akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 27·California

California 27th State House District votes the way the country votes.

A rare California assembly district where Trump outran the Democratic baseline in 2024

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
693,795
2024 ACS

California 27th State House District, California: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+54 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
693,7952024 5-year
Median household income
$71,3592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
34.2%2024 5-year
Black
3.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
57.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+54 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1924MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.3%
100,264111,815217,940
D
+7.7%
125,066106,820237,353
D
+6.8%
92,77280,032186,624
D
+2.9%
83,97279,166167,228
D
+3.1%
88,38082,947174,983
R
−16.0%
65,70491,098158,443
R
−9.9%
60,50274,422140,041
R
−1.7%
59,39261,616131,436
D
+1.9%
57,11454,497137,712
R
−2.4%
57,13259,947118,641
R
−12.8%
51,62066,887119,726
R
−9.4%
41,71751,252101,421
D
+2.9%
46,30843,66392,032
R
−6.4%
42,90748,94694,837
D
+5.6%
40,31335,64883,202
D
+33.2%
54,95127,55782,587
D
+11.7%
44,37435,07479,804
D
+11.7%
40,33831,86172,365
R
−0.3%
33,16133,36167,058
D
+18.6%
29,06519,64050,602
D
+24.4%
25,33315,34440,920
D
+35.2%
30,08314,29944,886
D
+53.8%
26,2937,72534,528
D
+42.7%
20,1147,68329,124
R
−13.2%
9,83612,87923,027
R
−34.0%
2,5889,72721,008
R
−23.4%
5,4899,27116,129
D
+9.4%
8,4676,88116,852
O
+44.2%
5,553012,558
R
−9.2%
2,9893,6797,516
R
−17.9%
2,0073,0095,613
D
+4.3%
2,5342,3175,072
D
+20.0%
2,6461,7464,507
D
+32.1%
2,2416404,982
D
+8.3%
1,9611,6493,738
D
+10.1%
1,4831,2042,750
D
+22.6%
1,0706751,751
D
+28.0%
1,0575951,652

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.7%
English
4.3%
Irish
4.2%
Italian
2.2%
American
1.6%
French
0.8%
Scottish
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
53.1%
speak English only
Spanish37.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%
Other Indo-European4.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.7%
Other Christian
9.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Baptist
1.9%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 27 is one of a handful of California state house seats where the 2024 presidential race finished at R+3, reflecting a suburban or exurban constituency that diverges sharply from the state's overall Democratic tilt.

The Democratic margin in California 27th State House District has rarely exceeded fifty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 34% non-Hispanic-white share, a 19% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,359 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 27, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/06027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 27, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 27, California voted Republican by 5.3 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 217,940 votes cast, 100,264 went Democratic and 111,815 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 27, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 27, California as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Assembly District 27, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 27, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Assembly District 27, California?
Assembly District 27, California has a population of 693,795 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 27, California?
Median household income in Assembly District 27, California is $71,359 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Assembly District 27, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 27, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.