Brownsville, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +14.8% |
| 2008 | +45.9% |
| 2012 | +49.6% |
| 2016 | +51.3% |
| 2020 | +24.3% |
| 2024 | +0.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 49.6%Harris24,305 | 49.5%Trump24,258 | 1.0% | D+0.1 | R+24.2 | D+1.6 | 49,029 | |
| D | 61.8%Biden30,347 | 37.5%Trump18,409 | 0.7% | D+24.3 | R+27.0 | D+19.9 | 49,083 | |
| D | 73.5%Clinton29,792 | 22.2%Trump9,014 | 4.2% | D+51.3 | D+1.6 | D+49.2 | 40,520 | |
| D | 74.3%Obama23,686 | 24.6%Romney7,858 | 1.1% | D+49.6 | D+3.7 | D+45.8 | 31,884 | |
| D | 72.6%Obama23,183 | 26.6%McCain8,514 | 0.8% | D+45.9 | D+31.1 | D+38.6 | 31,951 | |
| D | 57.2%Kerry16,225 | 42.4%Bush12,016 | 0.4% | D+14.8 | — | D+17.3 | 28,354 |
Brownsville sits at the southern tip of the Rio Grande Valley, where over 93% of residents identify as Hispanic or Latino and recent election cycles have shown notable swings in margins that analysts once considered predictable.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 24.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.1 points.
A population of 189,177, a 4% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,130 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Laredo and Pharr.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Brownsville, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4810768/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.