Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic37.9%430TrumpRepublican60.8%690OtherAll other candidates1.3%15
R+22.9
Lead
260
Total
1,135
vs nation
R+21.4
BidenDemocratic45.4%566TrumpRepublican53.5%668OtherAll other candidates1.1%14
R+8.2
Lead
102
Total
1,248
vs nation
R+12.6
ClintonDemocratic47.4%520TrumpRepublican49.9%547OtherAll other candidates2.7%30
R+2.5
Lead
27
Total
1,097
vs nation
R+4.6
ObamaDemocratic46.4%515RomneyRepublican52.6%584OtherAll other candidates1.0%11
R+6.2
Lead
69
Total
1,110
vs nation
R+10.1
ObamaDemocratic48.2%560McCainRepublican51.0%593OtherAll other candidates0.9%10
R+2.8
Lead
33
Total
1,163
vs nation
R+10.1
KerryDemocratic41.8%520BushRepublican57.8%719OtherAll other candidates0.5%6
R+16.0
Lead
199
Total
1,245
vs nation
R+13.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+22.9MIT Election Lab
Population
4,9952024 5-year
Population density
999 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$57,9022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
26.4%2024 5-year
Black
28.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
42.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+22.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
31.6%1,137 participants ÷ 3,601 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+8.4 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-10.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
23.2%–25.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%
28.6%
28.6%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,137
3,601 ± 328
31.6%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
884
3,089 ± 385
28.6%
Audited
E/D
1,255
3,392 ± 304
37.0%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
957
3,343 ± 317
28.6%
Audited
E/A
1,103
3,396 ± 319
32.5%
Audited
E/A
1,110
2,627
42.3%
Derived
—
1,163
3,216
36.2%
Derived
—
1,245
3,805 extrapolated
32.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Diboll, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
48.2%
560 votes · R+2.8
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 47.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
60.8%
690 votes · R+22.9
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 57.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
566votes
45.4% of the vote · R+8.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 560 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
719votes
57.8% of the vote · R+16.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 690 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
−4.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −10.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+21.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.9 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +13.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Diboll · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Angelina County, Texas, the county containing Diboll — Diboll’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Diboll, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Diboll's economy traces back to the Angelina County lumber industry, and its small, working-class electorate has consistently backed statewide Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 22.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.9 points.
A population of 4,995, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,902 describe the city.
In 2024, Diboll, Texas voted Republican by 22.9 points (R+22.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,135 votes cast, 430 went Democratic and 690 went Republican.
How many people live in Diboll, Texas?
Diboll, Texas has a population of 4,995 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Diboll, Texas?
Median household income in Diboll, Texas is $57,902 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Diboll, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Diboll, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
