HarrisDemocratic50.7%943TrumpRepublican48.2%896OtherAll other candidates1.1%20
D+2.5- Lead
- 47
- Total
- 1,859
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Canutillo, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic61.0%1,096TrumpRepublican38.2%687OtherAll other candidates0.8%14
D+22.8- Lead
- 409
- Total
- 1,797
- vs nation
- D+18.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic63.8%923TrumpRepublican30.7%444OtherAll other candidates5.5%80
D+33.1- Lead
- 479
- Total
- 1,447
- vs nation
- D+31.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic63.2%806RomneyRepublican35.3%450OtherAll other candidates1.5%19
D+27.9- Lead
- 356
- Total
- 1,275
- vs nation
- D+24.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic63.7%778McCainRepublican35.0%427OtherAll other candidates1.3%16
D+28.7- Lead
- 351
- Total
- 1,221
- vs nation
- D+21.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic55.9%514BushRepublican44.1%406OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+11.7- Lead
- 108
- Total
- 920
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,9622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $40,6822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 93.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Woodlake, CA · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +11.7% |
| 2008 | +28.7% |
| 2012 | +27.9% |
| 2016 | +33.1% |
| 2020 | +22.8% |
| 2024 | +2.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 50.7%Harris943 | 48.2%Trump896 | 1.1% | D+2.5 | R+20.2 | D+4.0 | 1,859 | |
| D | 61.0%Biden1,096 | 38.2%Trump687 | 0.8% | D+22.8 | R+10.3 | D+18.3 | 1,797 | |
| D | 63.8%Clinton923 | 30.7%Trump444 | 5.5% | D+33.1 | D+5.2 | D+31.0 | 1,447 | |
| D | 63.2%Obama806 | 35.3%Romney450 | 1.5% | D+27.9 | R+0.8 | D+24.1 | 1,275 | |
| D | 63.7%Obama778 | 35.0%McCain427 | 1.3% | D+28.7 | D+17.0 | D+21.5 | 1,221 | |
| D | 55.9%Kerry514 | 44.1%Bush406 | 0.0% | D+11.7 | — | D+14.2 | 920 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 2 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 53.2%953 | 46.8%839 | 1,792 |
| 2020 | D | 59.8%1,068 | 40.2%719 | 1,787 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 51.7%931 | 44.9%809 | 1,801 |
| 2020 | D | 60.8%1,029 | 39.2%663 | 1,692 |
Canutillo sits in far west Texas along the upper Rio Grande valley, where Hispanic residents make up the overwhelming majority and turnout patterns closely track those of neighboring El Paso rather than the state's broader rural profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 20.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.5 points.
A population of 5,962, a 4% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $40,682 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Woodlake and Homestead Meadows North.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Woodlake
California
97.3twin score
% Latino12-yr trendelasticity
Homestead Meadows North
Texas
97.3twin score
% Latino12-yr trendelasticity
Good Hope
California
96.4twin score
% Latino12-yr trendelasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Canutillo, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4812508/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Canutillo, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Canutillo, Texas voted Democratic by 2.5 points (D+2.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,859 votes cast, 943 went Democratic and 896 went Republican.
How many people live in Canutillo, Texas?
Canutillo, Texas has a population of 5,962 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Canutillo, Texas?
Median household income in Canutillo, Texas is $40,682 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Canutillo, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Canutillo, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.