† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHilmar-IrwinCaliforniaUnited States
Portuguese15.3%——
German13.7%6.8%12.5%
Irish10.5%5.9%9.4%
English10.5%6.3%9.5%
Italian5.7%3.4%4.8%
American5.4%2.8%5.3%
French2.5%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.9%0.9%1.3%
Mexican29.4%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.3%2.0%0.7%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hilmar-Irwin
California
United States
Median age
37
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.8%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hilmar-Irwin
California
United States
Median household income
$79,948
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.8%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
10.4%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hilmar-Irwin
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
38.4%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
17.6%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
20.7%
3.4%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hilmar-Irwin
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hilmar-Irwin, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−44.1%
2008
−21.7%
2012
−36.4%
2016
−40.6%
2020
−49.1%
2024
−52.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
22.5%Harris554
75.4%Trump1,857
2.1%
R+52.9
R+3.8
R+51.4
2,463
R
24.5%Biden590
73.6%Trump1,772
1.9%
R+49.1
R+8.5
R+53.6
2,407
R
26.8%Clinton435
67.4%Trump1,093
5.7%
R+40.6
R+4.2
R+42.7
1,621
R
30.5%Obama477
66.9%Romney1,046
2.6%
R+36.4
R+14.6
R+40.2
1,564
R
38.9%Obama576
60.6%McCain898
0.5%
R+21.7
D+22.4
R+29.0
1,481
R
27.5%Kerry448
71.6%Bush1,166
0.9%
R+44.1
—
R+41.6
1,628
Hilmar-Irwin sits in Merced County's farming corridor, where the local economy revolves around dairy and food processing — industries that tend to anchor conservative-leaning voting patterns in an otherwise competitive Central Valley region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 52.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.9 points.
A population of 6,132, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,948 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Escalon and Fruitland.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Hilmar-Irwin, California voted Republican by 52.9 points (R+52.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,463 votes cast, 554 went Democratic and 1,857 went Republican.
How many people live in Hilmar-Irwin, California?
Hilmar-Irwin, California has a population of 6,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hilmar-Irwin, California?
Median household income in Hilmar-Irwin, California is $79,948 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Hilmar-Irwin, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Hilmar-Irwin, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
