Merced County, California
AkashicMerced County, CATrumpR+4.4
2024 precinct map of Merced CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Merced County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin, and gold where an independent or third-party candidate carried the precinct.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 50.9% | 43,955 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 46.5% | 40,190 |
| Robert F Kennedy Jr.American Independent | 1.4% | 1,184 |
Harris +50Trump +50
577 precincts · 86,392 votes. Hover any precinct for its result.
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1876–2024.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 46.5%Harris40,190 | 50.9%Trump43,955 | 1.4%Kennedy1,184 | 86,392 | ||
| D | 53.8%Biden48,991 | 43.3%Trump39,397 | 1.0%Jorgensen941 | 90,993 | ||
| D | 52.5%Clinton37,317 | 40.4%Trump28,725 | 3.4%Johnson2,410 | 71,127 | ||
| D | 53.0%Obama33,005 | 44.3%Romney27,581 | 0.8%Johnson516 | 62,222 | ||
| D | 53.1%Obama34,031 | 44.8%McCain28,704 | 2.1%Nader1,316 | 64,051 | ||
| R | 42.3%Kerry24,491 | 56.5%Bush32,773 | 1.2%Badnarik696 | 57,960 | ||
| R | 45.1%Gore22,726 | 51.8%Bush26,102 | 2.3%Nader1,166 | 50,418 | ||
| D | 46.4%Clinton21,786 | 44.4%Dole20,847 | 7.3%Perot3,427 | 46,938 | ||
| D | 40.9%Clinton20,133 | 36.5%Bush17,981 | 22.1%Perot10,914 | 49,284 | ||
| R | 47.4%Dukakis20,105 | 51.2%Bush21,717 | 1.4%Paul592 | 42,414 | ||
| R | 40.0%Mondale17,012 | 58.8%Reagan24,997 | 1.1%Bergland468 | 42,477 | ||
| R | 42.9%Carter15,886 | 48.8%Reagan18,043 | 8.3%Anderson3,067 | 36,996 | ||
| D | 51.7%Carter16,637 | 46.1%Ford14,842 | 2.3%Macbride729 | 32,208 | ||
| R | 42.6%McGovern13,914 | 54.3%Nixon17,737 | 3.1%Schmitz997 | 32,648 | ||
| D | 51.0%Humphrey14,453 | 40.9%Nixon11,595 | 8.1%Wallace2,301 | 28,349 | ||
| D | 68.7%Johnson19,431 | 31.2%Goldwater8,814 | 0.1%Hass24 | 28,269 | ||
| D | 56.2%Kennedy15,545 | 43.4%Nixon11,990 | 0.4%Byrd111 | 27,646 | ||
| D | 53.8%Stevenson13,366 | 46.0%Eisenhower11,430 | 0.2%Andrews56 | 24,852 | ||
| R | 46.4%Stevenson11,316 | 52.7%Eisenhower12,865 | 0.9%Hallinan214 | 24,395 | ||
| D | 54.9%Truman9,959 | 42.6%Dewey7,721 | 2.4%Thurmond444 | 18,124 | ||
| D | 58.3%Roosevelt9,192 | 41.3%Dewey6,518 | 0.4%Thomas69 | 15,779 | ||
| D | 62.6%Roosevelt10,501 | 36.4%Willkie6,101 | 1.1%Thomas182 | 16,784 | ||
| D | 72.7%Roosevelt9,208 | 25.5%Landon3,230 | 1.8%Lemke230 | 12,668 | ||
| D | 67.1%Roosevelt7,202 | 27.2%Hoover2,920 | 5.7%Thomas612 | 10,734 | ||
| R | 38.5%Smith2,970 | 60.2%Hoover4,644 | 1.3%Thomas104 | 7,718 | ||
| R | 10.5%Davis710 | 52.9%Coolidge3,573 | 36.5%La Follette2,466 | 6,749 | ||
| R | 28.0%Cox1,537 | 63.0%Harding3,457 | 9.0%Debs494 | 5,488 | ||
| D | 50.4%Wilson2,637 | 40.7%Hughes2,132 | 8.9%Benson467 | 5,236 | ||
| O | 46.8%Wilson1,978 | 0.0%Taft0 | 53.2%Roosevelt2,250 | 4,228 | ||
| R | 44.3%Bryan1,100 | 44.6%Taft1,107 | 11.1%Debs276 | 2,483 | ||
| R | 43.6%Parker863 | 49.1%Roosevelt972 | 7.4%Debs146 | 1,981 | ||
| D | 55.4%Bryan1,081 | 41.6%McKinley811 | 3.0%Woolley58 | 1,950 | ||
| D | 62.0%Bryan1,117 | 36.2%McKinley653 | 1.8%Palmer32 | 1,802 | ||
| D | 50.5%Cleveland995 | 39.7%Harrison782 | 9.9%Weaver195 | 1,972 | ||
| D | 54.1%Cleveland972 | 43.0%Harrison773 | 2.8%Fisk51 | 1,796 | ||
| D | 53.6%Cleveland953 | 45.5%Blaine809 | 1.0%Butler17 | 1,779 | ||
| D | 58.6%Hancock736 | 41.1%Garfield516 | 0.3%Weaver4 | 1,256 | ||
| D | 59.0%Tilden804 | 41.0%Hayes558 | 0.0% | 1,362 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +18.1% |
| 1880 | +17.5% |
| 1884 | +8.1% |
| 1888 | +11.1% |
| 1892 | +10.8% |
| 1896 | +25.7% |
| 1900 | +13.8% |
| 1904 | −5.5% |
| 1908 | −0.3% |
| 1912 | +46.8% |
| 1916 | +9.6% |
| 1920 | −35.0% |
| 1924 | −42.4% |
| 1928 | −21.7% |
| 1932 | +39.9% |
| 1936 | +47.2% |
| 1940 | +26.2% |
| 1944 | +16.9% |
| 1948 | +12.3% |
| 1952 | −6.3% |
| 1956 | +7.8% |
| 1960 | +12.9% |
| 1964 | +37.6% |
| 1968 | +10.1% |
| 1972 | −11.7% |
| 1976 | +5.6% |
| 1980 | −5.8% |
| 1984 | −18.8% |
| 1988 | −3.8% |
| 1992 | +4.4% |
| 1996 | +2.0% |
| 2000 | −6.7% |
| 2004 | −14.3% |
| 2008 | +8.3% |
| 2012 | +8.7% |
| 2016 | +12.1% |
| 2020 | +10.5% |
| 2024 | −4.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 124,827 | 53,581 | 35,400 | 27,152 | 8,694 |
| 2024 | 130,472 | 53,548 | 38,806 | 28,432 | 9,686 |
Source: California Secretary of State
Merced shifted to the Republican column by 4.4 points in 2024, a notable move for a majority-Hispanic agricultural county in California's Central Valley where dairy farming and field crops define the local economy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 42.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 14.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.4 points.
A population of 290,201, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,510 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Joaquin County and Fresno County.
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Merced County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Merced County, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Merced County, California voted Republican by 4.4 points (R+4.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 86,392 votes cast, 40,190 went Democratic and 43,955 went Republican.
When did Merced County, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Merced County, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Merced County, California?
Merced County, California has a population of 290,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Merced County, California?
Median household income in Merced County, California is $65,510 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Merced County, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Merced County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.