Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMcSwainCaliforniaUnited States
Portuguese11.3%——
German10.2%6.8%12.5%
Irish7.8%5.9%9.4%
English7.8%6.3%9.5%
Italian4.3%3.4%4.8%
American4.0%2.8%5.3%
French1.9%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.4%0.9%1.3%
Mexican30.0%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.3%2.0%0.7%
Asian Indian5.4%2.3%1.4%
Hmong4.1%0.3%—
Filipino2.1%3.3%0.9%
Chinese0.6%3.9%1.3%
Vietnamese0.4%1.7%0.6%
Korean0.4%1.2%0.4%
Thai0.4%——
Laotian0.4%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
McSwain
California
United States
Median age
33.8
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
11.5%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
9.7%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
McSwain
California
United States
Median household income
$139,131
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
17.1%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.6%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
McSwain
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
27.9%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
16.8%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
7.1%
3.4%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
3.3%
2.0%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
McSwain
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
McSwain, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−48.2%
2008
−26.2%
2012
−32.8%
2016
−36.5%
2020
−37.4%
2024
−40.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
28.8%Harris733
69.5%Trump1,769
1.7%
R+40.7
R+3.3
R+39.2
2,546
R
30.6%Biden799
68.0%Trump1,775
1.4%
R+37.4
R+0.9
R+41.8
2,610
R
29.5%Clinton636
66.0%Trump1,422
4.5%
R+36.5
R+3.7
R+38.5
2,156
R
32.3%Obama594
65.1%Romney1,197
2.6%
R+32.8
R+6.5
R+36.6
1,839
R
36.7%Obama672
62.9%McCain1,153
0.4%
R+26.2
D+21.9
R+33.5
1,833
R
25.6%Kerry519
73.7%Bush1,497
0.7%
R+48.2
—
R+45.7
2,030
McSwain sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 48.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.7 points.
A population of 5,783, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $139,131 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bonadelle Ranchos and Yosemite Lakes.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, McSwain, California voted Republican by 40.7 points (R+40.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,546 votes cast, 733 went Democratic and 1,769 went Republican.
How many people live in McSwain, California?
McSwain, California has a population of 5,783 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McSwain, California?
Median household income in McSwain, California is $139,131 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of McSwain, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in McSwain, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
