HarrisDemocratic46.7%54,258TrumpRepublican52.5%60,991OliverLibertarian0.4%442
R+5.8- Lead
- 6,733
- Total
- 116,153
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- 47.5%
Akashiccounty
Cameron County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 47.5% of 247,453 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic56.0%64,063TrumpRepublican42.9%49,032JorgensenLibertarian0.6%728
D+13.1- Lead
- 15,031
- Total
- 114,326
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Turnout
- 49.0%
ClintonDemocratic64.1%59,402TrumpRepublican31.8%29,472JohnsonLibertarian2.4%2,231
D+32.3- Lead
- 29,930
- Total
- 92,665
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Turnout
- 42.6%
ObamaDemocratic65.0%49,975RomneyRepublican33.9%26,099GrayLibertarian0.7%546
D+31.1- Lead
- 23,876
- Total
- 76,895
- vs nation
- D+27.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic64.1%48,480McCainRepublican35.3%26,671OtherAll other candidates0.7%506
D+28.8- Lead
- 21,809
- Total
- 75,657
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.2%33,998BushRepublican50.3%34,801OtherAll other candidates0.5%357
R+1.2- Lead
- 803
- Total
- 69,156
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic53.5%33,214BushRepublican44.8%27,800NaderGreen1.1%699
D+8.7- Lead
- 5,414
- Total
- 62,057
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic61.8%34,891DoleRepublican32.6%18,434PerotReform4.9%2,760
D+29.1- Lead
- 16,457
- Total
- 56,493
- vs nation
- D+20.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 426,1202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,6012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.9 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hidalgo County, TX · twin score 99.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 47.5%117,602 participants ÷ 247,453 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.8 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.7%–35.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 94,995 | 222,777 | 42.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 79,358 | 227,665 | 34.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 115,666 | 236,106 | 49.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 77,958 | 242,069 | 32.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 117,602 | 247,453 | 47.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
101 precincts · 116,309 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 98Precinct 98 | 1,306 | 1,405 | 30 | 2,741 | 47.6% | 51.3% | R+3.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 1,243 | 1,458 | 21 | 2,722 | 45.7% | 53.6% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 80Precinct 80 | 928 | 1,682 | 27 | 2,637 | 35.2% | 63.8% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 100Precinct 100 | 1,156 | 1,414 | 39 | 2,609 | 44.3% | 54.2% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 54Precinct 54 | 1,322 | 1,173 | 21 | 2,516 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 74Precinct 74 | 1,055 | 1,194 | 20 | 2,269 | 46.5% | 52.6% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 67Precinct 67 | 888 | 1,352 | 20 | 2,260 | 39.3% | 59.8% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 994 | 1,202 | 23 | 2,219 | 44.8% | 54.2% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 72Precinct 72 | 1,005 | 1,118 | 11 | 2,134 | 47.1% | 52.4% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 73Precinct 73 | 1,109 | 986 | 24 | 2,119 | 52.3% | 46.5% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 44Precinct 44 | 896 | 1,113 | 28 | 2,037 | 44.0% | 54.6% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 46Precinct 46 | 976 | 1,008 | 18 | 2,002 | 48.8% | 50.3% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 838 | 1,087 | 21 | 1,946 | 43.1% | 55.9% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 48Precinct 48 | 940 | 967 | 20 | 1,927 | 48.8% | 50.2% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 79Precinct 79 | 879 | 1,016 | 28 | 1,923 | 45.7% | 52.8% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 88Precinct 88 | 795 | 1,045 | 15 | 1,855 | 42.9% | 56.3% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 41Precinct 41 | 1,006 | 780 | 17 | 1,803 | 55.8% | 43.3% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 85Precinct 85 | 722 | 1,043 | 9 | 1,774 | 40.7% | 58.8% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 78Precinct 78 | 808 | 931 | 12 | 1,751 | 46.1% | 53.2% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 66Precinct 66 | 635 | 1,063 | 20 | 1,718 | 37.0% | 61.9% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 76Precinct 76 | 900 | 782 | 26 | 1,708 | 52.7% | 45.8% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 55Precinct 55 | 791 | 879 | 10 | 1,680 | 47.1% | 52.3% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 62Precinct 62 | 893 | 745 | 18 | 1,656 | 53.9% | 45.0% | D+8.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 53Precinct 53 | 782 | 861 | 11 | 1,654 | 47.3% | 52.1% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 71Precinct 71 | 810 | 806 | 12 | 1,628 | 49.8% | 49.5% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 96Precinct 96 | 806 | 791 | 12 | 1,609 | 50.1% | 49.2% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 723 | 867 | 17 | 1,607 | 45.0% | 54.0% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 69Precinct 69 | 861 | 708 | 16 | 1,585 | 54.3% | 44.7% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 52Precinct 52 | 603 | 917 | 14 | 1,534 | 39.3% | 59.8% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 75Precinct 75 | 741 | 764 | 11 | 1,516 | 48.9% | 50.4% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 566 | 938 | 11 | 1,515 | 37.4% | 61.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 726 | 766 | 15 | 1,507 | 48.2% | 50.8% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 712 | 772 | 12 | 1,496 | 47.6% | 51.6% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 58Precinct 58 | 585 | 860 | 7 | 1,452 | 40.3% | 59.2% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 633 | 737 | 10 | 1,380 | 45.9% | 53.4% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 87Precinct 87 | 562 | 794 | 6 | 1,362 | 41.3% | 58.3% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 574 | 773 | 9 | 1,356 | 42.3% | 57.0% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 578 | 730 | 9 | 1,317 | 43.9% | 55.4% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 56Precinct 56 | 586 | 713 | 15 | 1,314 | 44.6% | 54.3% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 50Precinct 50 | 638 | 647 | 9 | 1,294 | 49.3% | 50.0% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 65Precinct 65 | 574 | 697 | 9 | 1,280 | 44.8% | 54.5% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 626 | 630 | 8 | 1,264 | 49.5% | 49.8% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 49Precinct 49 | 520 | 721 | 13 | 1,254 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 619 | 595 | 6 | 1,220 | 50.7% | 48.8% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 533 | 669 | 13 | 1,215 | 43.9% | 55.1% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 606 | 592 | 10 | 1,208 | 50.2% | 49.0% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 68Precinct 68 | 583 | 615 | 9 | 1,207 | 48.3% | 51.0% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 61Precinct 61 | 643 | 541 | 11 | 1,195 | 53.8% | 45.3% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 84Precinct 84 | 571 | 592 | 15 | 1,178 | 48.5% | 50.3% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 40Precinct 40 | 597 | 541 | 8 | 1,146 | 52.1% | 47.2% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 81Precinct 81 | 386 | 732 | 7 | 1,125 | 34.3% | 65.1% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 77Precinct 77 | 549 | 565 | 8 | 1,122 | 48.9% | 50.4% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 527 | 572 | 6 | 1,105 | 47.7% | 51.8% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 601 | 473 | 17 | 1,091 | 55.1% | 43.4% | D+11.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 608 | 471 | 9 | 1,088 | 55.9% | 43.3% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 393 | 683 | 9 | 1,085 | 36.2% | 62.9% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 82Precinct 82 | 413 | 551 | 10 | 974 | 42.4% | 56.6% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 83Precinct 83 | 478 | 467 | 8 | 953 | 50.2% | 49.0% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 501 | 435 | 8 | 944 | 53.1% | 46.1% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 63Precinct 63 | 522 | 356 | 11 | 889 | 58.7% | 40.0% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 47Precinct 47 | 472 | 398 | 9 | 879 | 53.7% | 45.3% | D+8.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 414 | 448 | 13 | 875 | 47.3% | 51.2% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37 | 459 | 401 | 5 | 865 | 53.1% | 46.4% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 86Precinct 86 | 413 | 441 | 6 | 860 | 48.0% | 51.3% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 45Precinct 45 | 420 | 399 | 12 | 831 | 50.5% | 48.0% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 405 | 392 | 8 | 805 | 50.3% | 48.7% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 89Precinct 89 | 334 | 447 | 6 | 787 | 42.4% | 56.8% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 302 | 472 | 5 | 779 | 38.8% | 60.6% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 94Precinct 94 | 362 | 382 | 10 | 754 | 48.0% | 50.7% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 91Precinct 91 | 314 | 430 | 4 | 748 | 42.0% | 57.5% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 320 | 399 | 9 | 728 | 44.0% | 54.8% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 393 | 322 | 6 | 721 | 54.5% | 44.7% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 324 | 381 | 10 | 715 | 45.3% | 53.3% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 51Precinct 51 | 297 | 358 | 8 | 663 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 242 | 407 | 8 | 657 | 36.8% | 61.9% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 60Precinct 60 | 276 | 313 | 3 | 592 | 46.6% | 52.9% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 281 | 276 | 6 | 563 | 49.9% | 49.0% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 43Precinct 43 | 272 | 286 | 5 | 563 | 48.3% | 50.8% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 39Precinct 39 | 263 | 259 | 2 | 524 | 50.2% | 49.4% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 42Precinct 42 | 265 | 212 | 8 | 485 | 54.6% | 43.7% | D+10.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 153 | 322 | 1 | 476 | 32.1% | 67.6% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 38Precinct 38 | 217 | 220 | 4 | 441 | 49.2% | 49.9% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 247 | 174 | 6 | 427 | 57.8% | 40.7% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 70Precinct 70 | 230 | 195 | 2 | 427 | 53.9% | 45.7% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 229 | 187 | 6 | 422 | 54.3% | 44.3% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 203 | 212 | 3 | 418 | 48.6% | 50.7% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 95Precinct 95 | 183 | 178 | 1 | 362 | 50.6% | 49.2% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 131 | 224 | 0 | 355 | 36.9% | 63.1% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 181 | 147 | 5 | 333 | 54.4% | 44.1% | D+10.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 59Precinct 59 | 103 | 198 | 2 | 303 | 34.0% | 65.3% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 97Precinct 97 | 179 | 107 | 3 | 289 | 61.9% | 37.0% | D+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 99Precinct 99 | 103 | 161 | 2 | 266 | 38.7% | 60.5% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 155 | 102 | 3 | 260 | 59.6% | 39.2% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 64Precinct 64 | 102 | 155 | 0 | 257 | 39.7% | 60.3% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 90Precinct 90 | 108 | 126 | 3 | 237 | 45.6% | 53.2% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 109 | 94 | 4 | 207 | 52.7% | 45.4% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 93Precinct 93 | 107 | 96 | 0 | 203 | 52.7% | 47.3% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 57Precinct 57 | 84 | 80 | 1 | 165 | 50.9% | 48.5% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 93 | 62 | 1 | 156 | 59.6% | 39.7% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 45 | 100 | 0 | 145 | 31.0% | 69.0% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 92Precinct 92 | 47 | 43 | 1 | 91 | 51.6% | 47.3% | D+4.4 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +87.1% |
| 1908 | +11.2% |
| 1912 | +82.2% |
| 1916 | +49.0% |
| 1920 | +0.6% |
| 1924 | +26.2% |
| 1928 | −5.1% |
| 1932 | +59.7% |
| 1936 | +45.4% |
| 1940 | +28.3% |
| 1944 | +5.8% |
| 1948 | +17.6% |
| 1952 | −29.9% |
| 1956 | −14.9% |
| 1960 | +9.8% |
| 1964 | +25.4% |
| 1968 | +13.4% |
| 1972 | −21.8% |
| 1976 | +21.0% |
| 1980 | +2.5% |
| 1984 | −5.6% |
| 1988 | +12.1% |
| 1992 | +15.8% |
| 1996 | +29.1% |
| 2000 | +8.7% |
| 2004 | −1.2% |
| 2008 | +28.8% |
| 2012 | +31.1% |
| 2016 | +32.3% |
| 2020 | +13.1% |
| 2024 | −5.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 197,060 |
| 2018 | 206,391 |
| 2020 | 218,910 |
| 2022 | 227,694 |
| 2024 | 238,215 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,837 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −35,592 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,859 in average income, against $51,326 for residents who stayed — 22% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.2 on average — 9.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Cameron County, TX itself (R+5.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hidalgo County, TX881R+2.9
- Harris County, TX365D+5.5
- Bexar County, TX337D+9.7
- Travis County, TX174D+39.3
- Willacy County, TX111R+3.3
- Nueces County, TX104R+11.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hidalgo County, TX1,019
- Bexar County, TX684
- Harris County, TX432
- Travis County, TX253
- Nueces County, TX135
- Dallas County, TX116
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −644 |
| 2012 | −2,970 |
| 2013 | −3,872 |
| 2014 | −3,782 |
| 2015 | −4,861 |
| 2016 | −3,257 |
| 2017 | −3,364 |
| 2018 | −3,590 |
| 2019 | −2,407 |
| 2021 | −554 |
| 2022 | −613 |
| 2023 | −1,918 |
| 2024 | −1,923 |
| 2025 | −1,837 |
Cameron County, anchored by Brownsville and a population that is roughly 90% Hispanic, recorded a 5.8-point Republican margin in 2024 — a dramatic reversal from the double-digit Democratic leads it posted as recently as 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.1 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 18.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.
A population of 426,120, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,601 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hidalgo County and Webb County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hidalgo County
Texas
99.0twin score
elasticity% Latino2016 margin
Webb County
Texas
96.6twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White≠ 12-yr trend
El Paso County
Texas
95.0twin score
% Latino2012–2016 trajectory% White≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cameron County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cameron County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cameron County, Texas voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,153 votes cast, 54,258 went Democratic and 60,991 went Republican.
When did Cameron County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cameron County, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Cameron County, Texas?
Cameron County, Texas has a population of 426,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cameron County, Texas?
Median household income in Cameron County, Texas is $52,601 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Cameron County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cameron County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.