akashic
1876–2024
State House District 126·Texas

Texas 126th State House District delivered D+6 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A reliably Republican suburban Houston district with an 18-point presidential margin

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
Latest
D+6
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
138,661
2024 ACS

Texas 126th State House District, Texas: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
138,6612024 5-year
Median household income
$74,9832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
34.4%2024 5-year
Black
19.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
44.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+76 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+26 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+5.5%
23,17920,71244,636
D
+13.3%
26,31520,07947,037
D
+12.3%
20,28815,64737,604
D
+0.1%
16,82416,79634,064
D
+1.6%
16,93716,39033,573
R
−10.2%
13,63816,75830,607
R
−11.4%
11,98715,16527,937
R
−4.1%
11,08312,07924,529
R
−4.9%
10,32211,65827,024
R
−14.9%
9,82813,30423,333
R
−23.1%
9,57615,36224,995
R
−19.8%
7,85411,94120,635
R
−5.2%
9,22510,24719,639
R
−25.6%
6,18810,48016,752
R
−4.1%
5,2325,79113,499
D
+19.2%
6,5294,42510,976
R
−6.1%
4,2494,8209,326
R
−24.2%
2,6934,4587,295
R
−15.3%
3,0844,2037,294
D
+12.5%
1,6761,2363,514
D
+56.9%
2,0373392,984
D
+55.8%
2,1075962,707
D
+75.7%
1,6972321,935
D
+68.4%
1,3442471,604
R
−11.6%
6177791,399
D
+36.0%
592257931
D
+24.5%
424222826
D
+52.2%
29086391
D
+62.2%
18421262
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.7%
English
5.7%
Irish
4.0%
American
3.2%
Italian
1.8%
French
1.4%
Polish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.7%
1.4%
75–84
1.8%
3.5%
65–74
3.9%
5.2%
55–64
5.4%
6.2%
45–54
6.2%
7.4%
35–44
7.2%
7.7%
25–34
7.7%
4.8%
18–24
4.6%
9.7%
5–17
9.4%
3.5%
<5
3.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,983
State House District 126 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 126$74,983
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.6%
Working age (18–64)13.6%
Seniors (65+)14.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
55.0%
speak English only
Spanish35.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.8%
Other Christian
14.2%
Baptist
13.8%
Methodist
3.7%
Non-Christian
3.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas House District 126 sits in the northwestern Houston suburbs, where population growth and single-family development have reinforced consistent Republican margins in both federal and statewide contests.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-six points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty-six points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 138,661, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,983 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 126, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48126/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 126, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 126, Texas voted Democratic by 5.5 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 44,636 votes cast, 23,179 went Democratic and 20,712 went Republican.
What is State House District 126, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 126, Texas as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 126, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 126, Texas voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State House District 126, Texas?
State House District 126, Texas has a population of 138,661 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 126, Texas?
Median household income in State House District 126, Texas is $74,983 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of State House District 126, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 126, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.