Harlingen, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | +5.9% |
| 2012 | +5.2% |
| 2016 | +8.5% |
| 2020 | +4.5% |
| 2024 | −7.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 45.6%Harris9,583 | 53.4%Trump11,212 | 1.0% | R+7.8 | R+12.3 | R+6.3 | 21,009 | |
| D | 51.9%Biden10,455 | 47.4%Trump9,546 | 0.7% | D+4.5 | R+4.0 | D+0.1 | 20,135 | |
| D | 52.2%Clinton8,560 | 43.6%Trump7,158 | 4.2% | D+8.5 | D+3.3 | D+6.5 | 16,403 | |
| D | 52.1%Obama7,404 | 46.8%Romney6,658 | 1.1% | D+5.2 | R+0.6 | D+1.4 | 14,214 | |
| D | 52.5%Obama7,607 | 46.6%McCain6,754 | 1.0% | D+5.9 | D+28.1 | R+1.4 | 14,500 | |
| R | 38.7%Kerry5,449 | 61.0%Bush8,580 | 0.3% | R+22.2 | — | R+19.8 | 14,074 |
Harlingen sits at the heart of the Lower Rio Grande Valley, a majority-Hispanic metro corridor where voter registration surges have repeatedly outpaced actual turnout, making mobilization the defining variable in close contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.5 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 22.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.8 points.
A population of 72,087, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,645 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McAllen and Mission.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Harlingen, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4832372/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.