- Lead
- 17,903
- Total
- 34,422
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Turnout
- 56.7%
Angelina County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.7% of 60,953 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 15,933
- Total
- 34,635
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Turnout
- 57.6%
- Lead
- 14,130
- Total
- 29,911
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- 50.2%
- Lead
- 12,469
- Total
- 28,406
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,190
- Total
- 29,153
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,630
- Total
- 28,364
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,691
- Total
- 26,974
- vs nation
- R+25.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 443
- Total
- 25,421
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 87,2752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,9602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cherokee County, TX · twin score 91.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.7%34,589 participants ÷ 60,953 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.5%–45.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 30,280 | 60,326 | 50.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 26,565 | 60,124 | 44.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 34,789 | 60,407 | 57.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 24,709 | 59,713 | 41.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 34,589 | 60,953 | 56.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
42 precincts · 34,476 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 361 | 1,325 | 12 | 1,698 | 21.3% | 78.0% | R+56.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 135 | 1,555 | 7 | 1,697 | 8.0% | 91.6% | R+83.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 280 | 1,338 | 11 | 1,629 | 17.2% | 82.1% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 452 | 1,078 | 22 | 1,552 | 29.1% | 69.5% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 124 | 1,223 | 4 | 1,351 | 9.2% | 90.5% | R+81.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 152 | 1,133 | 9 | 1,294 | 11.7% | 87.6% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 214 | 1,066 | 6 | 1,286 | 16.6% | 82.9% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 393 | 873 | 17 | 1,283 | 30.6% | 68.0% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 332 | 934 | 9 | 1,275 | 26.0% | 73.3% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 817 | 348 | 9 | 1,174 | 69.6% | 29.6% | D+39.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 137 | 996 | 6 | 1,139 | 12.0% | 87.4% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 825 | 302 | 11 | 1,138 | 72.5% | 26.5% | D+46.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 426 | 664 | 15 | 1,105 | 38.6% | 60.1% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 116 | 966 | 7 | 1,089 | 10.7% | 88.7% | R+78.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 109 | 948 | 9 | 1,066 | 10.2% | 88.9% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 341 | 693 | 22 | 1,056 | 32.3% | 65.6% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 73 | 973 | 8 | 1,054 | 6.9% | 92.3% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 372 | 603 | 11 | 986 | 37.7% | 61.2% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 140 | 773 | 5 | 918 | 15.3% | 84.2% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 80 | 803 | 3 | 886 | 9.0% | 90.6% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 333 | 488 | 11 | 832 | 40.0% | 58.7% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 54 | 759 | 7 | 820 | 6.6% | 92.6% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11BPrecinct 11B | 97 | 699 | 5 | 801 | 12.1% | 87.3% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 180 | 519 | 9 | 708 | 25.4% | 73.3% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10APrecinct 10A | 299 | 366 | 8 | 673 | 44.4% | 54.4% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 103 | 498 | 0 | 601 | 17.1% | 82.9% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 40Precinct 40 | 180 | 338 | 4 | 522 | 34.5% | 64.8% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 157 | 343 | 10 | 510 | 30.8% | 67.3% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 69 | 438 | 1 | 508 | 13.6% | 86.2% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 81 | 414 | 2 | 497 | 16.3% | 83.3% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 60 | 349 | 1 | 410 | 14.6% | 85.1% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37 | 70 | 323 | 5 | 398 | 17.6% | 81.2% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 151 | 215 | 3 | 369 | 40.9% | 58.3% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 39Precinct 39 | 103 | 233 | 4 | 340 | 30.3% | 68.5% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 112 | 187 | 2 | 301 | 37.2% | 62.1% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17BPrecinct 17B | 19 | 262 | 1 | 282 | 6.7% | 92.9% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 38Precinct 38 | 26 | 253 | 3 | 282 | 9.2% | 89.7% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 20 | 259 | 1 | 280 | 7.1% | 92.5% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 45 | 230 | 1 | 276 | 16.3% | 83.3% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 61 | 138 | 0 | 199 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 4 | 92 | 0 | 96 | 4.2% | 95.8% | R+91.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10BPrecinct 10B | 43 | 52 | 0 | 95 | 45.3% | 54.7% | R+9.5 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +58.2% |
| 1908 | +69.0% |
| 1912 | +69.0% |
| 1916 | +72.3% |
| 1920 | +54.5% |
| 1924 | +81.0% |
| 1928 | +31.2% |
| 1932 | +89.0% |
| 1936 | +83.9% |
| 1940 | +82.5% |
| 1944 | +57.4% |
| 1948 | +53.3% |
| 1952 | +13.9% |
| 1956 | −4.9% |
| 1960 | +15.0% |
| 1964 | +21.7% |
| 1968 | +3.3% |
| 1972 | −39.1% |
| 1976 | +14.8% |
| 1980 | +1.2% |
| 1984 | −23.6% |
| 1988 | −7.9% |
| 1992 | +2.3% |
| 1996 | −1.7% |
| 2000 | −24.8% |
| 2004 | −34.0% |
| 2008 | −35.0% |
| 2012 | −43.9% |
| 2016 | −47.2% |
| 2020 | −46.0% |
| 2024 | −52.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 51,603 |
| 2018 | 51,641 |
| 2020 | 53,166 |
| 2022 | 54,088 |
| 2024 | 55,965 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+89 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,635 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,003 in average income, against $74,197 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.2 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Angelina County, TX itself (R+52.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Nacogdoches County, TX203R+38.8
- Harris County, TX178D+5.5
- Polk County, TX78R+58.9
- Cherokee County, TX56R+62.7
- Montgomery County, TX51R+45.5
- Trinity County, TX45R+67.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Nacogdoches County, TX199
- Harris County, TX151
- Polk County, TX64
- Montgomery County, TX60
- Smith County, TX45
- Dallas County, TX35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −6 |
| 2012 | −186 |
| 2013 | −507 |
| 2014 | −139 |
| 2015 | −94 |
| 2016 | −492 |
| 2017 | −372 |
| 2018 | −889 |
| 2019 | −173 |
| 2021 | +365 |
| 2022 | +482 |
| 2023 | +210 |
| 2024 | +77 |
| 2025 | +89 |
Angelina County, centered on Lufkin in East Texas's Piney Woods, has delivered lopsided Republican margins for over a decade, with the 2024 presidential race finishing R+52. The region's economy historically ties to timber, manufacturing, and healthcare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.0 points.
A population of 87,275, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,960 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cherokee County and Gregg County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Angelina County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.