- Lead
- 26,189
- Total
- 68,443
- vs nation
- R+36.8
Texas 128th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,551
- Total
- 69,105
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Lead
- 21,865
- Total
- 55,950
- vs nation
- R+41.2
- Lead
- 22,607
- Total
- 53,444
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Lead
- 21,634
- Total
- 52,564
- vs nation
- R+48.4
- Lead
- 20,800
- Total
- 49,596
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Lead
- 19,174
- Total
- 45,572
- vs nation
- R+42.6
- Lead
- 13,748
- Total
- 39,346
- vs nation
- R+43.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 192,9492024 5-year
- Population density
- 972 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 199 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,6672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 82, TX · twin score 96.8
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 128th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
78.9%
1,791 votes · D+57.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 72.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
76.6%
21,823 votes · R+53.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 76.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
21,752votes
31.5% of the vote · R+35.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 20,824 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
47,013votes
68.7% of the vote · R+38.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 46,303 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
+33.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +26.8 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+48.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.2 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +46.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 128, anchored in the Houston exurbs of eastern Harris County, delivered a 38.3-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a largely working-class, car-dependent corridor where statewide Republicans have consistently outperformed their urban counterparts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 53.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.3 points.
A population of 192,949, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,667 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 82 and State House District 83.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 128th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48128/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.