El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas
Akashic| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 56.0% | 189,687 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 42.5% | 143,928 |
| Jill SteinGreen | 1.5% | 5,180 |
County-level results (4 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Culberson County, TX | Republican | R+16.9 |
| Doña Ana County, NM | Democratic | D+9.8 |
| El Paso County, TX | Democratic | D+15.1 |
| Hudspeth County, TX | Republican | R+46.6 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 56.0%Harris189,687 | 42.5%Trump143,928 | 1.5%Stein5,180 | 338,795 | ||
| D | 64.5%Biden226,892 | 33.6%Trump118,327 | 1.9%Jorgensen6,666 | 351,885 | ||
| D | 64.7%Clinton186,568 | 28.3%Trump81,669 | 6.9%Johnson19,971 | 288,208 | ||
| D | 62.7%Obama151,038 | 35.4%Romney85,238 | 1.9%Johnson4,592 | 240,868 | ||
| D | 63.7%Obama163,225 | 35.4%McCain90,566 | 0.9%Barr2,379 | 256,170 | ||
| D | 54.7%Kerry127,581 | 44.5%Bush103,793 | 0.8%Badnarik1,833 | 233,207 | ||
| D | 56.1%Gore108,717 | 41.2%Bush79,764 | 2.7%Nader5,148 | 193,629 | ||
| D | 59.8%Clinton107,961 | 34.1%Dole61,492 | 6.1%Perot10,960 | 180,413 | ||
| D | 48.8%Clinton88,397 | 35.4%Bush64,108 | 15.8%Perot28,591 | 181,096 | ||
| D | 51.3%Dukakis83,193 | 48.0%Bush77,977 | 0.7%Paul1,156 | 162,326 | ||
| R | 42.5%Mondale66,564 | 57.0%Reagan89,333 | 0.5%Larouche766 | 156,663 | ||
| R | 39.7%Carter51,738 | 53.6%Reagan69,827 | 6.6%Anderson8,641 | 130,206 | ||
| D | 49.8%Carter58,399 | 48.9%Ford57,353 | 1.3%McCarthy1,538 | 117,290 | ||
| R | 38.8%McGovern42,339 | 60.2%Nixon65,565 | 1.0%Schmitz1,082 | 108,986 | ||
| R | 45.7%Humphrey40,935 | 46.6%Nixon41,754 | 7.7%Wallace6,897 | 89,586 | ||
| D | 61.9%Johnson46,709 | 37.8%Goldwater28,505 | 0.3%Hass250 | 75,464 | ||
| D | 54.3%Kennedy35,684 | 45.5%Nixon29,907 | 0.3%Byrd176 | 65,767 | ||
| R | 43.9%Stevenson20,712 | 55.5%Eisenhower26,197 | 0.5%Andrews252 | 47,161 | ||
| R | 42.4%Stevenson19,665 | 57.4%Eisenhower26,593 | 0.2%Hallinan72 | 46,330 | ||
| D | 68.5%Truman21,138 | 29.4%Dewey9,071 | 2.1%Thurmond636 | 30,845 | ||
| D | 68.1%Roosevelt16,131 | 22.3%Dewey5,273 | 9.7%Thomas2,288 | 23,692 | ||
| D | 70.6%Roosevelt18,311 | 29.2%Willkie7,583 | 0.1%Thomas37 | 25,931 | ||
| D | 80.1%Roosevelt18,066 | 19.1%Landon4,314 | 0.8%Lemke181 | 22,561 | ||
| D | 75.4%Roosevelt17,095 | 23.1%Hoover5,244 | 1.4%Thomas325 | 22,664 | ||
| R | 47.5%Smith8,485 | 52.5%Hoover9,386 | 0.0%Thomas8 | 17,879 | ||
| D | 68.2%Davis9,630 | 29.0%Coolidge4,092 | 2.8%La Follette396 | 14,118 | ||
| R | 45.0%Cox5,598 | 54.2%Harding6,740 | 0.8%Debs94 | 12,432 | ||
| D | 57.5%Wilson4,805 | 40.5%Hughes3,378 | 2.0%Benson168 | 8,351 | ||
| D | 62.1%Wilson3,954 | 18.9%Taft1,203 | 19.0%Roosevelt1,211 | 6,368 | ||
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| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +43.2% |
| 1916 | +17.1% |
| 1920 | −9.2% |
| 1924 | +39.2% |
| 1928 | −5.0% |
| 1932 | +52.3% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +41.4% |
| 1944 | +45.8% |
| 1948 | +39.1% |
| 1952 | −15.0% |
| 1956 | −11.6% |
| 1960 | +8.8% |
| 1964 | +24.1% |
| 1968 | −0.9% |
| 1972 | −21.3% |
| 1976 | +0.9% |
| 1980 | −13.9% |
| 1984 | −14.5% |
| 1988 | +3.2% |
| 1992 | +13.4% |
| 1996 | +25.8% |
| 2000 | +15.0% |
| 2004 | +10.2% |
| 2008 | +28.4% |
| 2012 | +27.3% |
| 2016 | +36.4% |
| 2020 | +30.9% |
| 2024 | +13.5% |
Spanning El Paso and Las Cruces, this majority-Hispanic media market sits at the U.S.-Mexico boundary, producing consistently high Democratic margins at the federal level while local races often turn on turnout gaps between the two anchor cities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 21.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 17.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.5 points.
A population of 1,100,643, a 14% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,167 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen and Albuquerque-Santa Fe.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/765/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.