Gainesville Media Market — Elections 1892–2024

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How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Kamala Harris ✓Democratic	50.3%	90,417
Donald TrumpRepublican	48.4%	87,035
Jill SteinGreen	1.3%	2,308

D+60

R+60

4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.

County-level results (4 counties) — table

2024 presidential result by county for Gainesville, FL — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County	Winner	Margin
Alachua County, FL	Democratic	D+21.0
Dixie County, FL	Republican	R+70.4
Gilchrist County, FL	Republican	R+68.0
Levy County, FL	Republican	R+50.3

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	D	50.3%Harris90,417	48.4%Trump87,035	1.3%Stein2,308	+1.9%	179,760
2020	D	53.9%Biden98,974	44.9%Trump82,375	1.2%Jorgensen2,252	+9.0%	183,601
2016	D	51.1%Clinton83,649	44.7%Trump73,171	4.1%Johnson6,768	+6.4%	163,588
2012	D	51.7%Obama79,501	46.7%Romney71,820	1.5%Johnson2,346	+5.0%	153,667
2008	D	54.1%Obama86,197	44.6%McCain71,117	1.3%Nader2,013	+9.5%	159,327
2004	D	51.3%Kerry72,555	47.8%Bush67,542	0.9%Nader1,340	+3.5%	141,437
2000	D	52.1%Gore56,515	43.3%Bush46,995	4.6%Nader5,039	+8.8%	108,549
1996	D	51.8%Clinton48,818	35.0%Dole32,953	13.2%Perot12,405	+16.8%	94,176
1992	D	47.6%Clinton45,584	30.7%Bush29,405	21.6%Perot20,709	+16.9%	95,698
1988	R	46.9%Dukakis35,333	52.1%Bush39,292	1.0%Paul788	−5.2%	75,413
1984	R	44.1%Mondale31,962	55.8%Reagan40,430	0.1%Other61	−11.7%	72,453
1980	D	53.4%Carter34,656	38.8%Reagan25,208	7.8%Anderson5,062	+14.6%	64,926
1976	D	64.3%Carter35,896	33.3%Ford18,597	2.4%McCarthy1,357	+31.0%	55,850
1972	R	39.4%McGovern18,721	60.4%Nixon28,743	0.2%Schmitz96	−21.1%	47,560
1968	O	31.6%Humphrey11,360	30.1%Nixon10,815	38.4%Wallace13,810	Wallace +6.8	35,985
1964	D	54.7%Johnson17,103	45.3%Goldwater14,179	0.0%	+9.3%	31,282
1960	D	52.7%Kennedy13,092	47.3%Nixon11,737	0.0%	+5.5%	24,829
1956	D	52.9%Stevenson10,539	47.1%Eisenhower9,380	0.0%	+5.8%	19,919
1952	R	49.2%Stevenson9,816	50.8%Eisenhower10,133	0.0%	−1.6%	19,949
1948	D	45.5%Truman6,619	19.2%Dewey2,785	35.3%Thurmond5,133	+26.4%	14,537
1944	D	82.5%Roosevelt9,828	17.5%Dewey2,080	0.0%	+65.1%	11,908
1940	D	86.6%Roosevelt11,672	13.4%Willkie1,810	0.0%	+73.1%	13,482
1936	D	88.1%Roosevelt8,797	11.9%Landon1,193	0.0%	+76.1%	9,990
1932	D	85.2%Roosevelt7,037	14.8%Hoover1,218	0.0%	+70.5%	8,255
1928	O	41.1%Smith3,496	16.8%Hoover1,431	42.1%Thomas3,578	Other +1.0	8,505
1924	D	71.5%Davis2,776	19.5%Coolidge756	9.0%La Follette351	+52.0%	3,883
1920	D	71.8%Cox4,192	25.6%Harding1,496	2.6%Debs154	+46.1%	5,842
1916	D	78.0%Wilson2,742	18.7%Hughes656	3.3%Benson116	+59.4%	3,514
1912	D	74.2%Wilson1,679	13.0%Taft295	12.8%Roosevelt289	+61.2%	2,263
1908	D	60.6%Bryan1,650	32.1%Taft875	7.3%Debs200	+28.4%	2,725
1904	D	67.1%Parker1,703	27.4%Roosevelt694	5.5%Debs140	+39.8%	2,537
1900	D	76.7%Bryan1,346	19.0%McKinley334	4.3%Woolley76	+57.6%	1,756
1896	D	68.8%Bryan1,545	28.7%McKinley645	2.4%Palmer55	+40.1%	2,245
1892	D	84.3%Cleveland1,447	0.0%Harrison0	15.7%Weaver270	+84.3%	1,717

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+84.3%
1896	+40.1%
1900	+57.6%
1904	+39.8%
1908	+28.4%
1912	+61.2%
1916	+59.4%
1920	+46.1%
1924	+52.0%
1928	+24.3%
1932	+70.5%
1936	+76.1%
1940	+73.1%
1944	+65.1%
1948	+26.4%
1952	−1.6%
1956	+5.8%
1960	+5.5%
1964	+9.3%
1968	+1.5%
1972	−21.1%
1976	+31.0%
1980	+14.6%
1984	−11.7%
1988	−5.2%
1992	+16.9%
1996	+16.8%
2000	+8.8%
2004	+3.5%
2008	+9.5%
2012	+5.0%
2016	+6.4%
2020	+9.0%
2024	+1.9%

DemocraticRepublican

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Gainesville
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2017	220,648	99,334	71,349	48,308	1,657
2018	232,893	104,246	74,495	51,813	2,339
2019	231,411	102,734	74,272	51,744	2,661
2020	246,928	109,752	81,095	52,363	3,718
2021	245,307	107,244	80,222	53,708	4,133
2023	204,743	83,617	74,416	42,238	4,472
2024	229,216	89,872	83,972	48,729	6,643

Source: Florida Division of Elections

The Gainesville media market anchors Alachua County, where University of Florida's roughly 50,000 students create unusually high turnout volatility and a college-educated demographic profile that diverges sharply from surrounding rural North Florida counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 21.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.9 points.

A population of 366,981, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,837 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville) and Charlottesville.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)

North Carolina

73.0twin score

college share2008–2020 trajectory≠ population scale

Charlottesville

Virginia

69.7twin score

2004–2020 trajectory≠ median income

Tallahassee-Thomasville

Georgia

67.2twin score

2000–2012 trajectorymedian income≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Gainesville, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/592/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Places within Gainesville

counties4

Alachua County Dixie County Gilchrist County Levy County

Frequently asked questions

How did Gainesville, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, Gainesville, Florida voted Democratic by 1.9 points (D+1.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 179,760 votes cast, 90,417 went Democratic and 87,035 went Republican.

When did Gainesville, Florida last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, Florida voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Gainesville, Florida?

Gainesville, Florida has a population of 366,981 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Gainesville, Florida?

Median household income in Gainesville, Florida is $60,837 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of Gainesville, Florida?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.