Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
82.0%3,018 participants ÷ 3,679 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+30.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+4.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
51.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
54.9%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
3,018
3,679 ± 472
82.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
2,177
3,969 ± 452
54.9%
Audited
E/D
3,198
3,748 ± 394
85.3%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Bonadelle Ranchos, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1996–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
32.1%
759 votes · R+35.3
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 30.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
74.2%
1,689 votes · R+48.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 71.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
919votes
29.3% of the vote · R+39.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 788 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
2,149votes
68.5% of the vote · R+39.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,098 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
−36.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+27.6 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −42.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+47.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.1 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +46.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Bonadelle Ranchos · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Madera County, California, the county containing Bonadelle Ranchos — Bonadelle Ranchos’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Bonadelle Ranchos, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Bonadelle Ranchos is a census-designated place northeast of Fresno that has grown alongside broader exurban expansion in Madera County's fringe, where homeownership rates and family household sizes run above state medians.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 48.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 5,465, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $132,723 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oak Hills and Yosemite Lakes.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Bonadelle Ranchos, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bonadelle Ranchos, California voted Republican by 44.3 points (R+44.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,955 votes cast, 788 went Democratic and 2,098 went Republican.
How many people live in Bonadelle Ranchos, California?
Bonadelle Ranchos, California has a population of 5,465 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bonadelle Ranchos, California?
Median household income in Bonadelle Ranchos, California is $132,723 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bonadelle Ranchos, California?
Akashic tracks 7 presidential elections in Bonadelle Ranchos, California from 1996 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
