Mission, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +3.0% |
| 2008 | +22.9% |
| 2012 | +24.3% |
| 2016 | +28.8% |
| 2020 | +11.5% |
| 2024 | −7.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 45.7%Harris11,152 | 53.5%Trump13,053 | 0.7% | R+7.8 | R+19.3 | R+6.3 | 24,383 | |
| D | 55.5%Biden13,791 | 44.0%Trump10,930 | 0.5% | D+11.5 | R+17.3 | D+7.1 | 24,847 | |
| D | 62.4%Clinton11,981 | 33.6%Trump6,455 | 4.0% | D+28.8 | D+4.4 | D+26.7 | 19,201 | |
| D | 61.6%Obama9,216 | 37.3%Romney5,577 | 1.1% | D+24.3 | D+1.5 | D+20.5 | 14,953 | |
| D | 61.0%Obama9,213 | 38.2%McCain5,761 | 0.8% | D+22.9 | D+19.9 | D+15.6 | 15,094 | |
| D | 51.3%Kerry6,814 | 48.3%Bush6,421 | 0.4% | D+3.0 | — | D+5.4 | 13,284 |
Mission sits in Hidalgo County, one of the most heavily Latino counties in the country, where Democratic candidates routinely post margins above 40 points — though recent cycles show modest Republican inroads in local races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.8 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 7.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 19.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.8 points.
A population of 87,038, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,767 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Edinburg and McAllen.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mission, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4848768/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.