Texas 15th State Senate District, Texas: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 709,9522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,9832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 34.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 44.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 15, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 118,676 | 106,045 | 228,539 | ||
| D | 134,732 | 102,807 | 240,831 | ||
| D | 103,876 | 80,111 | 192,534 | ||
| D | 86,140 | 85,998 | 174,408 | ||
| D | 86,718 | 83,916 | 171,897 | ||
| R | 69,826 | 85,800 | 156,709 | ||
| R | 61,375 | 77,647 | 143,041 | ||
| R | 56,747 | 61,844 | 125,590 | ||
| R | 52,850 | 59,689 | 138,364 | ||
| R | 50,318 | 68,117 | 119,466 | ||
| R | 49,030 | 78,655 | 127,978 | ||
| R | 40,215 | 61,138 | 105,652 | ||
| R | 47,234 | 52,463 | 100,553 | ||
| R | 31,683 | 53,657 | 85,772 | ||
| R | 26,786 | 29,652 | 69,118 | ||
| D | 33,429 | 22,656 | 56,198 | ||
| R | 21,757 | 24,677 | 47,748 | ||
| R | 13,787 | 22,825 | 37,351 | ||
| R | 15,789 | 21,521 | 37,344 | ||
| D | 8,582 | 6,327 | 17,992 | ||
| D | 10,430 | 1,738 | 15,278 | ||
| D | 10,788 | 3,052 | 13,860 | ||
| D | 8,687 | 1,186 | 9,910 | ||
| D | 6,880 | 1,263 | 8,213 | ||
| R | 3,160 | 3,989 | 7,162 | ||
| D | 3,030 | 1,314 | 4,766 | ||
| D | 2,173 | 1,135 | 4,231 | ||
| D | 1,487 | 442 | 2,003 | ||
| D | 940 | 107 | 1,340 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.7%
English
5.7%
Irish
4.0%
American
3.2%
Italian
1.8%
French
1.4%
Polish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,983
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$74,983
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.6%
Working age (18–64)13.6%
Seniors (65+)14.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
55.0%
speak English only
Spanish35.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+62.7, this West Texas district ranks among the most lopsided in the state senate map. Its sprawling rural geography and sparse population centers have produced some of the widest partisan gaps in statewide cycles.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-six points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty-six points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 709,952, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,983 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/48015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 15, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Texas voted Democratic by 5.5 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 228,539 votes cast, 118,676 went Democratic and 106,045 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Texas as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Texas voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Texas?
State Senate District 15, Texas has a population of 709,952 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Texas?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Texas is $74,983 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.