HarrisDemocratic46.7%54,258TrumpRepublican52.5%60,991OliverLibertarian0.4%442
R+5.8- Lead
- 6,733
- Total
- 116,153
- vs nation
- R+4.3
Akashicmetro area
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic56.0%64,063TrumpRepublican42.9%49,032OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,231
D+13.1- Lead
- 15,031
- Total
- 114,326
- vs nation
- D+8.7
ClintonDemocratic64.1%59,402TrumpRepublican31.8%29,472OtherAll other candidates4.1%3,791
D+32.3- Lead
- 29,930
- Total
- 92,665
- vs nation
- D+30.2
ObamaDemocratic65.0%49,975RomneyRepublican33.9%26,099OtherAll other candidates1.1%821
D+31.1- Lead
- 23,876
- Total
- 76,895
- vs nation
- D+27.2
ObamaDemocratic64.1%48,480McCainRepublican35.3%26,671OtherAll other candidates0.7%506
D+28.8- Lead
- 21,809
- Total
- 75,657
- vs nation
- D+21.6
KerryDemocratic49.2%33,998BushRepublican50.3%34,801OtherAll other candidates0.5%357
R+1.2- Lead
- 803
- Total
- 69,156
- vs nation
- D+1.3
GoreDemocratic53.5%33,214BushRepublican44.8%27,800OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,043
D+8.7- Lead
- 5,414
- Total
- 62,057
- vs nation
- D+8.2
ClintonDemocratic61.8%34,891DoleRepublican32.6%18,434OtherAll other candidates5.6%3,168
D+29.1- Lead
- 16,457
- Total
- 56,493
- vs nation
- D+20.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 426,1202024 5-year
- Population density
- 478 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 892 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,6012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.9 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
88.3%
2,146 votes · D+82.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 79.5%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
64.9%
14,018 votes · R+29.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 60.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
64,063votes
56.0% of the vote · D+13.1
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 59,402 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
60,991votes
52.5% of the vote · R+5.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 49,032 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+62.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+82.2 · U.S. D+19.5
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +51.3 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+19.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.9 · U.S. R+10.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +4.3 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 197,060 |
| 2018 | 206,391 |
| 2020 | 218,910 |
| 2022 | 227,694 |
| 2024 | 238,215 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,837 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −35,592 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −644 |
| 2012 | −2,970 |
| 2013 | −3,872 |
| 2014 | −3,782 |
| 2015 | −4,861 |
| 2016 | −3,257 |
| 2017 | −3,364 |
| 2018 | −3,590 |
| 2019 | −2,407 |
| 2021 | −554 |
| 2022 | −613 |
| 2023 | −1,918 |
| 2024 | −1,923 |
| 2025 | −1,837 |
Anchored by the Rio Grande and Cameron County, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and delivered a notably closer presidential result in 2020 than in prior cycles, drawing national attention to South Texas voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 18.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.
A population of 426,120, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,601 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX and Laredo, TX.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
98.8twin score
elasticity% Latino2016 margin
Laredo, TX
96.2twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White≠ 12-yr trend
Eagle Pass, TX
94.6twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Places within Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
counties1
Frequently asked questions
How did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,153 votes cast, 54,258 went Democratic and 60,991 went Republican.
When did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas has a population of 426,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas is $52,601 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.