akashic
1876–2024
Gainesville-Lake City, FL·Florida

Gainesville-Lake City, FL moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

2008 — 2024·5 elections
FL
2024 presidential election
Gainesville-Lake City, FL
TrumpR+3.8
2024 presidential margin by county for Gainesville-Lake City, FL, FLA map of the constituent counties of Gainesville-Lake City, FL, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Gilchrist County, FL · R+68.0Alachua County, FL · D+21.0Levy County, FL · R+50.3Columbia County, FL · R+50.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican51.3%105,208
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.5%97,460
OtherAll other candidates1.2%2,495
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −3.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−3.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884+0.8%
1888No data
1892+84.3%
1896+40.1%
1900+57.6%
1904+36.5%
1908+26.6%
1912+62.7%
1916+57.9%
1920+51.2%
1924+54.1%
1928+32.3%
1932+72.6%
1936+77.4%
1940+71.7%
1944+63.1%
1948+26.1%
1952+2.0%
1956+8.6%
1960+8.1%
1964+5.5%
1968+1.5%
1972−25.6%
1976+28.8%
1980+11.7%
1984−14.7%
1988−8.3%
1992+13.9%
1996+13.7%
2000+5.3%
2004−0.8%
2008+4.9%
2012+0.6%
2016+1.2%
2020+3.4%
2024−3.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.8%
97,460105,208205,163
D
+3.4%
106,52399,452208,476
D
+1.2%
89,98087,717185,093
D
+0.6%
86,16585,197173,889
D
+4.9%
93,44384,593180,191
R
−0.8%
78,62679,866159,986
D
+5.3%
61,73755,266122,396
D
+13.7%
53,77539,142106,702
D
+13.9%
49,25734,496106,279
R
−8.3%
38,04045,02283,932
R
−14.7%
34,99947,04082,100
D
+11.7%
38,32629,75073,401
D
+28.8%
40,41021,98663,864
R
−25.6%
20,01833,83853,950
O
+1.5%
12,78512,15141,246
D
+5.5%
19,42917,41636,845
D
+8.1%
15,81113,43929,250
D
+8.6%
12,88110,85123,732
D
+2.0%
12,22111,73423,955
D
+26.1%
7,5543,22716,598
D
+63.1%
11,1912,53313,724
D
+71.7%
13,1402,16915,309
D
+77.4%
10,4101,32511,735
D
+72.6%
8,4381,3379,775
D
+32.3%
4,4301,3869,416
D
+54.1%
3,2958274,561
D
+51.2%
5,4401,6587,385
D
+57.9%
3,6038824,700
D
+62.7%
2,1993612,933
D
+26.6%
2,1151,1543,617
D
+36.5%
2,2981,0113,525
D
+57.6%
1,3463341,756
D
+40.1%
1,5456452,245
D
+84.3%
1,44701,717
—
No data
———
D
+0.8%
3,4473,3916,838
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorGainesville-Lake City, FLCombined statistical areaFloridaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White66.2%55.9%61.0%
Black16.8%15.1%12.2%
Asian4.4%2.9%6.0%
Two or more races9.5%19.3%12.6%
Other race3.1%6.7%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino11.4%27.4%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$60,993$74,568$84,427
Poverty rate19.6%12.6%12.5%
Median age35.843.139.1
Age 18–2416.6%8.1%9.2%
Age 65 and older17.5%21.3%17.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home13.6%30.7%22.3%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryEnglish 13.2%German 8.9%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryGerman 11.4%English 8.2%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryIrish 10.7%Irish 8.2%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic7.6%19.0%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant28.8%18.5%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed53.0%53.1%51.5%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.2%
German
11.4%
Irish
10.7%
American
5.5%
Italian
4.4%
Scottish
2.5%
Polish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.5%
75–84
2.8%
4.8%
65–74
5.5%
5.4%
55–64
6.0%
5.1%
45–54
5.1%
5.9%
35–44
6.0%
6.8%
25–34
6.8%
8.1%
18–24
8.5%
7.2%
5–17
6.8%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,993
Gainesville-Lake City, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Gainesville-Lake City, FL$60,993
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.0%
Working age (18–64)20.1%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.4%
speak English only
Spanish7.3%
Other Indo-European3.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Evangelical Protestant
28.8%
Catholic
7.6%
Mainline Protestant
4.9%
Black Protestant
2.1%
Latter-day Saints
1.5%
Other Christian
0.9%
Muslim
0.4%
Jewish
0.3%
Buddhist
0.3%
Hindu
0.3%
Other faiths
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted53.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Gainesville-Lake City, FL sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 25.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.8 points.

A population of 421,712, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,993 describe the region.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/264/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida voted Republican by 3.8 points (R+3.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 205,163 votes cast, 97,460 went Democratic and 105,208 went Republican.
What is Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the region has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 5 times, and other 1 times.
When did Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida?
Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida has a population of 421,712 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida is $60,993 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The region's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.