HarrisDemocratic18.3%3,744TrumpRepublican80.9%16,593OliverLibertarian0.4%91
R+62.7- Lead
- 12,849
- Total
- 20,507
- vs nation
- R+61.2
- Turnout
- 58.3%
Akashiccounty
Cherokee County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.3% of 35,302 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.6%4,210TrumpRepublican77.4%15,101JorgensenLibertarian0.8%161
R+55.8- Lead
- 10,891
- Total
- 19,508
- vs nation
- R+60.3
- Turnout
- 56.1%
ClintonDemocratic20.7%3,469TrumpRepublican76.9%12,919JohnsonLibertarian1.8%305
R+56.3- Lead
- 9,450
- Total
- 16,790
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 48.4%
ObamaDemocratic24.0%3,875RomneyRepublican75.0%12,094GrayLibertarian0.8%127
R+51.0- Lead
- 8,219
- Total
- 16,126
- vs nation
- R+54.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.1%4,610McCainRepublican71.2%11,695OtherAll other candidates0.7%112
R+43.2- Lead
- 7,085
- Total
- 16,417
- vs nation
- R+50.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.0%4,439BushRepublican71.5%11,329OtherAll other candidates0.4%71
R+43.5- Lead
- 6,890
- Total
- 15,839
- vs nation
- R+41.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic32.7%4,755BushRepublican66.0%9,599NaderGreen0.8%122
R+33.3- Lead
- 4,844
- Total
- 14,537
- vs nation
- R+33.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.8%5,185DoleRepublican51.1%6,483PerotReform7.6%971
R+10.2- Lead
- 1,298
- Total
- 12,694
- vs nation
- R+18.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,8862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,2612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Anderson County, TX · twin score 94.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.3%20,571 participants ÷ 35,302 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.5%–48.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,947 | 35,025 | 48.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,081 | 35,157 | 42.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,646 | 35,022 | 56.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,543 | 34,372 | 42.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,571 | 35,302 | 58.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 20,507 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 547 | 1,488 | 26 | 2,061 | 26.5% | 72.2% | R+45.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 250 | 1,283 | 12 | 1,545 | 16.2% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 145 | 1,185 | 6 | 1,336 | 10.9% | 88.7% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 182 | 1,050 | 16 | 1,248 | 14.6% | 84.1% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 269 | 922 | 10 | 1,201 | 22.4% | 76.8% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 111 | 988 | 7 | 1,106 | 10.0% | 89.3% | R+79.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 44Precinct 44 | 123 | 919 | 5 | 1,047 | 11.7% | 87.8% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 145 | 798 | 8 | 951 | 15.2% | 83.9% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 126 | 747 | 4 | 877 | 14.4% | 85.2% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 79 | 754 | 1 | 834 | 9.5% | 90.4% | R+80.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 83 | 727 | 7 | 817 | 10.2% | 89.0% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 141 | 642 | 7 | 790 | 17.8% | 81.3% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 183 | 564 | 7 | 754 | 24.3% | 74.8% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 104 | 616 | 6 | 726 | 14.3% | 84.8% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 154 | 565 | 7 | 726 | 21.2% | 77.8% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 43Precinct 43 | 222 | 395 | 14 | 631 | 35.2% | 62.6% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 46Precinct 46 | 73 | 538 | 1 | 612 | 11.9% | 87.9% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 45Precinct 45 | 109 | 449 | 4 | 562 | 19.4% | 79.9% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 113 | 431 | 5 | 549 | 20.6% | 78.5% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 48Precinct 48 | 61 | 486 | 2 | 549 | 11.1% | 88.5% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 42Precinct 42 | 315 | 146 | 7 | 468 | 67.3% | 31.2% | D+36.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 30 | 428 | 4 | 462 | 6.5% | 92.6% | R+86.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37 | 76 | 175 | 1 | 252 | 30.2% | 69.4% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 38Precinct 38 | 93 | 113 | 3 | 209 | 44.5% | 54.1% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 47Precinct 47 | 10 | 184 | 0 | 194 | 5.2% | 94.8% | R+89.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +47.3% |
| 1908 | +72.0% |
| 1912 | +70.9% |
| 1916 | +70.7% |
| 1920 | +49.1% |
| 1924 | +72.1% |
| 1928 | +0.1% |
| 1932 | +89.1% |
| 1936 | +85.5% |
| 1940 | +73.6% |
| 1944 | +64.5% |
| 1948 | +40.1% |
| 1952 | +0.6% |
| 1956 | −15.9% |
| 1960 | +16.6% |
| 1964 | +28.6% |
| 1968 | +6.9% |
| 1972 | −39.5% |
| 1976 | +24.7% |
| 1980 | +0.8% |
| 1984 | −29.1% |
| 1988 | −14.6% |
| 1992 | −6.0% |
| 1996 | −10.2% |
| 2000 | −33.3% |
| 2004 | −43.5% |
| 2008 | −43.2% |
| 2012 | −51.0% |
| 2016 | −56.3% |
| 2020 | −55.8% |
| 2024 | −62.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,256 |
| 2018 | 27,629 |
| 2020 | 29,166 |
| 2022 | 30,080 |
| 2024 | 32,121 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+61 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,083 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,976 in average income, against $64,478 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.2 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Cherokee County, TX itself (R+62.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Smith County, TX425R+45.1
- Anderson County, TX56R+61.8
- Harris County, TX54D+5.5
- Dallas County, TX35D+22.2
- Henderson County, TX32R+63.5
- Tarrant County, TX32R+5.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Smith County, TX352
- Angelina County, TX56
- Anderson County, TX54
- Harris County, TX44
- Nacogdoches County, TX43
- Dallas County, TX40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −91 |
| 2012 | −43 |
| 2013 | −364 |
| 2014 | −214 |
| 2015 | +98 |
| 2016 | +62 |
| 2017 | +55 |
| 2018 | +120 |
| 2019 | +94 |
| 2021 | +753 |
| 2022 | +408 |
| 2023 | +803 |
| 2024 | +341 |
| 2025 | +61 |
Cherokee County sits in the Piney Woods of East Texas, where a heavily rural, working-class white electorate has delivered lopsided Republican margins for decades, with the 2024 presidential result continuing that pattern at R+62.7.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.7 points.
A population of 51,886, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,261 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Anderson County and Scurry County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Anderson County
Texas
94.4twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Scurry County
Texas
93.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Latino
Hill County
Texas
93.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cherokee County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Cherokee County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cherokee County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cherokee County, Texas voted Republican by 62.7 points (R+62.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,507 votes cast, 3,744 went Democratic and 16,593 went Republican.
When did Cherokee County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cherokee County, Texas voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Cherokee County, Texas?
Cherokee County, Texas has a population of 51,886 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cherokee County, Texas?
Median household income in Cherokee County, Texas is $61,261 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Cherokee County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cherokee County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.