HarrisDemocratic50.3%90,417TrumpRepublican48.4%87,035SteinIndependent0.5%973
D+1.9- Lead
- 3,382
- Total
- 179,760
- vs nation
- D+3.4
Akashicmedia market
Gainesville
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic53.9%98,974TrumpRepublican44.9%82,375OtherAll other candidates1.2%2,252
D+9.0- Lead
- 16,599
- Total
- 183,601
- vs nation
- D+4.6
ClintonDemocratic51.1%83,649TrumpRepublican44.7%73,171OtherAll other candidates4.1%6,768
D+6.4- Lead
- 10,478
- Total
- 163,588
- vs nation
- D+4.3
ObamaDemocratic51.7%79,501RomneyRepublican46.7%71,820OtherAll other candidates1.5%2,346
D+5.0- Lead
- 7,681
- Total
- 153,667
- vs nation
- D+1.1
ObamaDemocratic54.1%86,197McCainRepublican44.6%71,117OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,013
D+9.5- Lead
- 15,080
- Total
- 159,327
- vs nation
- D+2.2
KerryDemocratic51.3%72,555BushRepublican47.8%67,542OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,340
D+3.5- Lead
- 5,013
- Total
- 141,437
- vs nation
- D+6.0
GoreDemocratic52.1%56,515BushRepublican43.3%46,995OtherAll other candidates4.6%5,039
D+8.8- Lead
- 9,520
- Total
- 108,549
- vs nation
- D+8.3
ClintonDemocratic51.8%48,818DoleRepublican35.0%32,953OtherAll other candidates13.2%12,405
D+16.8- Lead
- 15,865
- Total
- 94,176
- vs nation
- D+8.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 366,9812024 5-year
- Population density
- 120 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,049 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,8372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.3 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), NC · twin score 73.0
presidential history
Party record book
Gainesville · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
88.1%
8,797 votes · D+76.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 86.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
60.4%
28,743 votes · R+21.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 55.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
98,974votes
53.9% of the vote · D+9.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 90,417 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
87,035votes
48.4% of the vote · D+1.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 82,375 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+82.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+84.3 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +77.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+13.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+9.3 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −1.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+2.6
Presidential vote · 2024D+1.9
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.7 points.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 220,648 | 99,334 | 71,349 | 48,308 | 1,657 |
| 2018 | 232,893 | 104,246 | 74,495 | 51,813 | 2,339 |
| 2019 | 231,411 | 102,734 | 74,272 | 51,744 | 2,661 |
| 2020 | 246,928 | 109,752 | 81,095 | 52,363 | 3,718 |
| 2021 | 245,307 | 107,244 | 80,222 | 53,708 | 4,133 |
| 2023 | 204,743 | 83,617 | 74,416 | 42,238 | 4,472 |
| 2024 | 229,216 | 89,872 | 83,972 | 48,729 | 6,643 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+514 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +18,471 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −486 |
| 2012 | −1,100 |
| 2013 | −1,325 |
| 2014 | +857 |
| 2015 | +2,485 |
| 2016 | +3,243 |
| 2017 | +1,195 |
| 2018 | +1,891 |
| 2019 | +93 |
| 2021 | +3,629 |
| 2022 | +3,449 |
| 2023 | +2,919 |
| 2024 | +1,107 |
| 2025 | +514 |
The Gainesville media market anchors Alachua County, where University of Florida's roughly 50,000 students create unusually high turnout volatility and a college-educated demographic profile that diverges sharply from surrounding rural North Florida counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 21.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.9 points.
A population of 366,981, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,837 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville) and Charlottesville.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)
North Carolina
73.0twin score
college share2008–2020 trajectory≠ population scale
Charlottesville
Virginia
69.7twin score
2004–2020 trajectory≠ median income
Tallahassee-Thomasville
Georgia
67.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectorymedian income≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/592/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Gainesville
Frequently asked questions
How did Gainesville, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, Florida voted Democratic by 1.9 points (D+1.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 179,760 votes cast, 90,417 went Democratic and 87,035 went Republican.
When did Gainesville, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Gainesville, Florida?
Gainesville, Florida has a population of 366,981 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, Florida?
Median household income in Gainesville, Florida is $60,837 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gainesville, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.