Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Fresno-Visalia
presidential margin
2008R+3.22012R+3.62016D+0.42020D+1.92024R+10.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+10.6
2024
median income$72,259U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age33.1U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate18.2%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)20.1%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english46.2%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican54.8%
Salvadoran0.9%
Puerto Rican0.4%
German5.8%
English4.6%
Irish4.4%
Hmong2.1%
Asian Indian1.6%
Filipino1.3%
African American†3.0%
African0.2%
Aztec0.1%
religion
other traditions
Latter-day Saints1.8%
Other Christian1.6%
Mainline1.1%
Black Protestant0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Fresno-Visalia, California

Akashic
Fresno-VisaliaTrumpR+10.6
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Fresno-Visalia, CAA map of the constituent counties of Fresno-Visalia, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Kings County, CA · R+23.0Merced County, CA · R+4.4Mariposa County, CA · R+21.1Fresno County, CA · R+4.4Tulare County, CA · R+20.7Madera County, CA · R+20.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican54.1%354,776
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.5%285,161
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent2.5%16,354
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (6 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Fresno-Visalia, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Fresno County, CARepublicanR+4.4
Kings County, CARepublicanR+23.0
Madera County, CARepublicanR+20.8
Mariposa County, CARepublicanR+21.1
Merced County, CARepublicanR+4.4
Tulare County, CARepublicanR+20.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
43.5%Harris285,161
54.1%Trump354,776
2.5%Kennedy16,354
−10.6%
656,291
D
49.8%Biden354,076
48.0%Trump340,840
2.2%Jorgensen15,752
+1.9%
710,668
D
46.5%Clinton260,011
46.1%Trump257,708
7.4%Johnson41,266
+0.4%
558,985
R
46.9%Obama236,381
50.6%Romney254,690
2.5%Johnson12,516
−3.6%
503,587
R
47.4%Obama251,170
50.6%McCain268,075
2.1%Nader11,042
−3.2%
530,287
R
38.8%Kerry187,704
60.2%Bush291,249
1.0%Badnarik4,948
−21.4%
483,901
R
40.9%Gore176,298
55.4%Bush238,901
3.6%Nader15,676
−14.5%
430,875
R
43.0%Clinton174,331
49.0%Dole198,786
8.0%Perot32,486
−6.0%
405,603
R
39.8%Clinton167,607
41.4%Bush174,321
18.8%Perot79,253
−1.6%
421,181
R
45.7%Dukakis166,233
53.0%Bush192,584
1.3%Paul4,809
−7.2%
363,626
R
41.0%Mondale150,109
58.0%Reagan212,127
1.0%Bergland3,727
−16.9%
365,963
R
39.3%Carter123,266
53.0%Reagan166,087
7.7%Anderson24,284
−13.7%
313,637
R
48.7%Carter134,925
49.2%Ford136,358
2.2%Macbride6,023
−0.5%
277,306
R
43.1%McGovern123,712
53.5%Nixon153,302
3.4%Schmitz9,769
−10.3%
286,783
D
46.1%Humphrey118,548
45.2%Nixon116,331
8.7%Wallace22,456
+0.9%
257,335
D
65.0%Johnson166,948
34.9%Goldwater89,611
0.1%Hass240
+30.1%
256,799
D
53.4%Kennedy131,499
46.2%Nixon113,835
0.5%Byrd1,138
+7.2%
246,472
D
54.0%Stevenson120,617
45.7%Eisenhower102,103
0.3%Andrews571
+8.3%
223,291
R
48.0%Stevenson102,110
51.2%Eisenhower108,902
0.8%Hallinan1,706
−3.2%
212,718
D
55.9%Truman90,520
40.5%Dewey65,597
3.6%Thurmond5,834
+15.4%
161,951
D
59.5%Roosevelt78,252
39.9%Dewey52,489
0.7%Thomas873
+19.6%
131,614
D
64.8%Roosevelt95,487
34.1%Willkie50,193
1.1%Thomas1,651
+30.7%
147,331
D
74.3%Roosevelt84,638
24.3%Landon27,633
1.4%Lemke1,639
+50.0%
113,910
D
67.6%Roosevelt65,395
27.8%Hoover26,932
4.6%Thomas4,427
+39.8%
96,754
R
41.6%Smith31,603
57.1%Hoover43,345
1.3%Thomas980
−15.5%
75,928
R
14.8%Davis10,472
47.0%Coolidge33,366
38.2%La Follette27,149
−32.3%
70,987
R
34.3%Cox19,056
58.1%Harding32,283
7.7%Debs4,265
−23.8%
55,604
D
49.8%Wilson29,764
41.3%Hughes24,679
8.9%Benson5,333
+8.5%
59,776
O
44.5%Wilson18,972
0.0%Taft0
55.5%Roosevelt23,636
Roosevelt +10.9
42,608
R
39.9%Bryan10,085
49.0%Taft12,379
11.1%Debs2,817
−9.1%
25,281
R
35.3%Parker7,012
52.7%Roosevelt10,477
12.0%Debs2,376
−17.4%
19,865
D
49.9%Bryan9,243
45.6%McKinley8,452
4.5%Woolley839
+4.3%
18,534
D
59.4%Bryan10,010
38.2%McKinley6,437
2.4%Palmer399
+21.2%
16,846
D
43.7%Cleveland7,587
18.3%Harrison3,173
38.0%Weaver6,585
+25.4%
17,345
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −10.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−10.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+25.4%
1896+21.2%
1900+4.3%
1904−17.4%
1908−9.1%
1912+44.5%
1916+8.5%
1920−23.8%
1924−32.3%
1928−15.5%
1932+39.8%
1936+50.0%
1940+30.7%
1944+19.6%
1948+15.4%
1952−3.2%
1956+8.3%
1960+7.2%
1964+30.1%
1968+0.9%
1972−10.3%
1976−0.5%
1980−13.7%
1984−16.9%
1988−7.2%
1992−1.6%
1996−6.0%
2000−14.5%
2004−21.4%
2008−3.2%
2012−3.6%
2016+0.4%
2020+1.9%
2024−10.6%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Fresno-VisaliaRegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 1,009,594 in 2024.252.4K504.8K757.2K1M1M20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Fresno-Visalia
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2022975,149368,193329,252202,96774,737
20241,009,594365,909348,759208,87686,050
Source: California Secretary of State

Anchored by the San Joaquin Valley's agricultural economy, this media market blends a majority-Hispanic working-class base with conservative rural precincts, producing competitive legislative margins that frequently diverge from statewide trends.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 32.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 12.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.6 points.

A population of 2,116,939, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,259 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bakersfield and San Antonio.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Bakersfield
California
91.9twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White
San Antonio
Texas
87.4twin score
% Latino% White% Catholic≠ college share
Yuma-El Centro
California
79.9twin score
% Latino% Whitemedian age≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fresno-Visalia, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/866/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Fresno-Visalia

counties6
Fresno CountyKings CountyMadera CountyMariposa CountyMerced CountyTulare County

Frequently asked questions

How did Fresno-Visalia, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fresno-Visalia, California voted Republican by 10.6 points (R+10.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 656,291 votes cast, 285,161 went Democratic and 354,776 went Republican.
When did Fresno-Visalia, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fresno-Visalia, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Fresno-Visalia, California?
Fresno-Visalia, California has a population of 2,116,939 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fresno-Visalia, California?
Median household income in Fresno-Visalia, California is $72,259 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fresno-Visalia, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fresno-Visalia, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.