Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
presidential margin
2008D+38.72012D+41.72016D+40.22020D+17.12024R+2.9
full record · 19122024
R+2.9
2024
median income$54,338U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age30.5U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate26.7%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)20.6%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english80.1%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican87.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Honduran0.2%
American2.4%
German1.7%
English1.1%
Filipino0.4%
Asian Indian0.2%
Chinese0.1%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian2.1%
Latter-day Saints1.2%
Mainline1.1%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas

Akashic
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TXTrumpR+2.9
2024 presidential margin by county for McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, TXA map of the single county of McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, TX, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Hidalgo County, TX · R+2.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican51.0%110,760
Kamala HarrisDemocratic48.1%104,517
Jill SteinGreen0.9%1,988
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Hidalgo County, TXRepublicanR+2.9
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
48.1%Harris104,517
51.0%Trump110,760
0.9%Stein1,988
−2.9%
217,265
D
58.0%Biden128,199
41.0%Trump90,527
1.0%Jorgensen2,158
+17.1%
220,884
D
68.1%Clinton118,809
27.9%Trump48,642
4.0%Johnson6,957
+40.2%
174,408
D
70.3%Obama97,969
28.6%Romney39,865
1.1%Johnson1,488
+41.7%
139,322
D
69.0%Obama90,261
30.3%McCain39,668
0.7%Barr855
+38.7%
130,784
D
54.9%Kerry62,369
44.8%Bush50,931
0.3%Badnarik383
+10.1%
113,683
D
60.8%Gore61,390
37.9%Bush38,301
1.3%Nader1,359
+22.8%
101,050
D
66.5%Clinton56,335
28.8%Dole24,437
4.7%Perot3,955
+37.6%
84,727
D
58.1%Clinton51,205
30.6%Bush26,976
11.3%Perot9,979
+27.5%
88,160
D
64.8%Dukakis54,330
34.9%Bush29,246
0.4%Paul294
+29.9%
83,870
D
55.6%Mondale44,147
44.1%Reagan35,059
0.3%Larouche226
+11.4%
79,432
D
56.0%Carter34,542
41.8%Reagan25,808
2.2%Anderson1,367
+14.2%
61,717
D
64.1%Carter35,021
35.2%Ford19,199
0.7%McCarthy373
+29.0%
54,593
R
44.3%McGovern18,366
55.2%Nixon22,920
0.5%Schmitz213
−11.0%
41,499
D
54.1%Humphrey20,087
39.0%Nixon14,455
6.9%Wallace2,569
+15.2%
37,111
D
65.5%Johnson22,110
34.3%Goldwater11,563
0.2%Hass83
+31.2%
33,756
D
57.6%Kennedy18,663
42.1%Nixon13,628
0.4%Byrd115
+15.5%
32,406
R
42.0%Stevenson9,804
56.9%Eisenhower13,270
1.1%Andrews253
−14.9%
23,327
R
37.6%Stevenson9,251
62.2%Eisenhower15,303
0.2%Hallinan48
−24.6%
24,602
D
59.5%Truman9,526
38.8%Dewey6,220
1.7%Thurmond272
+20.6%
16,018
D
59.3%Roosevelt7,250
33.3%Dewey4,080
7.4%Thomas904
+25.9%
12,234
D
60.8%Roosevelt7,471
39.0%Willkie4,787
0.2%Thomas27
+21.8%
12,285
D
67.5%Roosevelt6,782
29.5%Landon2,962
3.1%Lemke309
+38.0%
10,053
D
75.8%Roosevelt9,695
23.2%Hoover2,969
0.9%Thomas120
+52.6%
12,784
R
48.4%Smith4,034
51.4%Hoover4,285
0.2%Thomas16
−3.0%
8,335
D
75.2%Davis3,662
20.4%Coolidge996
4.4%La Follette214
+54.7%
4,872
D
67.7%Cox2,409
31.1%Harding1,108
1.2%Debs42
+36.6%
3,559
D
82.3%Wilson1,364
15.7%Hughes260
2.0%Benson33
+66.6%
1,657
D
86.5%Wilson1,203
2.8%Taft39
10.6%Roosevelt148
+83.7%
1,390
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −2.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−2.9%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+83.7%
1916+66.6%
1920+36.6%
1924+54.7%
1928−3.0%
1932+52.6%
1936+38.0%
1940+21.8%
1944+25.9%
1948+20.6%
1952−24.6%
1956−14.9%
1960+15.5%
1964+31.2%
1968+15.2%
1972−11.0%
1976+29.0%
1980+14.2%
1984+11.4%
1988+29.9%
1992+27.5%
1996+37.6%
2000+22.8%
2004+10.1%
2008+38.7%
2012+41.7%
2016+40.2%
2020+17.1%
2024−2.9%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TXTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 446,417 in 2024.111.6K223.2K334.8K446.4K446.4K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
YearTotal registered
2016338,990
2018362,952
2020391,309
2022416,978
2024446,417
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Anchored by Hidalgo County along the Rio Grande, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and drew national attention after posting unexpected rightward swings in recent presidential cycles despite decades of lopsided Democratic margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 24.6 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 19.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.9 points.

A population of 891,977, a 6% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,338 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brownsville-Harlingen, TX and Laredo, TX.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions

How did McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas voted Republican by 2.9 points (R+2.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 217,265 votes cast, 104,517 went Democratic and 110,760 went Republican.
When did McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas?
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas has a population of 891,977 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas?
Median household income in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas is $54,338 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.