McAllen, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −7.4% |
| 2008 | +19.7% |
| 2012 | +18.2% |
| 2016 | +26.8% |
| 2020 | +14.7% |
| 2024 | +0.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 49.5%Harris21,757 | 49.4%Trump21,686 | 1.1% | D+0.2 | R+14.5 | D+1.6 | 43,916 | |
| D | 57.1%Biden25,328 | 42.4%Trump18,819 | 0.5% | D+14.7 | R+12.2 | D+10.2 | 44,389 | |
| D | 61.2%Clinton22,060 | 34.3%Trump12,384 | 4.5% | D+26.8 | D+8.6 | D+24.7 | 36,060 | |
| D | 58.6%Obama16,489 | 40.4%Romney11,367 | 1.1% | D+18.2 | R+1.5 | D+14.3 | 28,157 | |
| D | 59.5%Obama17,584 | 39.7%McCain11,750 | 0.8% | D+19.7 | D+27.1 | D+12.5 | 29,562 | |
| R | 46.2%Kerry12,726 | 53.6%Bush14,765 | 0.2% | R+7.4 | — | R+4.9 | 27,538 |
McAllen anchors Hidalgo County on the Rio Grande and is one of the largest majority-Hispanic cities in the U.S., making its shifting margins a closely watched signal for statewide and federal races across South Texas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 7.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 145,385, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,579 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mission and Harlingen.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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McAllen, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4845384/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.