akashic
1876–2024
Fresno County, California
Fresno County·California

Fresno County votes the way the country votes.

Central Valley's largest county shifted redward even as cities grew

18762024·38 elections
Fresno County, California · Crd637 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,016,725
2024 ACS
Most similar
Merced County
CA · similarity 0.87
376 precincts · 325,994 votes cast
Trump · R+4
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−4.4%
151,628165,924325,994
2020D
+7.8%
193,025164,464364,917
2016D
+6.0%
141,341124,049287,062
2012D
+1.8%
129,129124,490259,697
2008D
+2.1%
136,706131,015273,452
2004R
−15.7%
103,154141,988247,463
2000R
−10.1%
95,059117,342220,835
1996R
−2.1%
94,44898,813208,393
1992D
+1.5%
92,41889,137219,161
1988R
−1.2%
92,63594,835189,870
1984R
−9.6%
86,315104,757192,936
1980R
−10.7%
65,25482,515161,386
1976D
+1.6%
74,95872,533150,805
1972R
−4.1%
72,68279,051156,719
1968D
+3.8%
65,15359,901137,396
1964D
+31.2%
89,37546,792136,308
1960D
+10.9%
72,16457,930130,702
1956D
+13.1%
67,23451,611119,115
1952D
+2.3%
54,54152,025107,376
1948D
+21.3%
47,76230,37981,665
1944D
+28.3%
40,76922,66863,862
1940D
+39.3%
48,86621,07970,750
1936D
+56.8%
42,85911,54555,126
1932D
+43.8%
32,52812,13446,537
1928R
−10.0%
16,88420,68738,098
1924R
−31.0%
4,61015,63535,527
1920R
−19.0%
9,61314,62126,413
1916D
+8.9%
14,24111,70728,508
1912D
+43.0%
8,891020,696
1908R
−13.1%
4,7436,38412,545
1904R
−23.9%
2,8154,9298,836
1900D
+0.1%
3,5903,5857,573
1896D
+16.5%
3,7902,6866,679
1892D
+42.3%
3,45338,153
1888D
+6.6%
2,8222,4615,492
1884D
+12.4%
1,7041,3143,137
1880D
+29.6%
1,1336131,754
1876D
+48.2%
9683381,306
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
3.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.4%
Other Christian
10.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Baptist
2.2%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Fresno County's mix of agricultural flatlands and a mid-size urban core produces competitive margins; the 2024 presidential result landed R+4.4, continuing a decade-long rightward drift driven partly by Latino voter realignment in farm-dependent communities.

The Democratic margin in Fresno County has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-one points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by four points.

Fresno County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 36% non-Hispanic-white share, a 18% poverty rate, and a median household income of $74,201 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Merced County and Lancaster County.