Mission Bend, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +13.0% |
| 2008 | +33.7% |
| 2012 | +39.5% |
| 2016 | +49.5% |
| 2020 | +36.7% |
| 2024 | +21.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 59.9%Harris6,608 | 38.1%Trump4,196 | 2.0% | D+21.9 | R+14.8 | D+23.4 | 11,024 | |
| D | 68.0%Biden8,846 | 31.3%Trump4,069 | 0.7% | D+36.7 | R+12.8 | D+32.3 | 13,008 | |
| D | 73.2%Clinton7,546 | 23.7%Trump2,441 | 3.1% | D+49.5 | D+10.0 | D+47.5 | 10,303 | |
| D | 69.2%Obama6,766 | 29.7%Romney2,903 | 1.1% | D+39.5 | D+5.8 | D+35.7 | 9,778 | |
| D | 66.7%Obama6,764 | 33.0%McCain3,345 | 0.3% | D+33.7 | D+20.8 | D+26.4 | 10,139 | |
| D | 56.1%Kerry5,497 | 43.2%Bush4,229 | 0.7% | D+13.0 | — | D+15.4 | 9,790 |
Mission Bend is an unincorporated CDP in Fort Bend and Harris counties whose heavily Latino, immigrant-origin population has made it a closely watched bellwether as both parties compete for the Houston metro's fast-shifting outer suburbs.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.9 points.
A population of 36,586, a 10% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,282 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Florin and Gardena.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mission Bend, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4848772/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.