,363 | 902 | 53 | 2,318 | 58.8% | 38.9% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct -5454 | 1,681 | 534 | 69 | 2,284 | 73.6% | 23.4% | D+50.2 |
| Precinct -6363 | 1,084 | 1,115 | 36 | 2,235 | 48.5% | 49.9% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -5353 | 1,092 | 1,116 | 25 | 2,233 | 48.9% | 50.0% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct -4949 | 1,047 | 1,074 | 38 | 2,159 | 48.5% | 49.7% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -5252 | 640 | 1,458 | 14 | 2,112 | 30.3% | 69.0% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -4444 | 1,514 | 512 | 70 | 2,096 | 72.2% | 24.4% | D+47.8 |
| Precinct -3636 | 1,414 | 523 | 63 | 2,000 | 70.7% | 26.2% | D+44.5 |
| Precinct -5050 | 1,376 | 535 | 31 | 1,942 | 70.9% | 27.5% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -0202 | 771 | 1,118 | 37 | 1,926 | 40.0% | 58.0% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -3939 | 1,326 | 517 | 53 | 1,896 | 69.9% | 27.3% | D+42.7 |
| Precinct -2323 | 1,321 | 478 | 59 | 1,858 | 71.1% | 25.7% | D+45.4 |
| Precinct -6262 | 1,248 | 564 | 30 | 1,842 | 67.8% | 30.6% | D+37.1 |
| Precinct -2828 | 1,577 | 212 | 33 | 1,822 | 86.6% | 11.6% | D+74.9 |
| Precinct -3030 | 1,438 | 342 | 27 | 1,807 | 79.6% | 18.9% | D+60.7 |
| Precinct -1717 | 1,213 | 522 | 34 | 1,769 | 68.6% | 29.5% | D+39.1 |
| Precinct -5757 | 1,163 | 458 | 53 | 1,674 | 69.5% | 27.4% | D+42.1 |
| Precinct -3333 | 1,324 | 306 | 37 | 1,667 | 79.4% | 18.4% | D+61.1 |
| Precinct -0707 | 1,269 | 278 | 58 | 1,605 | 79.1% | 17.3% | D+61.7 |
| Precinct -0808 | 703 | 848 | 17 | 1,568 | 44.8% | 54.1% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct -4040 | 1,104 | 377 | 40 | 1,521 | 72.6% | 24.8% | D+47.8 |
| Precinct -3535 | 910 | 534 | 26 | 1,470 | 61.9% | 36.3% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -1313 | 1,284 | 132 | 17 | 1,433 | 89.6% | 9.2% | D+80.4 |
| Precinct -1010 | 699 | 623 | 16 | 1,338 | 52.2% | 46.6% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct -2525 | 1,011 | 206 | 60 | 1,277 | 79.2% | 16.1% | D+63.0 |
| Precinct -4343 | 801 | 402 | 28 | 1,231 | 65.1% | 32.7% | D+32.4 |
| Precinct -2626 | 867 | 304 | 26 | 1,197 | 72.4% | 25.4% | D+47.0 |
| Precinct -4545 | 724 | 398 | 13 | 1,135 | 63.8% | 35.1% | D+28.7 |
| Precinct -0101 | 381 | 711 | 14 | 1,106 | 34.4% | 64.3% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -1414 | 348 | 697 | 12 | 1,057 | 32.9% | 65.9% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -1919 | 886 | 138 | 26 | 1,050 | 84.4% | 13.1% | D+71.2 |
| Precinct -3434 | 425 | 539 | 21 | 985 | 43.1% | 54.7% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -1212 | 694 | 212 | 21 | 927 | 74.9% | 22.9% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -5555 | 652 | 135 | 16 | 803 | 81.2% | 16.8% | D+64.4 |
| Precinct -1515 | 262 | 435 | 13 | 710 | 36.9% | 61.3% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -0909 | 136 | 304 | 8 | 448 | 30.4% | 67.9% | R+37.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −9.1% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +84.3% |
| 1896 | +40.1% |
| 1900 | +57.6% |
| 1904 | +38.2% |
| 1908 | +27.2% |
| 1912 | +62.6% |
| 1916 | +62.5% |
| 1920 | +48.0% |
| 1924 | +52.5% |
| 1928 | +32.7% |
| 1932 | +56.2% |
| 1936 | +68.7% |
| 1940 | +66.1% |
| 1944 | +54.6% |
| 1948 | +13.2% |
| 1952 | −16.9% |
| 1956 | −7.1% |
| 1960 | −4.1% |
| 1964 | +9.5% |
| 1968 | +1.4% |
| 1972 | −13.3% |
| 1976 | +27.7% |
| 1980 | +13.7% |
| 1984 | −7.0% |
| 1988 | −1.3% |
| 1992 | +19.7% |
| 1996 | +19.9% |
| 2000 | +15.4% |
| 2004 | +13.2% |
| 2008 | +21.6% |
| 2012 | +17.4% |
| 2016 | +22.5% |
| 2020 | +27.2% |
| 2024 | +21.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 1 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1936Special · Class I | D | 46.4%Charles O. Andrews4,587 | 6.0%Howard C. Babcock590 | 9,877 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+17.0
Presidential vote · 2024D+21.0
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 3.9 points more Republican.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 172,379 | 82,119 | 48,851 | 40,231 | 1,178 |
| 2018 | 183,455 | 87,840 | 50,519 | 43,337 | 1,759 |
| 2019 | 181,791 | 87,131 | 49,622 | 43,048 | 1,990 |
| 2020 | 193,066 | 94,994 | 51,901 | 43,332 | 2,839 |
| 2021 | 193,333 | 94,030 | 51,168 | 44,968 | 3,167 |
| 2023 | 153,854 | 72,734 | 43,484 | 34,294 | 3,342 |
| 2024 | 173,794 | 78,946 | 49,317 | 40,490 | 5,041 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,213 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,293 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,717 in average income, against $86,564 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.7 on average — 36 points more Republican-leaning than Alachua County, FL itself (D+21.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marion County, FL526R+31.6
- Miami-Dade County, FL396R+11.4
- Broward County, FL365D+17.0
- Orange County, FL294D+13.6
- Hillsborough County, FL292R+3.1
- Palm Beach County, FL292D+0.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marion County, FL499
- Duval County, FL403
- Hillsborough County, FL343
- Orange County, FL339
- Levy County, FL308
- Columbia County, FL236
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −58 |
| 2012 | −555 |
| 2013 | −1,078 |
| 2014 | +812 |
| 2015 | +1,283 |
| 2016 | +2,482 |
| 2017 | +93 |
| 2018 | +753 |
| 2019 | −1,302 |
| 2021 | +1,301 |
| 2022 | +1,180 |
| 2023 | +421 |
| 2024 | −826 |
| 2025 | −1,213 |
Home to the University of Florida in Gainesville, Alachua County tilts heavily Democratic in a state that has trended Republican statewide — its 2024 presidential margin of D+21 reflects a college-town electorate unlike most of Florida.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 16.9 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.0 points.
A population of 285,492, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,949 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clarke County and Davidson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Clarke County
Georgia
97.3twin score
2004–2024 trajectory
Davidson County
Tennessee
95.6twin score
2000–2024 trajectory
Leon County
Florida
95.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectorycollege share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Alachua County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Alachua County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Alachua County, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Alachua County, Florida voted Democratic by 21.0 points (D+21.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 136,548 votes cast, 81,578 went Democratic and 52,939 went Republican.
When did Alachua County, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Alachua County, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Alachua County, Florida?
Alachua County, Florida has a population of 285,492 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Alachua County, Florida?
Median household income in Alachua County, Florida is $61,949 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Alachua County, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Alachua County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.