† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupGainesville-Lake City, FLFloridaUnited States
English13.2%8.2%9.5%
German11.4%8.9%12.5%
Irish10.7%8.2%9.4%
American5.5%7.7%5.3%
Italian4.4%5.6%4.8%
Scottish2.5%1.3%1.3%
Polish1.9%2.1%2.2%
French1.9%1.7%1.6%
African American†14.1%9.5%9.9%
African0.8%0.5%0.5%
Jamaican0.6%1.5%0.4%
Haitian0.5%2.3%0.3%
Ethiopian0.2%——
Puerto Rican2.7%5.6%1.8%
Mexican1.9%3.3%11.3%
Cuban1.8%7.3%0.7%
Colombian0.6%2.1%0.4%
Venezuelan0.6%1.6%—
Dominican0.3%1.3%0.7%
Spaniard0.3%——
Spanish0.3%——
Asian Indian1.6%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.8%0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.8%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%—0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Gainesville-Lake City, FL
Florida
United States
Median age
35.8
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
16.6%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.5%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Gainesville-Lake City, FL
Florida
United States
Median household income
$60,993
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.6%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.4%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Gainesville-Lake City, FL
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.6%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
7.3%
22.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.8%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Gainesville-Lake City, FL
Florida
United States
Catholic
7.6%
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
28.8%
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
53.0%
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Gainesville-Lake City, FL
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+84.3%
1896
+40.1%
1900
+57.6%
1904
+36.5%
1908
+26.6%
1912
+62.7%
1916
+57.9%
1920
+51.2%
1924
+54.1%
1928
+32.3%
1932
+72.6%
1936
+77.4%
1940
+71.7%
1944
+63.1%
1948
+26.1%
1952
+2.0%
1956
+8.6%
1960
+8.1%
1964
+5.5%
1968
+1.5%
1972
−25.6%
1976
+28.8%
1980
+11.7%
1984
−14.7%
1988
−8.3%
1992
+13.9%
1996
+13.7%
2000
+5.3%
2004
−0.8%
2008
+4.9%
2012
+0.6%
2016
+1.2%
2020
+3.4%
2024
−3.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
47.5%Harris97,484
51.3%Trump105,223
0.5%Stein1,047 +5
R+3.8
R+7.2
R+2.3
205,204
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican51.3%105,223
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic47.5%97,484
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%1,047
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%794
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%345
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%189
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%121
OtherAll other candidates0.0%1
D
51.1%Biden106,523
47.7%Trump99,452
1.2%
D+3.4
D+2.2
R+1.1
208,476
D
48.6%Clinton89,980
47.4%Trump87,717
4.0%
D+1.2
D+0.7
R+0.9
185,093
D
49.6%Obama86,165
49.0%Romney85,197
1.5%
D+0.6
R+4.4
R+3.3
173,889
D
51.9%Obama93,443
46.9%McCain84,593
1.2%
D+4.9
D+5.7
R+2.4
180,191
R
49.1%Kerry78,626
49.9%Bush79,866
0.9%
R+0.8
R+6.1
D+1.7
159,986
D
50.4%Gore61,737
45.2%Bush55,266
4.4%
D+5.3
R+8.4
D+4.8
122,396
D
50.4%Clinton53,775
36.7%Dole39,142
12.9%
D+13.7
R+0.2
D+5.2
106,702
D
46.3%Clinton49,257
32.5%Bush34,496
21.2%
D+13.9
D+22.2
D+8.3
106,279
R
45.3%Dukakis38,040
53.6%Bush45,022
1.0%
R+8.3
D+6.3
R+0.6
83,932
R
42.6%Mondale34,999
57.3%Reagan47,040
0.1%
R+14.7
R+26.4
D+3.6
82,100
D
52.2%Carter38,326
40.5%Reagan29,750
7.3%
D+11.7
R+17.2
D+21.4
73,401
D
63.3%Carter40,410
34.4%Ford21,986
2.3%
D+28.8
D+54.5
D+26.8
63,864
R
37.1%McGovern20,018
62.7%Nixon33,838
0.2%
R+25.6
R+27.2
R+2.5
53,950
O
31.0%Humphrey12,785
29.5%Nixon12,151
39.5%
Wallace +8.5
R+3.9
D+2.2
41,246
D
52.7%Johnson19,429
47.3%Goldwater17,416
0.0%
D+5.5
R+2.6
R+17.1
36,845
D
54.1%Kennedy15,811
45.9%Nixon13,439
0.0%
D+8.1
R+0.4
D+7.9
29,250
D
54.3%Stevenson12,881
45.7%Eisenhower10,851
0.0%
D+8.6
D+6.5
D+24.0
23,732
D
51.0%Stevenson12,221
49.0%Eisenhower11,734
0.0%
D+2.0
R+24.0
D+12.8
23,955
D
45.5%Truman7,554
19.4%Dewey3,227
35.0%
D+26.1
R+37.0
D+21.6
16,598
D
81.5%Roosevelt11,191
18.5%Dewey2,533
0.0%
D+63.1
R+8.6
D+55.6
13,724
D
85.8%Roosevelt13,140
14.2%Willkie2,169
0.0%
D+71.7
R+5.8
D+61.7
15,309
D
88.7%Roosevelt10,410
11.3%Landon1,325
0.0%
D+77.4
D+4.8
D+53.2
11,735
D
86.3%Roosevelt8,438
13.7%Hoover1,337
0.0%
D+72.6
D+40.3
D+54.9
9,775
D
47.0%Smith4,430
14.7%Hoover1,386
38.2%
D+32.3
R+21.8
D+49.8
9,416
D
72.2%Davis3,295
18.1%Coolidge827
9.6%
D+54.1
D+2.9
D+79.3
4,561
D
73.7%Cox5,440
22.5%Harding1,658
3.9%
D+51.2
R+6.7
D+77.4
7,385
D
76.7%Wilson3,603
18.8%Hughes882
4.6%
D+57.9
R+4.8
D+54.7
4,700
D
75.0%Wilson2,199
12.3%Taft361
12.7%
D+62.7
D+36.1
D+43.1
2,933
D
58.5%Bryan2,115
31.9%Taft1,154
9.6%
D+26.6
R+9.9
D+36.1
3,617
D
65.2%Parker2,298
28.7%Roosevelt1,011
6.1%
D+36.5
R+21.1
D+56.2
3,525
D
76.7%Bryan1,346
19.0%McKinley334
4.3%
D+57.6
D+17.5
D+65.2
1,756
D
68.8%Bryan1,545
28.7%McKinley645
2.4%
D+40.1
R+44.2
D+46.2
2,245
D
84.3%Cleveland1,447
0.0%Harrison0
15.7%
D+84.3
—
D+82.6
1,717
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
46.2%93,977
51.9%105,492
203,367
2022
R
45.2%65,540
53.7%77,911
145,158
2018
D
54.2%88,950
45.8%75,194
164,173
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+1.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+3.8
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.6 points.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Gainesville-Lake City, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
249,458
109,147
84,841
53,631
1,839
2018
263,857
114,506
89,318
57,439
2,594
2019
262,991
112,956
89,603
57,479
2,953
2020
280,845
120,425
97,774
58,497
4,149
2021
278,373
117,423
96,517
59,808
4,625
2023
233,414
91,370
89,911
47,026
5,107
2024
260,942
98,108
101,253
53,981
7,600
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+688 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +23,988 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Gainesville-Lake City, FL in Gainesville-Lake City, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−824
2012
−413
2013
−1,787
2014
+1,156
2015
+2,397
2016
+4,020
2017
+1,599
2018
+2,456
2019
+926
2021
+3,705
2022
+5,228
2023
+3,740
2024
+1,097
2025
+688
Gainesville-Lake City, FL sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 25.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.8 points.
A population of 421,712, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,993 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tallahassee-Bainbridge, FL-GA and Ithaca-Cortland, NY.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/264/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida voted Republican by 3.8 points (R+3.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 205,204 votes cast, 97,484 went Democratic and 105,223 went Republican.
When did Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida?
Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida has a population of 421,712 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida is $60,993 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville-Lake City, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
