akashic
1876–2024
Riverside County, California
Riverside County·California

Riverside County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Once reliably red, now a genuine presidential toss-up

18762024·38 elections
Riverside County, California · Aaron Guzman · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
2,478,600
2024 ACS
Most similar
Oktibbeha County
MS · similarity 0.93
919 precincts · 940,510 votes cast
Trump · R+1
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−1.3%
451,782463,677940,510
2020D
+7.9%
528,340449,144997,156
2016D
+5.4%
373,695333,243751,391
2012D
+1.6%
329,063318,127663,116
2008D
+2.3%
325,017310,041647,299
2004R
−16.8%
228,806322,473557,579
2000R
−6.5%
202,576231,955451,127
1996R
−2.6%
168,579178,611391,613
1992D
+1.6%
166,241159,457430,275
1988R
−19.9%
133,122199,979336,348
1984R
−28.0%
102,043182,324287,202
1980R
−28.4%
76,650145,642243,278
1976R
−0.8%
96,22897,774198,558
1972R
−19.6%
71,591108,120186,404
1968R
−14.1%
61,14683,414157,670
1964D
+13.7%
80,52861,165141,788
1960R
−12.8%
50,87765,855117,276
1956R
−24.8%
34,09856,76691,329
1952R
−30.2%
26,01648,87475,649
1948R
−15.4%
23,30532,20957,864
1944R
−8.7%
19,43923,16842,953
1940R
−4.2%
20,00321,77942,380
1936D
+1.0%
17,01116,67434,107
1932R
−4.8%
12,75514,11228,112
1928R
−56.8%
4,76917,60022,581
1924R
−53.5%
1,3189,61915,516
1920R
−48.2%
2,7989,12413,118
1916R
−21.2%
4,5617,45213,639
1912D
+29.3%
2,963010,103
1908R
−32.9%
1,3743,2295,641
1904R
−48.5%
6782,6384,044
1900R
−31.4%
1,1342,3293,809
1896R
−9.7%
1,6842,0633,888
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
5.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.1%
Other Christian
11.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Baptist
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Riverside County's rapid population growth — driven by inland migration from coastal metros — has gradually compressed its Republican presidential margins, producing an R+1.3 result in 2024 after double-digit GOP leads just a decade earlier.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-nine points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-seven points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Riverside County's demographics — a population of 2,478,600, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $93,074 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oktibbeha County and Montgomery County.