Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Gainesville, FL
presidential margin
2008D+12.12012D+7.52016D+9.62020D+12.52024D+5.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+5.3
2024
median income$61,360U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age34.8U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate20.2%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)42.8%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english14.8%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English12.6%
German11.3%
Irish10.5%
African American†14.5%
Jamaican0.6%
Haitian0.5%
Puerto Rican2.8%
Cuban2.0%
Mexican1.7%
Asian Indian1.9%
Chinese1.0%
Filipino1.0%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.4%
Black Protestant1.9%
Latter-day Saints1.4%
Other Christian0.9%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Gainesville, FL, Florida

Akashic
Gainesville, FLHarrisD+5.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Gainesville, FL, FLA map of the constituent counties of Gainesville, FL, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Alachua County, FL · D+21.0Gilchrist County, FL · R+68.0Levy County, FL · R+50.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic52.0%89,234
Donald TrumpRepublican46.7%80,115
Jill SteinGreen1.3%2,263
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Gainesville, FL, FL — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Alachua County, FLDemocraticD+21.0
Gilchrist County, FLRepublicanR+68.0
Levy County, FLRepublicanR+50.3
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
52.0%Harris89,234
46.7%Trump80,115
1.3%Stein2,263
+5.3%
171,612
D
55.6%Biden97,609
43.1%Trump75,616
1.3%Jorgensen2,209
+12.5%
175,434
D
52.7%Clinton82,379
43.1%Trump67,349
4.3%Johnson6,658
+9.6%
156,386
D
53.0%Obama77,703
45.5%Romney66,768
1.5%Johnson2,255
+7.5%
146,726
D
55.4%Obama84,272
43.4%McCain65,923
1.2%Nader1,868
+12.1%
152,063
D
52.3%Kerry70,595
46.7%Bush63,108
1.0%Nader1,292
+5.5%
134,995
D
52.6%Gore54,688
42.6%Bush44,298
4.7%Nader4,896
+10.0%
103,882
D
52.1%Clinton47,084
34.9%Dole31,554
13.0%Perot11,738
+17.2%
90,376
D
47.9%Clinton43,729
30.7%Bush28,004
21.5%Perot19,592
+17.2%
91,325
R
47.2%Dukakis33,967
51.7%Bush37,261
1.1%Paul788
−4.6%
72,016
R
44.5%Mondale30,738
55.4%Reagan38,226
0.1%Other61
−10.8%
69,025
D
52.9%Carter32,646
39.0%Reagan24,107
8.1%Anderson5,000
+13.8%
61,753
D
63.5%Carter33,727
34.0%Ford18,039
2.5%McCarthy1,332
+29.5%
53,098
R
40.3%McGovern18,354
59.5%Nixon27,115
0.2%Schmitz94
−19.2%
45,563
O
32.6%Humphrey11,035
31.3%Nixon10,598
36.2%Wallace12,264
Wallace +3.6
33,897
D
54.9%Johnson16,180
45.1%Goldwater13,271
0.0%
+9.9%
29,451
D
51.6%Kennedy12,116
48.4%Nixon11,345
0.0%
+3.3%
23,461
D
51.7%Stevenson9,635
48.3%Eisenhower9,010
0.0%
+3.4%
18,645
R
48.1%Stevenson8,992
51.9%Eisenhower9,693
0.0%
−3.8%
18,685
D
43.4%Truman5,757
20.2%Dewey2,674
36.4%Thurmond4,835
+23.2%
13,266
D
81.4%Roosevelt8,724
18.6%Dewey1,996
0.0%
+62.8%
10,720
D
85.6%Roosevelt10,252
14.4%Willkie1,726
0.0%
+71.2%
11,978
D
87.1%Roosevelt7,627
12.9%Landon1,129
0.0%
+74.2%
8,756
D
83.6%Roosevelt5,941
16.4%Hoover1,163
0.0%
+67.3%
7,104
O
41.0%Smith3,154
12.6%Hoover968
46.5%Thomas3,578
Other +5.5
7,700
D
69.8%Davis2,519
20.6%Coolidge742
9.7%La Follette349
+49.2%
3,610
D
71.8%Cox4,192
25.6%Harding1,496
2.6%Debs154
+46.1%
5,842
D
78.0%Wilson2,742
18.7%Hughes656
3.3%Benson116
+59.4%
3,514
D
74.2%Wilson1,679
13.0%Taft295
12.8%Roosevelt289
+61.2%
2,263
D
60.6%Bryan1,650
32.1%Taft875
7.3%Debs200
+28.4%
2,725
D
67.1%Parker1,703
27.4%Roosevelt694
5.5%Debs140
+39.8%
2,537
D
76.7%Bryan1,346
19.0%McKinley334
4.3%Woolley76
+57.6%
1,756
D
68.8%Bryan1,545
28.7%McKinley645
2.4%Palmer55
+40.1%
2,245
D
84.3%Cleveland1,447
0.0%Harrison0
15.7%Weaver270
+84.3%
1,717
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +5.3% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+5.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+84.3%
1896+40.1%
1900+57.6%
1904+39.8%
1908+28.4%
1912+61.2%
1916+59.4%
1920+46.1%
1924+49.2%
1928+28.4%
1932+67.3%
1936+74.2%
1940+71.2%
1944+62.8%
1948+23.2%
1952−3.8%
1956+3.4%
1960+3.3%
1964+9.9%
1968+1.3%
1972−19.2%
1976+29.5%
1980+13.8%
1984−10.8%
1988−4.6%
1992+17.2%
1996+17.2%
2000+10.0%
2004+5.5%
2008+12.1%
2012+7.5%
2016+9.6%
2020+12.5%
2024+5.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Gainesville, FLRegistered voters by party of registration, 2017–2024. Latest total 217,910 in 2024.59.1K118.1K177.2K236.3K217.9K20172024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Gainesville, FL
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2017210,70594,73767,57546,7631,630
2018223,202100,20970,44450,2582,291
2019221,73198,99369,98650,1552,597
2020236,268106,62575,35550,6643,624
2021234,932104,46574,42352,0284,016
2023194,19681,28568,05540,5544,302
2024217,91087,66976,85846,9746,409
Source: Florida Division of Elections

Home to the University of Florida's 50,000-plus students, the Gainesville metro tilts Democratic in city precincts while surrounding Alachua County's rural edges pull the margin back toward statewide competitiveness.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 19.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.3 points.

A population of 349,923, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,360 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Durham-Chapel Hill, NC and Tallahassee, FL.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
91.4twin score
2000 margin% Asianpopulation scale≠ 2024 margin
Tallahassee, FL
90.1twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Ann Arbor, MI
89.2twin score
2000 marginmedian agepopulation scale≠ 2024 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Gainesville, FL

counties3
Alachua CountyGilchrist CountyLevy County

Frequently asked questions

How did Gainesville, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, FL, Florida voted Democratic by 5.3 points (D+5.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 171,612 votes cast, 89,234 went Democratic and 80,115 went Republican.
When did Gainesville, FL, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, FL, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Gainesville, FL, Florida?
Gainesville, FL, Florida has a population of 349,923 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Gainesville, FL, Florida is $61,360 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gainesville, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.