- Lead
- 145,888
- Total
- 425,786
- vs nation
- R+32.8
Texas 4th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 124,788
- Total
- 402,727
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Lead
- 116,736
- Total
- 317,441
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Lead
- 128,188
- Total
- 282,357
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Lead
- 106,049
- Total
- 266,335
- vs nation
- R+47.1
- Lead
- 107,978
- Total
- 240,227
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Lead
- 86,558
- Total
- 206,249
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Lead
- 48,814
- Total
- 168,418
- vs nation
- R+37.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 954,8032024 5-year
- Population density
- 399 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,392 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $91,3872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 28.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 11, TX · twin score 96.0
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
85.9%
11,276 votes · D+72.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 82.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.8%
66,773 votes · R+46.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 72.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
137,702votes
32.3% of the vote · R+34.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 135,983 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
283,590votes
66.6% of the vote · R+34.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 260,771 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+63.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.9 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +51.4 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+49.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +47.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+35, Texas Senate District 4 sits among the state's most one-sided constituencies, spanning a predominantly rural and exurban stretch where statewide Republican candidates routinely post landslide numbers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.3 points.
A population of 954,803, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,387 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and State Senate District 7.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/48004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.