Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+53 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,675,7042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,5052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 53.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 813,896 | 842,093 | 1,702,224 | ||
| D | 984,199 | 815,401 | 1,838,286 | ||
| D | 714,528 | 604,483 | 1,405,374 | ||
| D | 634,172 | 580,485 | 1,246,046 | ||
| D | 640,737 | 587,449 | 1,253,633 | ||
| R | 456,595 | 611,779 | 1,080,855 | ||
| R | 417,325 | 453,712 | 906,020 | ||
| R | 351,951 | 358,746 | 804,968 | ||
| D | 349,875 | 336,020 | 904,345 | ||
| R | 284,240 | 435,146 | 728,356 | ||
| R | 218,497 | 404,395 | 629,907 | ||
| R | 168,440 | 318,599 | 533,090 | ||
| R | 205,864 | 211,039 | 427,443 | ||
| R | 157,577 | 252,809 | 428,660 | ||
| R | 150,564 | 195,388 | 381,286 | ||
| D | 203,540 | 153,310 | 357,188 | ||
| R | 141,765 | 165,336 | 308,589 | ||
| R | 99,044 | 143,029 | 242,981 | ||
| R | 80,631 | 122,795 | 205,280 | ||
| R | 68,996 | 78,779 | 153,702 | ||
| D | 57,969 | 57,252 | 116,213 | ||
| D | 57,523 | 52,290 | 111,258 | ||
| D | 50,966 | 38,893 | 91,123 | ||
| D | 37,644 | 36,206 | 77,660 | ||
| R | 14,205 | 46,829 | 61,693 | ||
| R | 3,952 | 25,593 | 43,577 | ||
| R | 8,418 | 21,642 | 33,039 | ||
| R | 13,959 | 19,384 | 37,184 | ||
| O | 8,798 | 0 | 25,446 | ||
| R | 4,059 | 7,958 | 14,581 | ||
| R | 2,251 | 6,522 | 10,714 | ||
| R | 3,481 | 5,464 | 9,820 | ||
| R | 4,424 | 4,881 | 9,693 | ||
| R | 2,546 | 3,686 | 7,567 | ||
| R | 2,388 | 3,059 | 5,718 | ||
| R | 1,288 | 1,617 | 2,974 | ||
| R | 711 | 730 | 1,487 | ||
| R | 607 | 674 | 1,300 |
Demographics
Once reliably Republican exurban terrain, the Inland Empire has shifted markedly as Latino population growth and in-migration from coastal California have compressed margins in federal and statewide contests over the past two decades.
The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-five points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-three points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 4,675,704, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $89,505 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.