akashic
1876–2024
El Paso County, Texas
El Paso County·Texas

El Paso County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Border county where Hispanic voters have shaped statewide margins for decades

18762024·38 elections
El Paso County, Texas · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+15
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
870,779
2024 ACS
Most similar
Santa Cruz County
AZ · similarity 0.99
216 precincts · 252,005 votes cast
Harris · D+15
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+15.1%
143,156105,124252,005
2020D
+35.1%
178,12684,331267,215
2016D
+42.8%
147,84355,512215,922
2012D
+32.3%
112,95257,150172,703
2008D
+32.5%
122,02161,783185,233
2004D
+12.9%
95,14273,261169,573
2000D
+18.1%
83,84857,574145,042
1996D
+30.2%
83,96443,255134,710
1992D
+15.2%
67,71547,224135,163
1988D
+5.9%
62,62255,573118,781
1984R
−12.0%
51,91766,114118,430
1980R
−13.3%
40,08253,27699,526
1976D
+3.1%
45,47742,69789,465
1972R
−21.1%
32,43549,98183,090
1968D
+3.4%
32,65830,34768,116
1964D
+25.7%
35,05020,68755,927
1960D
+9.4%
26,02721,55147,677
1956R
−10.0%
15,15718,53233,882
1952R
−15.6%
14,59520,00534,647
1948D
+45.7%
15,3415,54421,448
1944D
+59.5%
11,4262,07215,718
1940D
+53.3%
12,3743,76416,165
1936D
+73.5%
11,9201,77313,809
1932D
+59.0%
11,3362,84114,392
1928D
+0.5%
6,1146,05012,164
1924D
+71.4%
7,6781,2209,040
1920D
+0.9%
4,1434,0708,286
1916D
+33.2%
3,6031,7705,518
1912D
+63.1%
2,9142914,159
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
2.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
48.0%
Other Christian
9.4%
Baptist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.5%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

El Paso County sits at the Texas-New Mexico-Chihuahua junction and delivers some of the state's most consistent Democratic margins, driven by a population that is roughly 82% Hispanic — making it a key data point for tracking Latino electoral trends.

The Democratic margin in El Paso County peaked at seventy-three points in 1936. By 1988 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifteen points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. El Paso County's median household income of $59,806 sits well below state and national norms, and 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Santa Cruz County and Los Angeles County.