- Lead
- 26,714
- Total
- 371,726
- vs nation
- R+5.7
Tallahassee-Thomasville
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 323
- Total
- 375,840
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Lead
- 2,530
- Total
- 338,097
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Lead
- 10,113
- Total
- 335,585
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Lead
- 12,076
- Total
- 335,299
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Lead
- 10,016
- Total
- 298,957
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Lead
- 10,584
- Total
- 230,170
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 22,000
- Total
- 208,512
- vs nation
- D+2.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 771,4742024 5-year
- Population density
- 74 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10,414 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,6672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 30.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Memphis, MS · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
Tallahassee-Thomasville · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
94.2%
26,011 votes · D+88.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 93.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.7%
83,064 votes · R+43.5
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 60.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
185,872votes
49.5% of the vote · R+0.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 172,402 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
197,724votes
53.2% of the vote · R+7.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 186,195 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+101.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+76.4 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +92.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+43.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.1 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +20.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Tallahassee-Thomasville registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 19-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 (partial) | 326,079 | 175,091 | 95,333 | 54,135 | 1,520 |
| 2019 (partial) | 338,815 | 175,392 | 101,810 | 58,503 | 3,110 |
| 2021 (partial) | 329,342 | 163,183 | 106,425 | 55,230 | 4,504 |
| 2023 (partial) | 312,935 | 144,802 | 107,870 | 54,548 | 5,715 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+96 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,224 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +525 |
| 2012 | +1,997 |
| 2013 | −7,187 |
| 2014 | −1,702 |
| 2015 | −1,948 |
| 2016 | −2,267 |
| 2017 | +1,727 |
| 2018 | −1,290 |
| 2019 | +1,683 |
| 2021 | +1,734 |
| 2022 | +4,646 |
| 2023 | +4,459 |
| 2024 | +3,751 |
| 2025 | +96 |
The Tallahassee-Thomasville market pairs a university-and-government hub with sparsely populated agricultural counties across the state line, producing a split electorate where turnout patterns differ sharply between urban Leon County and the surrounding rural terrain.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 43.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.2 points.
A population of 771,474, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,667 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Memphis and Columbia, SC.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Tallahassee-Thomasville, Georgia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/530/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.