Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Texas 16th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+31.82012D+32.12016D+42.22020D+35.82024D+16.4
full record · 2008 → 2024
D+16.4
2024
median income$61,108U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age33.9U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate18.2%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)25.9%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english68.0%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican76.5%
Puerto Rican1.0%
Spaniard0.4%
German12.0%
Irish7.3%
American7.3%
African American†2.9%
African0.4%
Filipino0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See El Paso County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Texas 16th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionTexas 16th Congressional DistrictHarrisD+16.4
Texas 16th Congressional District premium atlas map: Harris D+16.4, 194 precincts, 2 city labels.
2024
194 precincts by 2024 margin · 2 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +16.4% in 2024.+16.4%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+31.8%
2012+32.1%
2016+42.2%
2020+35.8%
2024+16.4%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DVeronica EscobarU.S. House · TX-16-0.47
RJohn CornynU.S. Senate+0.47
RTed CruzU.S. Senate+0.78

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202416D
59.5%131,391
40.4%89,281
220,828
202216D
63.5%95,510
36.5%54,986
150,496
202016D
64.7%154,108
35.3%84,006
238,114
201816D
68.5%124,437
27.0%49,127
181,754
201616D
85.7%150,228
0.0%0
175,229
201416D
67.5%49,338
29.2%21,324
73,105
201216D
65.4%101,403
32.9%51,043
155,005
201016D
58.1%49,301
36.6%31,051
84,892
200816D
82.1%130,375
0.0%0
158,723
200616D
78.7%61,116
0.0%0
77,688
200416D
67.5%108,577
31.1%49,972
160,773
200216D
100.0%72,383
0.0%0
72,383
200016D
68.3%92,649
30.2%40,921
135,650
199816D
87.9%67,486
0.0%0
76,767
199616D
70.6%90,260
27.6%35,271
127,784
199416D
57.1%49,815
42.9%37,409
87,224
199216D
51.9%66,731
48.1%61,870
128,601
199016D
95.6%62,455
0.0%0
65,309
198816D
100.0%104,514
0.0%0
104,514
198616D
65.7%50,590
34.3%26,421
77,011
198416D
57.4%76,375
42.6%56,589
132,964
198216D
53.9%44,024
44.2%36,064
81,671
198016D
84.6%104,734
0.0%0
123,744
197816D
70.0%53,090
30.0%22,743
75,833
197616D
57.8%71,876
42.2%52,499
124,375

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
44.6%5,031,249
53.1%5,990,741
11,291,854
2020R
43.9%4,888,764
53.5%5,962,983
11,144,040
2018R
48.3%4,045,632
50.9%4,260,553
8,371,655
2014R
34.4%1,597,387
61.6%2,861,531
4,647,370
2012R
40.6%3,194,927
56.5%4,440,137
7,864,822
2008R
42.8%3,389,365
54.8%4,337,469
7,912,075
2006R
36.0%1,555,202
61.7%2,661,789
4,314,663
2002R
43.3%1,955,758
55.3%2,496,243
4,512,590
2000R
32.3%2,025,024
65.1%4,078,954
6,267,964
1996R
43.9%2,428,776
54.8%3,027,680
5,527,441
1994R
38.3%1,639,615
60.8%2,604,218
4,279,940
1990R
37.4%1,429,986
60.2%2,302,357
3,821,432
1988D
59.2%3,149,806
40.0%2,129,228
5,323,023
1984R
41.4%2,202,557
58.5%3,111,348
5,314,178
1982D
58.6%1,818,223
40.5%1,256,759
3,103,040
1978R
49.3%1,139,149
49.8%1,151,376
2,312,540
1976D
56.8%2,199,956
42.2%1,636,370
3,874,230

Centered on El Paso, this majority-Hispanic district has voted Democratic by double digits in every recent presidential cycle, reflecting a border-region electorate where Latino turnout and cross-border economic ties shape voter priorities.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 19.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.4 points.

A population of 766,987, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,108 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 20 and Congressional District 39.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 20
Texas
90.4twin score
% Latino2008–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity
Congressional District 39
California
87.1twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% White≠ % unaffiliated
Congressional District 22
California
86.8twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Texas 16th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4816/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Texas 16th Congressional District

counties it covers1
El Paso County

Frequently asked questions

How did Texas 16th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Texas 16th Congressional District voted Democratic by 16.4 points (D+16.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 229,769 votes cast, 131,985 went Democratic and 94,338 went Republican.
How many people live in Texas 16th Congressional District?
Texas 16th Congressional District has a population of 766,987 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Texas 16th Congressional District?
Median household income in Texas 16th Congressional District is $61,108 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Texas 16th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Texas 16th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.