- Lead
- 14,070
- Total
- 93,782
- vs nation
- R+13.5
Texas 127th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,910
- Total
- 93,142
- vs nation
- R+20.5
- Lead
- 19,082
- Total
- 73,861
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 25,265
- Total
- 65,368
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Lead
- 24,146
- Total
- 64,064
- vs nation
- R+45.0
- Lead
- 28,026
- Total
- 55,940
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Lead
- 25,628
- Total
- 51,567
- vs nation
- R+50.2
- Lead
- 18,867
- Total
- 44,102
- vs nation
- R+51.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 202,9642024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,103 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 96.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $105,8092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 150, TX · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 127th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
70.9%
1,713 votes · D+41.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 65.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
79.5%
26,153 votes · R+60.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 79.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
39,310votes
41.9% of the vote · R+15.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 38,242 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
53,380votes
56.9% of the vote · R+15.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 53,152 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1944
+17.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.4 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +17.6 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+51.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.8 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +50.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 127 sits in the fast-growing Houston exurban corridor, where demographic shifts have compressed what were once comfortable Republican margins down to the low single digits by 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 60.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.0 points.
A population of 202,964, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,809 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 150 and State House District 126.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 127th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.