Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Fresno, CA
presidential margin
2008D+0.022012R+0.72016D+3.32020D+5.32024R+6.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+6.7
2024
median income$74,533U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age33.7U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate18.4%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)23.4%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english44.0%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican51.1%
Salvadoran1.2%
Puerto Rican0.4%
German6.5%
English4.8%
Irish4.6%
Hmong3.2%
Asian Indian2.1%
Filipino1.3%
African American†3.6%
African0.2%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian1.6%
Mainline1.1%
Buddhist1.0%
Black Protestant0.9%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Fresno, CA, California

Akashic
Fresno, CATrumpR+6.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Fresno, CA, CAA map of the constituent counties of Fresno, CA, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Fresno County, CA · R+4.4Madera County, CA · R+20.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican52.1%198,268
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.3%172,609
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent2.6%9,741
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Fresno, CA, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Fresno County, CARepublicanR+4.4
Madera County, CARepublicanR+20.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
45.3%Harris172,609
52.1%Trump198,268
2.6%Kennedy9,741
−6.7%
380,618
D
51.6%Biden216,193
46.3%Trump193,842
2.1%Jorgensen8,614
+5.3%
418,649
D
47.9%Clinton158,370
44.6%Trump147,406
7.5%Johnson24,793
+3.3%
330,569
R
48.4%Obama145,147
49.2%Romney147,342
2.4%Johnson7,141
−0.7%
299,630
D
49.0%Obama154,658
48.9%McCain154,598
2.1%Nader6,670
+0.0%
315,926
R
40.7%Kerry116,635
58.3%Bush166,859
1.0%Badnarik2,819
−17.5%
286,313
R
42.0%Gore106,709
54.1%Bush137,625
3.9%Nader9,896
−12.2%
254,230
R
44.2%Clinton105,702
48.2%Dole115,323
7.5%Perot18,030
−4.0%
239,055
D
41.4%Clinton103,281
41.0%Bush102,203
17.6%Perot43,922
+0.4%
249,406
R
48.2%Dukakis103,277
50.5%Bush108,090
1.3%Paul2,784
−2.2%
214,151
R
44.1%Mondale95,309
54.9%Reagan118,711
1.0%Bergland2,157
−10.8%
216,177
R
40.3%Carter73,037
51.4%Reagan93,114
8.3%Anderson15,015
−11.1%
181,166
D
49.8%Carter82,583
47.9%Ford79,377
2.3%Macbride3,737
+1.9%
165,697
R
46.2%McGovern79,262
50.6%Nixon86,886
3.2%Schmitz5,463
−4.4%
171,611
D
47.5%Humphrey72,085
43.6%Nixon66,130
8.9%Wallace13,484
+3.9%
151,699
D
65.8%Johnson98,766
34.1%Goldwater51,253
0.1%Hass151
+31.6%
150,170
D
55.5%Kennedy80,290
44.1%Nixon63,799
0.5%Byrd670
+11.4%
144,759
D
56.6%Stevenson74,396
43.2%Eisenhower56,850
0.2%Andrews308
+13.3%
131,554
D
50.7%Stevenson60,583
48.5%Eisenhower57,958
0.8%Hallinan926
+2.2%
119,467
D
58.5%Truman52,988
37.3%Dewey33,795
4.3%Thurmond3,864
+21.2%
90,647
D
63.4%Roosevelt45,045
35.9%Dewey25,533
0.7%Thomas474
+27.5%
71,052
D
68.9%Roosevelt54,615
29.9%Willkie23,732
1.1%Thomas906
+39.0%
79,253
D
77.5%Roosevelt47,505
21.1%Landon12,932
1.3%Lemke823
+56.4%
61,260
D
69.9%Roosevelt35,985
26.0%Hoover13,377
4.1%Thomas2,103
+43.9%
51,465
R
44.3%Smith18,780
54.4%Hoover23,041
1.3%Thomas566
−10.1%
42,387
R
12.9%Davis5,060
43.9%Coolidge17,153
43.2%La Follette16,872
−30.9%
39,085
R
36.3%Cox10,758
55.4%Harding16,400
8.3%Debs2,463
−19.0%
29,621
D
50.4%Wilson16,121
40.7%Hughes13,030
8.9%Benson2,838
+9.7%
31,989
O
43.5%Wilson10,045
0.0%Taft0
56.5%Roosevelt13,070
Roosevelt +13.1
23,115
R
38.3%Bryan5,317
50.3%Taft6,980
11.4%Debs1,577
−12.0%
13,874
R
33.1%Parker3,425
55.2%Roosevelt5,713
11.7%Debs1,210
−22.1%
10,348
R
47.5%Bryan4,327
47.7%McKinley4,349
4.8%Woolley438
−0.2%
9,114
D
57.4%Bryan4,529
39.8%McKinley3,138
2.8%Palmer223
+17.6%
7,890
D
42.4%Cleveland3,453
0.0%Harrison3
57.6%Weaver4,697
+42.3%
8,153
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −6.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−6.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+42.3%
1896+17.6%
1900−0.2%
1904−22.1%
1908−12.0%
1912+43.5%
1916+9.7%
1920−19.0%
1924−30.9%
1928−10.1%
1932+43.9%
1936+56.4%
1940+39.0%
1944+27.5%
1948+21.2%
1952+2.2%
1956+13.3%
1960+11.4%
1964+31.6%
1968+3.9%
1972−4.4%
1976+1.9%
1980−11.1%
1984−10.8%
1988−2.2%
1992+0.4%
1996−4.0%
2000−12.2%
2004−17.5%
2008+0.0%
2012−0.7%
2016+3.3%
2020+5.3%
2024−6.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Fresno, CARegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 588,389 in 2024.147.1K294.2K441.3K588.4K588.4K20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Fresno, CA
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2022570,228221,167187,672117,60543,784
2024588,389219,263197,582120,71450,830
Source: California Secretary of State

Fresno's San Joaquin Valley core has trended more competitive in recent cycles, driven by a growing Latino majority and an agricultural economy that shapes voter priorities around water rights, labor, and land use.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 30.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 12.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.7 points.

A population of 1,177,665, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,533 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA and Modesto, CA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
95.2twin score
% Latino% Whiteelasticity≠ population scale
Modesto, CA
94.8twin score
% Latinoelasticity2016 margin≠ % Asian
Merced, CA
93.1twin score
% Latino% White2020 margin≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fresno, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Fresno, CA

counties2
Fresno CountyMadera County

Frequently asked questions

How did Fresno, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fresno, CA, California voted Republican by 6.7 points (R+6.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 380,618 votes cast, 172,609 went Democratic and 198,268 went Republican.
When did Fresno, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fresno, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Fresno, CA, California?
Fresno, CA, California has a population of 1,177,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fresno, CA, California?
Median household income in Fresno, CA, California is $74,533 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fresno, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fresno, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.