Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
presidential margin
2008D+4.32012D+4.32016D+7.82020D+9.22024R+1.7
full record · 18922024
R+1.7
2024
median income$89,505U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age35.9U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate11.9%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.5%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english43.3%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican45.3%
Salvadoran1.6%
Guatemalan1.1%
German6.0%
English5.3%
Irish4.9%
Filipino2.4%
Chinese1.7%
Asian Indian0.8%
African American6.0%
African0.3%
Nigerian0.2%
Aztec0.4%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian1.7%
Black Protestant1.4%
Muslim1.1%
Mainline0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California

Akashic
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CATrumpR+1.7
2024 presidential margin by county for Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, CAA map of the constituent counties of Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Riverside County, CA · R+1.3San Bernardino County, CA · R+2.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican49.5%842,093
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.8%813,896
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent2.7%46,130
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Riverside County, CARepublicanR+1.3
San Bernardino County, CARepublicanR+2.1
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
47.8%Harris813,896
49.5%Trump842,093
2.7%Kennedy46,130
−1.7%
1,702,119
D
53.5%Biden984,199
44.4%Trump815,401
2.1%Jorgensen38,686
+9.2%
1,838,286
D
50.8%Clinton714,528
43.0%Trump604,483
6.1%Johnson86,363
+7.8%
1,405,374
D
50.9%Obama634,172
46.6%Romney580,485
2.5%Johnson31,389
+4.3%
1,246,046
D
51.1%Obama640,737
46.9%McCain587,449
2.0%Nader25,447
+4.3%
1,253,633
R
42.2%Kerry456,595
56.6%Bush611,779
1.2%Badnarik12,481
−14.4%
1,080,855
R
46.1%Gore417,325
50.1%Bush453,712
3.9%Nader34,983
−4.0%
906,020
R
43.7%Clinton351,951
44.6%Dole358,746
11.7%Perot94,271
−0.8%
804,968
D
38.7%Clinton349,875
37.2%Bush336,020
24.2%Perot218,450
+1.5%
904,345
R
39.0%Dukakis284,240
59.7%Bush435,146
1.2%Paul8,970
−20.7%
728,356
R
34.7%Mondale218,497
64.2%Reagan404,395
1.1%Bergland7,015
−29.5%
629,907
R
31.6%Carter168,440
59.8%Reagan318,599
8.6%Anderson46,051
−28.2%
533,090
R
48.2%Carter205,864
49.4%Ford211,039
2.5%Macbride10,540
−1.2%
427,443
R
36.8%McGovern157,577
59.0%Nixon252,809
4.3%Schmitz18,274
−22.2%
428,660
R
39.5%Humphrey150,564
51.2%Nixon195,388
9.3%Wallace35,334
−11.8%
381,286
D
57.0%Johnson203,540
42.9%Goldwater153,310
0.1%Hass338
+14.1%
357,188
R
45.9%Kennedy141,765
53.6%Nixon165,336
0.5%Byrd1,488
−7.6%
308,589
R
40.8%Stevenson99,044
58.9%Eisenhower143,029
0.4%Andrews908
−18.1%
242,981
R
39.3%Stevenson80,631
59.8%Eisenhower122,795
0.9%Hallinan1,854
−20.5%
205,280
R
44.9%Truman68,996
51.3%Dewey78,779
3.9%Thurmond5,927
−6.4%
153,702
D
49.9%Roosevelt57,969
49.3%Dewey57,252
0.9%Thomas992
+0.6%
116,213
D
51.7%Roosevelt57,523
47.0%Willkie52,290
1.3%Thomas1,445
+4.7%
111,258
D
55.9%Roosevelt50,966
42.7%Landon38,893
1.4%Lemke1,264
+13.2%
91,123
D
48.5%Roosevelt37,644
46.6%Hoover36,206
4.9%Thomas3,810
+1.9%
77,660
R
23.0%Smith14,205
75.9%Hoover46,829
1.1%Thomas659
−52.9%
61,693
R
9.1%Davis3,952
58.7%Coolidge25,593
32.2%La Follette14,032
−49.7%
43,577
R
25.5%Cox8,418
65.5%Harding21,642
9.0%Debs2,979
−40.0%
33,039
R
37.5%Wilson13,959
52.1%Hughes19,384
10.3%Benson3,841
−14.6%
37,184
O
34.6%Wilson8,798
0.0%Taft0
65.4%Roosevelt16,648
Roosevelt +30.8
25,446
R
27.8%Bryan4,059
54.6%Taft7,958
17.6%Debs2,564
−26.7%
14,581
R
21.0%Parker2,251
60.9%Roosevelt6,522
18.1%Debs1,941
−39.9%
10,714
R
35.4%Bryan3,481
55.6%McKinley5,464
8.9%Woolley875
−20.2%
9,820
R
45.6%Bryan4,424
50.4%McKinley4,881
4.0%Palmer388
−4.7%
9,693
R
33.6%Cleveland2,546
48.7%Harrison3,686
17.6%Weaver1,335
−15.1%
7,567
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −1.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−15.1%
1896−4.7%
1900−20.2%
1904−39.9%
1908−26.7%
1912+34.6%
1916−14.6%
1920−40.0%
1924−49.7%
1928−52.9%
1932+1.9%
1936+13.2%
1940+4.7%
1944+0.6%
1948−6.4%
1952−20.5%
1956−18.1%
1960−7.6%
1964+14.1%
1968−11.8%
1972−22.2%
1976−1.2%
1980−28.2%
1984−29.5%
1988−20.7%
1992+1.5%
1996−0.8%
2000−4.0%
2004−14.4%
2008+4.3%
2012+4.3%
2016+7.8%
2020+9.2%
2024−1.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CARegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 2,539,899 in 2024.635K1.3M1.9M2.5M2.5M20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
20222,445,2471,000,150742,605510,500191,992
20242,539,8991,009,092796,637518,616215,554
Source: California Secretary of State

Once reliably Republican exurban terrain, the Inland Empire has shifted markedly as Latino population growth and in-migration from coastal California have compressed margins in federal and statewide contests over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 10.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.7 points.

A population of 4,675,704, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,505 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fresno, CA and Modesto, CA.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions

How did Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California voted Republican by 1.7 points (R+1.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,702,119 votes cast, 813,896 went Democratic and 842,093 went Republican.
When did Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California?
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California has a population of 4,675,704 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California?
Median household income in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California is $89,505 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.