HarrisDemocratic15.6%1,662TrumpRepublican83.6%8,931OliverLibertarian0.3%33
R+68.0- Lead
- 7,269
- Total
- 10,686
- vs nation
- R+66.6
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Akashiccounty
Gilchrist County, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1928–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 14,589 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.6%1,700TrumpRepublican81.5%7,895JorgensenLibertarian0.6%61
R+64.0- Lead
- 6,195
- Total
- 9,685
- vs nation
- R+68.4
- Turnout
- 70.5%
ClintonDemocratic17.3%1,458TrumpRepublican80.0%6,740JohnsonLibertarian1.8%155
R+62.7- Lead
- 5,282
- Total
- 8,420
- vs nation
- R+64.8
- Turnout
- 64.4%
ObamaDemocratic23.8%1,885RomneyRepublican74.8%5,917OtherAll other candidates1.4%107
R+51.0- Lead
- 4,032
- Total
- 7,909
- vs nation
- R+54.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic25.5%1,996McCainRepublican72.3%5,656OtherAll other candidates2.1%167
R+46.8- Lead
- 3,660
- Total
- 7,819
- vs nation
- R+54.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.8%2,017BushRepublican70.4%4,936OtherAll other candidates0.9%62
R+41.6- Lead
- 2,919
- Total
- 7,015
- vs nation
- R+39.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.4%1,910BushRepublican61.2%3,300NaderGreen1.8%97
R+25.8- Lead
- 1,390
- Total
- 5,395
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.4%1,985DoleRepublican40.4%1,939PerotReform17.5%841
D+1.0- Lead
- 46
- Total
- 4,795
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 19,0402024 5-year
- Population density
- 54 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 350 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,5232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Doddridge County, WV · twin score 91.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.8%10,765 participants ÷ 14,589 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.0%–61.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,516 | 13,226 | 64.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,422 | 13,720 | 54.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,750 | 13,830 | 70.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,889 | 13,920 | 56.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,765 | 14,589 | 73.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Gilchrist County, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1928–2024 · 25 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
93.7%
836 votes · D+87.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 93.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
83.6%
8,931 votes · R+68.0
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 83.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
2,017votes
28.8% of the vote · R+41.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 1,996 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,931votes
83.6% of the vote · R+68.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,895 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+89.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+74.2 · U.S. R+15.4
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · +77.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+68.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +66.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+53.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+68.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 15 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 11,356 | 3,408 | 6,189 | 1,707 | 52 |
| 2018 | 11,827 | 3,263 | 6,669 | 1,823 | 72 |
| 2019 | 11,774 | 3,061 | 6,748 | 1,875 | 90 |
| 2020 | 12,653 | 2,844 | 7,712 | 1,944 | 153 |
| 2021 | 11,601 | 2,318 | 7,417 | 1,693 | 173 |
| 2023 | 12,479 | 2,107 | 8,253 | 1,884 | 235 |
| 2024 | 13,419 | 2,024 | 9,130 | 1,890 | 375 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+311 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,925 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,597 in average income, against $67,273 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.9 on average — 49 points more Democratic-leaning than Gilchrist County, FL itself (R+68.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Alachua County, FL159D+21.0
- Levy County, FL88R+50.3
- Dixie County, FL46R+70.4
- Columbia County, FL39R+50.2
- Marion County, FL20R+31.6
- Pinellas County, FL20R+5.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Alachua County, FL131
- Levy County, FL94
- Dixie County, FL47
- Columbia County, FL36
- Suwannee County, FL20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −26 |
| 2012 | −107 |
| 2013 | +34 |
| 2014 | +51 |
| 2015 | +380 |
| 2016 | +213 |
| 2017 | +273 |
| 2018 | +403 |
| 2019 | +318 |
| 2021 | +512 |
| 2022 | +664 |
| 2023 | +576 |
| 2024 | +323 |
| 2025 | +311 |
This small north-central Florida county of roughly 14,000 delivered an R+68 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most one-sided jurisdictions. Its economy centers on agriculture and rural services, with little urban population to dilute the conservative lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.0 points.
A population of 19,040, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,523 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Doddridge County and Linn County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Doddridge County
West Virginia
91.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Linn County
Kansas
89.3twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Irish ancestry
Upshur County
West Virginia
87.8twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gilchrist County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Gilchrist County, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gilchrist County, Florida voted Republican by 68.0 points (R+68.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,686 votes cast, 1,662 went Democratic and 8,931 went Republican.
When did Gilchrist County, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gilchrist County, Florida voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Gilchrist County, Florida?
Gilchrist County, Florida has a population of 19,040 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gilchrist County, Florida?
Median household income in Gilchrist County, Florida is $63,523 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gilchrist County, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gilchrist County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.