HarrisDemocratic18.8%3,635TrumpRepublican80.6%15,597OliverLibertarian0.4%76
R+61.8- Lead
- 11,962
- Total
- 19,358
- vs nation
- R+60.3
- Turnout
- 43.1%
Akashiccounty
Anderson County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 43.1% of 45,061 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.6%3,955TrumpRepublican78.6%15,110JorgensenLibertarian0.7%134
R+58.0- Lead
- 11,155
- Total
- 19,227
- vs nation
- R+62.5
- Turnout
- 43.2%
ClintonDemocratic19.8%3,369TrumpRepublican77.8%13,201JohnsonLibertarian1.8%308
R+57.9- Lead
- 9,832
- Total
- 16,977
- vs nation
- R+60.0
- Turnout
- 38.7%
ObamaDemocratic23.5%3,813RomneyRepublican75.6%12,262GrayLibertarian0.7%106
R+52.1- Lead
- 8,449
- Total
- 16,212
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.8%4,630McCainRepublican71.4%11,884OtherAll other candidates0.8%141
R+43.6- Lead
- 7,254
- Total
- 16,655
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.7%4,678BushRepublican70.7%11,525OtherAll other candidates0.6%98
R+42.0- Lead
- 6,847
- Total
- 16,301
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.4%5,041BushRepublican65.2%9,835NaderGreen0.9%131
R+31.8- Lead
- 4,794
- Total
- 15,080
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.5%5,693DoleRepublican48.2%6,458PerotReform8.7%1,170
R+5.7- Lead
- 765
- Total
- 13,400
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 58,4392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,0682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cherokee County, TX · twin score 94.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 43.1%19,434 participants ÷ 45,061 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.9 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.2%–35.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,109 | 44,199 | 38.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,878 | 44,315 | 33.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,359 | 44,815 | 43.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,512 | 44,931 | 32.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,434 | 45,061 | 43.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 19,381 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 182 | 1,682 | 7 | 1,871 | 9.7% | 89.9% | R+80.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 228 | 1,342 | 14 | 1,584 | 14.4% | 84.7% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 347 | 1,014 | 8 | 1,369 | 25.3% | 74.1% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 176 | 1,141 | 8 | 1,325 | 13.3% | 86.1% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 109 | 1,067 | 12 | 1,188 | 9.2% | 89.8% | R+80.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 325 | 776 | 15 | 1,116 | 29.1% | 69.5% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 282 | 778 | 10 | 1,070 | 26.4% | 72.7% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 104 | 900 | 8 | 1,012 | 10.3% | 88.9% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 146 | 776 | 6 | 928 | 15.7% | 83.6% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 156 | 703 | 4 | 863 | 18.1% | 81.5% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 110 | 744 | 5 | 859 | 12.8% | 86.6% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 101 | 683 | 4 | 788 | 12.8% | 86.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 340 | 429 | 4 | 773 | 44.0% | 55.5% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 168 | 539 | 11 | 718 | 23.4% | 75.1% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 44 | 628 | 5 | 677 | 6.5% | 92.8% | R+86.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 109 | 561 | 5 | 675 | 16.1% | 83.1% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 90 | 577 | 6 | 673 | 13.4% | 85.7% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 103 | 469 | 5 | 577 | 17.9% | 81.3% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 330 | 167 | 5 | 502 | 65.7% | 33.3% | D+32.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 56 | 317 | 1 | 374 | 15.0% | 84.8% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 17 | 200 | 5 | 222 | 7.7% | 90.1% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 112 | 104 | 1 | 217 | 51.6% | 47.9% | D+3.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +28.7% |
| 1908 | +38.0% |
| 1912 | +49.9% |
| 1916 | +55.4% |
| 1920 | +51.8% |
| 1924 | −15.8% |
| 1928 | −1.9% |
| 1932 | +88.5% |
| 1936 | +85.6% |
| 1940 | +76.9% |
| 1944 | +70.8% |
| 1948 | +39.3% |
| 1952 | −14.5% |
| 1956 | −21.3% |
| 1960 | −5.0% |
| 1964 | +17.7% |
| 1968 | +6.5% |
| 1972 | −44.6% |
| 1976 | +13.7% |
| 1980 | −7.1% |
| 1984 | −29.0% |
| 1988 | −12.3% |
| 1992 | −1.9% |
| 1996 | −5.7% |
| 2000 | −31.8% |
| 2004 | −42.0% |
| 2008 | −43.6% |
| 2012 | −52.1% |
| 2016 | −57.9% |
| 2020 | −58.0% |
| 2024 | −61.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,724 |
| 2018 | 27,030 |
| 2020 | 29,274 |
| 2022 | 29,494 |
| 2024 | 30,613 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+296 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,005 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,972 in average income, against $63,863 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.6 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Anderson County, TX itself (R+61.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Smith County, TX130R+45.1
- Henderson County, TX96R+63.5
- Dallas County, TX77D+22.2
- Houston County, TX62R+55.3
- Tarrant County, TX61R+5.1
- Harris County, TX60D+5.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Smith County, TX144
- Henderson County, TX107
- Dallas County, TX59
- Cherokee County, TX56
- Tarrant County, TX56
- Harris County, TX53
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −39 |
| 2012 | −279 |
| 2013 | −86 |
| 2014 | −51 |
| 2015 | −215 |
| 2016 | −105 |
| 2017 | +668 |
| 2018 | −12 |
| 2019 | −104 |
| 2021 | +608 |
| 2022 | −906 |
| 2023 | +1,713 |
| 2024 | +517 |
| 2025 | +296 |
Anderson County delivered a 61.8-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican shift that has consolidated across rural East Texas over the past two decades. Its county seat, Palestine, anchors a sparse, timber-belt economy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.8 points.
A population of 58,439, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,068 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cherokee County and Freestone County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cherokee County
Texas
94.4twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Freestone County
Texas
90.7twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Hill County
Texas
90.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Anderson County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Anderson County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Anderson County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Anderson County, Texas voted Republican by 61.8 points (R+61.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,358 votes cast, 3,635 went Democratic and 15,597 went Republican.
When did Anderson County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Anderson County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Anderson County, Texas?
Anderson County, Texas has a population of 58,439 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Anderson County, Texas?
Median household income in Anderson County, Texas is $62,068 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Anderson County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Anderson County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.