HarrisDemocratic43.3%52,906TrumpRepublican55.1%67,291KennedyIndependent0.6%759
R+11.8- Lead
- 14,385
- Total
- 122,220
- vs nation
- R+10.3
Akashicmedia market
Yuma-El Centro
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic52.7%66,888TrumpRepublican45.2%57,381OtherAll other candidates2.0%2,546
D+7.5- Lead
- 9,507
- Total
- 126,815
- vs nation
- D+3.0
ClintonDemocratic56.6%57,272TrumpRepublican37.5%37,869OtherAll other candidates5.9%5,960
D+19.2- Lead
- 19,403
- Total
- 101,101
- vs nation
- D+17.1
ObamaDemocratic53.6%43,195RomneyRepublican44.8%36,129OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,314
D+8.8- Lead
- 7,066
- Total
- 80,638
- vs nation
- D+4.9
ObamaDemocratic51.8%42,721McCainRepublican46.8%38,585OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,129
D+5.0- Lead
- 4,136
- Total
- 82,435
- vs nation
- R+2.3
KerryDemocratic46.7%33,996BushRepublican52.3%38,074OtherAll other candidates1.0%733
R+5.6- Lead
- 4,078
- Total
- 72,803
- vs nation
- R+3.1
GoreDemocratic47.8%27,544BushRepublican49.0%28,232OtherAll other candidates3.1%1,813
R+1.2- Lead
- 688
- Total
- 57,589
- vs nation
- R+1.7
ClintonDemocratic49.7%26,858DoleRepublican42.0%22,718OtherAll other candidates8.3%4,495
D+7.7- Lead
- 4,140
- Total
- 54,071
- vs nation
- R+0.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 391,9432024 5-year
- Population density
- 40 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9,689 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,4882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 19.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 74.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Corpus Christi, TX · twin score 94.4
presidential history
Party record book
Yuma-El Centro · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
68.5%
12,235 votes · D+40.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 64.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
64.9%
7,745 votes · R+30.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 64.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
66,888votes
52.7% of the vote · D+7.5
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 57,272 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
67,291votes
55.1% of the vote · R+11.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 57,381 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+23.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.8 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +17.2 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
+17.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.9 · U.S. R+9.7
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · +16.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+5.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+11.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 (partial) | 86,318 | 41,418 | 18,060 | 21,117 | 5,723 |
| 2024 (partial) | 88,694 | 40,570 | 20,324 | 22,031 | 5,769 |
| 2026 (partial) | 109,840 | 28,904 | 35,318 | 44,000 | 1,618 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,029 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −22,014 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,300 |
| 2012 | −4,172 |
| 2013 | −5,163 |
| 2014 | −2,249 |
| 2015 | −3,880 |
| 2016 | −1,984 |
| 2017 | −809 |
| 2018 | −1,573 |
| 2019 | −1,643 |
| 2021 | −70 |
| 2022 | −1,850 |
| 2023 | +484 |
| 2024 | −376 |
| 2025 | −1,029 |
Spanning the Colorado River desert from southwestern Arizona into California's Imperial Valley, this market's electorate is shaped by Latino majorities, year-round farm labor, and one of the nation's busiest land-border crossing corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 31.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 19.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.8 points.
A population of 391,943, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,488 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Corpus Christi and El Paso (Las Cruces).
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Corpus Christi
Texas
94.4twin score
% Latino% Catholic% White≠ 2016 margin
El Paso (Las Cruces)
Texas
89.3twin score
% Latino% Catholic% White≠ elasticity
Laredo
Texas
88.1twin score
% Latino% Catholic% White≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Yuma-El Centro, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/771/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Yuma-El Centro, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Yuma-El Centro, California voted Republican by 11.8 points (R+11.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 122,220 votes cast, 52,906 went Democratic and 67,291 went Republican.
When did Yuma-El Centro, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Yuma-El Centro, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Yuma-El Centro, California?
Yuma-El Centro, California has a population of 391,943 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Yuma-El Centro, California?
Median household income in Yuma-El Centro, California is $60,488 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Yuma-El Centro, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Yuma-El Centro, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.