akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 5·California

California 5th Congressional District delivered R+14 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of California's most Democratic-leaning districts by presidential margin

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
871,904
2024 ACS

California 5th Congressional District, California: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
871,9042024 5-year
Median household income
$78,8962024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
47.5%2024 5-year
Black
3.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
44.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1924MIT Election Lab
R
McCLINTOCK, TomCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: THOMPSON, Michael (2021–2023), THOMPSON, Michael (2019–2021), THOMPSON, Michael (2017–2019), THOMPSON, Michael (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

8 counties · 0 D · 8 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.5%
141,157186,704336,901
R
−4.2%
168,305183,606360,453
R
−6.0%
125,478143,106292,028
R
−6.7%
121,547139,535268,961
R
−4.8%
132,019145,632284,569
R
−20.4%
102,455155,779261,462
R
−14.6%
93,024126,517229,796
R
−5.7%
90,035102,216212,884
D
+0.4%
87,24886,455223,965
R
−7.5%
83,30597,075183,035
R
−17.4%
71,476102,071175,620
R
−15.3%
56,57379,673150,890
D
+3.2%
64,69560,605128,844
R
−7.9%
55,82565,779126,056
D
+1.1%
50,08748,915108,599
D
+30.1%
68,71636,882105,722
D
+6.7%
53,75646,991101,285
D
+6.2%
48,26742,61091,131
R
−5.8%
39,65444,53984,955
D
+12.0%
35,79127,83066,389
D
+19.6%
31,30720,98652,742
D
+29.4%
38,83621,03460,584
D
+48.6%
35,08311,91647,632
D
+39.3%
27,06211,34540,025
R
−12.6%
13,67017,68831,765
R
−31.8%
3,66612,69628,422
R
−26.0%
7,72813,89123,697
D
+13.1%
14,39710,78127,701
D
+50.7%
11,090021,863
R
−8.7%
5,8877,16714,640
R
−16.8%
5,2707,69514,434
D
+0.3%
7,3137,26114,944
D
+13.0%
7,8035,97414,036
D
+13.9%
5,9894,24112,617
D
+5.3%
6,3715,71212,393
D
+2.4%
5,4625,19610,904
D
+6.4%
5,3164,67310,034
D
+9.7%
4,7893,9458,734

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D58.9%41.1%15,348,846
2022D61.1%38.9%10,843,650
2018D100.0%0.0%11,113,364
2016D100.0%0.0%12,244,170
2012D62.5%37.5%12,578,511
2010D52.2%42.2%10,000,160
2006D59.4%35.0%8,541,476
2004D57.7%37.8%12,053,295
2000D55.8%36.6%10,623,608
1998D53.1%43.0%8,311,905
1994D46.7%44.8%8,514,089
1992D47.9%43.0%10,799,703
1988R44.0%52.8%9,743,598
1986D49.3%47.9%7,398,462
1982R44.8%51.5%7,805,450
1980D56.5%37.1%8,324,012
1976R46.9%50.2%7,470,586

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.1%
English
7.8%
Irish
7.5%
Italian
3.5%
American
1.9%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
64.2%
speak English only
Spanish28.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.5%
Other Indo-European3.2%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.9%
Other Christian
10.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.3%
Baptist
1.7%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Centered in the Sacramento region, CA-5 posted a D+40.6 margin in 2024, placing it among the most lopsided congressional districts in the state. Its urban core and demographic composition consistently produce outsized Democratic pluralities.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-one points in 1912; the Republican margin reached thirty-two points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 871,904, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $78,896 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 5, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0605/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 5, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 5, California voted Republican by 13.5 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 336,901 votes cast, 141,157 went Democratic and 186,704 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 5, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 5, California as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 5, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 5, California voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Congressional District 5, California?
Congressional District 5, California has a population of 871,904 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 5, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 5, California is $78,896 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 5, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 5, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.