Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
presidential margin
2008D+28.82012D+31.12016D+32.32020D+13.12024R+5.8
full record · 19122024
R+5.8
2024
median income$52,601U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age32.7U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate24.8%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)22.1%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english72.2%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican83.7%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Cuban0.2%
German2.3%
English2.2%
American2.1%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian2.1%
Mainline1.3%
Latter-day Saints1.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas

Akashic
Brownsville-Harlingen, TXTrumpR+5.8
2024 presidential margin by county for Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, TXA map of the single county of Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, TX, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Cameron County, TX · R+5.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican52.5%60,991
Kamala HarrisDemocratic46.7%54,258
Jill SteinGreen0.8%904
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Cameron County, TXRepublicanR+5.8
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
46.7%Harris54,258
52.5%Trump60,991
0.8%Stein904
−5.8%
116,153
D
56.0%Biden64,063
42.9%Trump49,032
1.1%Jorgensen1,231
+13.1%
114,326
D
64.1%Clinton59,402
31.8%Trump29,472
4.1%Johnson3,791
+32.3%
92,665
D
65.0%Obama49,975
33.9%Romney26,099
1.1%Johnson821
+31.1%
76,895
D
64.1%Obama48,480
35.3%McCain26,671
0.7%Barr506
+28.8%
75,657
R
49.2%Kerry33,998
50.3%Bush34,801
0.5%Badnarik357
−1.2%
69,156
D
53.5%Gore33,214
44.8%Bush27,800
1.7%Nader1,043
+8.7%
62,057
D
61.8%Clinton34,891
32.6%Dole18,434
5.6%Perot3,168
+29.1%
56,493
D
49.8%Clinton29,435
34.1%Bush20,123
16.1%Perot9,499
+15.8%
59,057
D
55.8%Dukakis30,972
43.7%Bush24,263
0.6%Paul317
+12.1%
55,552
R
47.0%Mondale26,394
52.6%Reagan29,545
0.3%Larouche187
−5.6%
56,126
D
50.1%Carter23,200
47.6%Reagan22,041
2.3%Anderson1,044
+2.5%
46,285
D
60.1%Carter25,310
39.1%Ford16,448
0.8%McCarthy353
+21.0%
42,111
R
38.9%McGovern13,340
60.7%Nixon20,816
0.4%Schmitz144
−21.8%
34,300
D
53.3%Humphrey15,726
39.8%Nixon11,759
6.9%Wallace2,042
+13.4%
29,527
D
62.6%Johnson16,056
37.1%Goldwater9,531
0.3%Hass72
+25.4%
25,659
D
54.8%Kennedy12,416
45.0%Nixon10,190
0.2%Byrd34
+9.8%
22,640
R
42.0%Stevenson8,829
56.9%Eisenhower11,952
1.1%Andrews241
−14.9%
21,022
R
35.0%Stevenson7,559
64.9%Eisenhower14,018
0.1%Hallinan25
−29.9%
21,602
D
57.2%Truman6,778
39.5%Dewey4,689
3.3%Thurmond392
+17.6%
11,859
D
50.6%Roosevelt5,998
44.8%Dewey5,309
4.6%Thomas539
+5.8%
11,846
D
64.0%Roosevelt6,035
35.7%Willkie3,370
0.3%Thomas28
+28.3%
9,433
D
71.7%Roosevelt5,887
26.3%Landon2,160
1.9%Lemke159
+45.4%
8,206
D
79.5%Roosevelt7,146
19.9%Hoover1,785
0.6%Thomas54
+59.7%
8,985
R
47.4%Smith3,202
52.4%Hoover3,544
0.2%Thomas11
−5.1%
6,757
D
60.7%Davis2,225
34.5%Coolidge1,266
4.8%La Follette176
+26.2%
3,667
D
49.8%Cox920
49.2%Harding909
0.9%Debs17
+0.6%
1,846
D
73.4%Wilson1,260
24.5%Hughes420
2.1%Benson36
+49.0%
1,716
D
88.3%Wilson2,146
6.1%Taft149
5.5%Roosevelt134
+82.2%
2,429
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −5.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−5.8%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+82.2%
1916+49.0%
1920+0.6%
1924+26.2%
1928−5.1%
1932+59.7%
1936+45.4%
1940+28.3%
1944+5.8%
1948+17.6%
1952−29.9%
1956−14.9%
1960+9.8%
1964+25.4%
1968+13.4%
1972−21.8%
1976+21.0%
1980+2.5%
1984−5.6%
1988+12.1%
1992+15.8%
1996+29.1%
2000+8.7%
2004−1.2%
2008+28.8%
2012+31.1%
2016+32.3%
2020+13.1%
2024−5.8%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Brownsville-Harlingen, TXTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 238,215 in 2024.59.6K119.1K178.7K238.2K238.2K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
YearTotal registered
2016197,060
2018206,391
2020218,910
2022227,694
2024238,215
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Anchored by the Rio Grande and Cameron County, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and delivered a notably closer presidential result in 2020 than in prior cycles, drawing national attention to South Texas voting patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 18.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.

A population of 426,120, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,601 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX and Laredo, TX.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions

How did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,153 votes cast, 54,258 went Democratic and 60,991 went Republican.
When did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas has a population of 426,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas is $52,601 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.